TableChase Clubs

FC Dallas Youth Red

ECNL Boys · Texas BU18/19 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 43 minutes ago.
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1st
6-0-1 record · 7 played
2.57 points per game
+14 goal diff · 23–9
WWLWWlast 5
93% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.7
-0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM

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FC Dallas Youth Red
1st · 2.57 PPG
vs
Colorado Storm
6th · 1.63 PPG

Toyota Soccer Center, Field 14 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.2 against · 2.04 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth RedColorado Storm
Position1st6th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-14-1-3
Points per game2.571.63
Goals for / game3.31.4
Goals against / game1.31.3
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)W W L W WD W L W L
Biggest win5–0 at Dallas Texans4–0 vs Lonestar ATX Royal
Worst loss2–3 at Lonestar ATX Red0–3 at RISE SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.26+0.13
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.50+0.15

Common opponents: OK Energy FC Academy — we 3–2; they 1–0. Lonestar ATX Royal — we 5–0; they 4–0. Lonestar ATX Red — we 2–3; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 61% / draw 20% / loss 19%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Red – Colorado Storm) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.38 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2 4th▼ down 3
Loss
2.25 PPG
4th▼ down 3 3rd▼ down 2 4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

25% finish 1st
93% top 4
7% below the top 4
2.7 average finish
  1. 1st 25%
  2. 2nd 22%
  3. 3rd 25%
  4. 4th 22%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

26 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Red to Colorado Storm through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
8 even
8 favour them
+0.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 1–0 3–2 0–1 5–0 0–4 3–1 2–3 0–3 1–0 2–3 2–2 1–3 5–0 4–1 3–1 1–1 FC Dallas Youth Red 1st Lonestar ATX Red 3rd OK Energy FC Academy 9th Lonestar ATX Royal 20th DKSC 10th Sting 12th Tulsa SC 5th Colorado Storm 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 7 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.17 · 3rd hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:00 AM
Colorado Storm
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.04 2.50 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Real Colorado Academy
11th · 3-2-3 · GD +1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.04 2.45 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth White
19th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–0 2.69 2.48 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
San Antonio City SC
18th · 1-2-5 · GD -12
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.38 2.47 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
TBD
SAFC
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +13
Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.15 2.36 Upside
Sun Feb 21
03:00 PM
Tulsa SC
5th · 5-3-3 · GD +9
Away far trip
Jenks Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–1 1.52 2.29 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
11:00 AM
Albion Hurricanes FC
14th · 2-3-3 · GD +0
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.23 2.29 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
RISE SC
7th · 3-3-2 · GD +3
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 2.28 Swing game
Sat May 1
09:00 AM
SOLAR SC
15th · 3-1-5 · GD -1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.25 2.27 Swing game
Sun May 2
09:00 AM
Solar SC Academy
4th · 7-0-2 · GD +19
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.34 2.22 Upside
Sat May 8
11:00 AM
FC Westlake
8th · 3-3-2 · GD -4
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.33 2.22 Bank it
Sun May 9
09:00 AM
HTX
13th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.19 2.22 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 7601 239+14 182.57 WWLWW -0.50 +0.17 93% 2.7
2 SAFC 7520 218+13 172.43 WWWDD +0.22 -0.29 96% 2.4
3 Lonestar ATX Red 8611 197+12 192.38 WDLWW -0.05 -0.13 92% 3.1
4 Solar SC Academy 9702 3011+19 212.33 WWWWW +0.01 -0.22 98% 2.2
5 Tulsa SC 11533 2415+9 181.64 WLWWD -0.05 -0.08 11% 6.2
6 Colorado Storm 8413 1110+1 131.63 LWLWD +0.15 -0.13 3% 8.8
7 RISE SC 8332 1613+3 121.50 WWDWD -0.24 +0.07 2% 9.8
8 FC Westlake 8332 1418-4 121.50 DDWLW +0.44 -0.34 1% 9.6
9 OK Energy FC Academy 12453 2217+5 171.42 LLDLD +0.09 -0.27 1% 8.4
10 DKSC 10424 2016+4 141.40 WDWDL -0.16 +0.11 0% 10.6
11 Real Colorado Academy 8323 1110+1 111.38 DLWLD +0.15 -0.13 1% 10.0
12 Sting 10415 1815+3 131.30 WDLLW -0.23 +0.19 0% 11.9
13 HTX 7223 1414+0 81.14 LDLWL +0.33 -0.22 1% 10.4
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 8233 1616+0 91.13 DLDDW +0.04 -0.12 0% 12.1
15 SOLAR SC 9315 1516-1 101.11 LLWLL -0.09 +0.03 0% 13.3
16 Dallas Texans 7205 622-16 60.86 LLWLL -0.08 +0.14 0% 18.0
17 Dallas Texans Academy 7124 1221-9 50.71 LLLDD +0.05 -0.01 0% 16.6
18 San Antonio City SC 8125 1628-12 50.63 LLWLD +0.53 -0.34 0% 15.6
19 FC Dallas Youth White 4013 210-8 10.25 LLDL -0.47 +0.19 0% 18.2
20 Lonestar ATX Royal 8008 236-34 00.00 LLLLL +0.52 -0.13 0% 20.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.