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FC Dallas Youth White

ECNL Boys · Texas BU18/19 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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19th
0-1-3 record · 4 played
0.25 points per game
-8 goal diff · 2–10
LLDLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 18.3
-0.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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FC Dallas Youth White
19th · 0.25 PPG
vs
Real Colorado Academy
11th · 1.38 PPG

Toyota Soccer Center, Field 12 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 1.7 against · 0.80 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth WhiteReal Colorado Academy
Position19th11th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-33-2-3
Points per game0.251.38
Goals for / game0.51.4
Goals against / game2.51.3
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)L D L LD L W L D
Biggest win—3–0 vs Lonestar ATX Royal
Worst loss0–3 at Dallas Texans0–2 vs Lonestar ATX Red
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.17+0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.47+0.15

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at Dallas Texans, 0–2 at Dallas Texans Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    San Antonio City SC sit 18th on 0.63 PPG; we are on 0.25.

    A point moves us above San Antonio City SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth White – Real Colorado Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.20 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1
Win
0.80 PPG
17th▲ up 2 16th▲ up 3 18th▲ up 1
Draw
0.40 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1
Loss
0.20 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 19th even if every rival loses, and as low as 20th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
18.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th 4%
  17. 17th 13%
  18. 18th 28%
  19. 19th 50%
  20. 20th 4%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 2.57 (+2.32) 3rd (2.22) 48 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2 SAFC 2.43 (+2.18) 2nd (2.26) 46 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
3 Lonestar ATX Red 2.38 (+2.13) 4th (2.17) 45 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
4 Solar SC Academy 2.33 (+2.08) 1st (2.27) 44 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
5 Tulsa SC 1.64 (+1.39) 5th (1.73) 31 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6 Colorado Storm 1.63 (+1.38) 6th (1.55) 30 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 RISE SC 1.50 (+1.25) 9th (1.47) 28 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 FC Westlake 1.50 (+1.25) 8th (1.48) 28 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 OK Energy FC Academy 1.42 (+1.17) 7th (1.54) 26 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
10 DKSC 1.40 (+1.15) 12th (1.40) 26 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
11 Real Colorado Academy 1.38 (+1.13) 10th (1.45) 26 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
12 Sting 1.30 (+1.05) 13th (1.31) 24 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
13 HTX 1.14 (+0.89) 11th (1.41) 21 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.13 (+0.88) 14th (1.30) 21 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
15 SOLAR SC 1.11 (+0.86) 15th (1.21) 21 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
16 Dallas Texans 0.86 (+0.61) 18th (0.69) 16 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
17 Dallas Texans Academy 0.71 (+0.46) 17th (0.87) A point next game
18 San Antonio City SC 0.63 (+0.38) 16th (1.01) A point next game

How the results connect

14 chains · 14 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth White to Real Colorado Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
12 favour them
-3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–3 0–0 0–3 2–0 2–1 2–1 5–0 0–3 0–2 3–3 0–0 1–4 2–3 1–3 1–1 3–4 3–1 1–3 0–3 0–1 1–2 1–6 2–1 FC Dallas Youth Whi… 19th DKSC 10th Dallas Texans Acade… 17th Sting 12th Dallas Texans 16th OK Energy FC Academy 9th Lonestar ATX Red 3rd Tulsa SC 5th Lonestar ATX Royal 20th Albion Hurricanes FC 14th RISE SC 7th SOLAR SC 15th Solar SC Academy 4th Real Colorado Acade… 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 7 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.19 · 2nd hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
Real Colorado Academy
11th · 3-2-3 · GD +1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
19%
0–1 0.80 0.36 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Colorado Storm
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
19%
0–1 0.79 0.43 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +14
Away
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.23 0.40 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
OK Energy FC Academy
9th · 4-5-3 · GD +5
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–2 0.67 0.44 Upside
Sat Nov 7
TBD
SAFC
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +13
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.22 0.41 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
San Antonio City SC
18th · 1-2-5 · GD -12
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.79 0.45 Upside
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Red
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +12
Away far trip
Wagner Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.29 0.44 Upside
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM
Lonestar ATX Royal
20th · 0-0-8 · GD -34
Away far trip
Wagner Middle School
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.06 0.57 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
01:00 PM
Tulsa SC
5th · 5-3-3 · GD +9
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.54 0.57 Upside
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
RISE SC
7th · 3-3-2 · GD +3
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.72 0.58 Upside
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Albion Hurricanes FC
14th · 2-3-3 · GD +0
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.78 0.59 Upside
Sat May 1
11:00 AM
Solar SC Academy
4th · 7-0-2 · GD +19
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.26 0.57 Upside
Sun May 2
09:00 AM
SOLAR SC
15th · 3-1-5 · GD -1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–1 0.88 0.59 Upside
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
HTX
13th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.76 0.60 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
FC Westlake
8th · 3-3-2 · GD -4
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 0.61 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 7601 239+14 182.57 WWLWW -0.50 +0.17 93% 2.7
2 SAFC 7520 218+13 172.43 WWWDD +0.22 -0.29 96% 2.4
3 Lonestar ATX Red 8611 197+12 192.38 WDLWW -0.05 -0.13 92% 3.0
4 Solar SC Academy 9702 3011+19 212.33 WWWWW +0.01 -0.22 98% 2.2
5 Tulsa SC 11533 2415+9 181.64 WLWWD -0.05 -0.08 10% 6.2
6 Colorado Storm 8413 1110+1 131.63 LWLWD +0.15 -0.13 3% 8.9
7 RISE SC 8332 1613+3 121.50 WWDWD -0.24 +0.07 1% 9.8
8 FC Westlake 8332 1418-4 121.50 DDWLW +0.44 -0.34 2% 9.7
9 OK Energy FC Academy 12453 2217+5 171.42 LLDLD +0.09 -0.27 1% 8.5
10 DKSC 10424 2016+4 141.40 WDWDL -0.16 +0.11 0% 10.6
11 Real Colorado Academy 8323 1110+1 111.38 DLWLD +0.15 -0.13 1% 10.0
12 Sting 10415 1815+3 131.30 WDLLW -0.23 +0.19 0% 11.9
13 HTX 7223 1414+0 81.14 LDLWL +0.33 -0.22 1% 10.3
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 8233 1616+0 91.13 DLDDW +0.04 -0.12 0% 12.1
15 SOLAR SC 9315 1516-1 101.11 LLWLL -0.09 +0.03 0% 13.3
16 Dallas Texans 7205 622-16 60.86 LLWLL -0.08 +0.14 0% 18.0
17 Dallas Texans Academy 7124 1221-9 50.71 LLLDD +0.05 -0.01 0% 16.7
18 San Antonio City SC 8125 1628-12 50.63 LLWLD +0.53 -0.34 0% 15.6
19 FC Dallas Youth White 4013 210-8 10.25 LLDL -0.47 +0.19 0% 18.3
20 Lonestar ATX Royal 8008 236-34 00.00 LLLLL +0.52 -0.13 0% 20.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.