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San Antonio City SC

ECNL Boys · Texas BU18/19 · 20 teams · San Antonio City SC (all teams)

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18th
1-2-5 record · 8 played
0.63 points per game
-12 goal diff · 16–28
LLWLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.6
+0.53 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:00 PM

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San Antonio City SC
18th · 0.63 PPG
vs
Albion Hurricanes FC
14th · 1.13 PPG

Specht Soccer Complex, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.9 against · 1.16 expected points)

Season so farSan Antonio City SCAlbion Hurricanes FC
Position18th14th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-52-3-3
Points per game0.631.13
Goals for / game2.02.0
Goals against / game3.52.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)D L W L LW D D L D
Biggest win3–2 at OK Energy FC Academy7–0 vs Dallas Texans
Worst loss0–5 vs Solar SC Academy0–3 at SOLAR SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.75+0.03
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.53+0.04

Common opponents: SOLAR SC — we 2–4; they 0–3. Solar SC Academy — we 0–5; they 2–1. RISE SC — we 1–2; they 1–1. SAFC — we 1–1; they 2–5.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 vs Solar SC Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 33%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans Academy sit 17th on 0.71 PPG; we are on 0.63.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Albion Hurricanes FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (San Antonio City SC – Albion Hurricanes FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.67 PPG
18th— holds 18th— holds 19th▼ down 1
Win
0.89 PPG
16th▲ up 2 18th— holds 19th▼ down 1
Draw
0.67 PPG
18th— holds 18th— holds 19th▼ down 1
Loss
0.56 PPG
18th— holds 18th— holds 20th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 16th if every rival drops points, and as low as 19th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th 5%
  14. 14th 8%
  15. 15th 14%
  16. 16th 31%
  17. 17th 21%
  18. 18th 10%
  19. 19th 3%
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 2.57 (+1.94) 3rd (2.22) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 SAFC 2.43 (+1.80) 2nd (2.26) 42 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Lonestar ATX Red 2.38 (+1.75) 4th (2.17) 41 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Solar SC Academy 2.33 (+1.70) 1st (2.27) 40 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Tulsa SC 1.64 (+1.01) 5th (1.73) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 Colorado Storm 1.63 (+1.00) 6th (1.55) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7 RISE SC 1.50 (+0.87) 9th (1.47) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 FC Westlake 1.50 (+0.87) 8th (1.48) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
9 OK Energy FC Academy 1.42 (+0.79) 7th (1.54) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 DKSC 1.40 (+0.77) 12th (1.40) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
11 Real Colorado Academy 1.38 (+0.75) 10th (1.45) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
12 Sting 1.30 (+0.67) 13th (1.31) 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
13 HTX 1.14 (+0.51) 11th (1.41) 17 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.13 (+0.50) 14th (1.30) 17 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
15 SOLAR SC 1.11 (+0.48) 15th (1.21) 17 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
16 Dallas Texans 0.86 (+0.23) 18th (0.69) A point next game
17 Dallas Texans Academy 0.71 (+0.08) 17th (0.87) A point next game

How the results connect

33 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link San Antonio City SC to Albion Hurricanes FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
4 even
18 favour them
-0.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 1–1 2–4 3–0 1–1 5–2 0–5 1–2 3–5 1–2 2–2 3–1 6–1 3–3 3–0 3–1 2–1 0–0 3–2 0–0 1–1 San Antonio City SC 18th RISE SC 7th SOLAR SC 15th SAFC 2nd Solar SC Academy 4th Tulsa SC 5th OK Energy FC Academy 9th Colorado Storm 6th Dallas Texans Acade… 17th Real Colorado Acade… 11th Albion Hurricanes FC 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 7 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.34 · 19th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
03:00 PM
Albion Hurricanes FC
14th · 2-3-3 · GD +0
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.16 0.68 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +14
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.50 0.67 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth White
19th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.03 0.79 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Red
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +12
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.57 0.77 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Royal
20th · 0-0-8 · GD -34
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.75 0.92 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
03:00 PM
Real Colorado Academy
11th · 3-2-3 · GD +1
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.11 0.94 Upside
Sat Apr 17
02:00 PM
Dallas Texans
16th · 2-0-5 · GD -16
Away far trip
Independence High School
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.96 1.00 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
Dallas Texans Academy
17th · 1-2-4 · GD -9
Away far trip
Memorial High School
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.37 1.03 Upside
Sat Apr 24
03:00 PM
Sting
12th · 4-1-5 · GD +3
Away far trip
Sting National Training Center
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.82 1.01 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
DKSC
10th · 4-2-4 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.76 1.00 Upside
Sun May 2
01:00 PM
Colorado Storm
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +1
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.10 1.01 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 7601 239+14 182.57 WWLWW -0.50 +0.17 93% 2.7
2 SAFC 7520 218+13 172.43 WWWDD +0.22 -0.29 96% 2.4
3 Lonestar ATX Red 8611 197+12 192.38 WDLWW -0.05 -0.13 92% 3.0
4 Solar SC Academy 9702 3011+19 212.33 WWWWW +0.01 -0.22 98% 2.2
5 Tulsa SC 11533 2415+9 181.64 WLWWD -0.05 -0.08 10% 6.2
6 Colorado Storm 8413 1110+1 131.63 LWLWD +0.15 -0.13 3% 8.9
7 RISE SC 8332 1613+3 121.50 WWDWD -0.24 +0.07 1% 9.8
8 FC Westlake 8332 1418-4 121.50 DDWLW +0.44 -0.34 2% 9.7
9 OK Energy FC Academy 12453 2217+5 171.42 LLDLD +0.09 -0.27 1% 8.5
10 DKSC 10424 2016+4 141.40 WDWDL -0.16 +0.11 0% 10.6
11 Real Colorado Academy 8323 1110+1 111.38 DLWLD +0.15 -0.13 1% 10.0
12 Sting 10415 1815+3 131.30 WDLLW -0.23 +0.19 0% 11.9
13 HTX 7223 1414+0 81.14 LDLWL +0.33 -0.22 1% 10.3
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 8233 1616+0 91.13 DLDDW +0.04 -0.12 0% 12.1
15 SOLAR SC 9315 1516-1 101.11 LLWLL -0.09 +0.03 0% 13.3
16 Dallas Texans 7205 622-16 60.86 LLWLL -0.08 +0.14 0% 18.0
17 Dallas Texans Academy 7124 1221-9 50.71 LLLDD +0.05 -0.01 0% 16.7
18 San Antonio City SC 8125 1628-12 50.63 LLWLD +0.53 -0.34 0% 15.6
19 FC Dallas Youth White 4013 210-8 10.25 LLDL -0.47 +0.19 0% 18.3
20 Lonestar ATX Royal 8008 236-34 00.00 LLLLL +0.52 -0.13 0% 20.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.