TableChase Clubs

Real Colorado Academy

ECNL Boys · Texas BU18/19 · 20 teams · Real Colorado (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 38 minutes ago.
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11th
3-2-3 record · 8 played
1.38 points per game
+1 goal diff · 11–10
DLWLDlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.15 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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Real Colorado Academy
11th · 1.38 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth White
19th · 0.25 PPG

Toyota Soccer Center, Field 12 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.7 for, 0.9 against · 1.97 expected points)

Season so farReal Colorado AcademyFC Dallas Youth White
Position11th19th
Record (W-D-L)3-2-30-1-3
Points per game1.380.25
Goals for / game1.40.5
Goals against / game1.32.5
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless32
Form (recent first)D L W L DL D L L
Biggest win3–0 vs Lonestar ATX Royal—
Worst loss0–2 vs Lonestar ATX Red0–3 at Dallas Texans
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.12-1.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.15-0.47

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FC Dallas Youth White average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.9); blanked in 2 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 vs Lonestar ATX Red, 0–0 at Albion Hurricanes FC, 0–0 vs OK Energy FC Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 58% / draw 23% / loss 19%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Toyota Soccer Center.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    DKSC sit 10th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.38.

    A point moves us above DKSC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Real Colorado Academy – FC Dallas Youth White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.56 PPG
7th▲ up 4 8th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 3
Win
1.56 PPG
7th▲ up 4 8th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 3
Draw
1.33 PPG
11th— holds 12th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 3
Loss
1.22 PPG
12th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 2 16th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 10%
  13. 13th 9%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 5%
  16. 16th 2%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th <1%
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 2.57 (+1.19) 3rd (2.22) 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
2 SAFC 2.43 (+1.05) 2nd (2.26) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 Lonestar ATX Red 2.38 (+1.00) 4th (2.17) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
4 Solar SC Academy 2.33 (+0.95) 1st (2.27) 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Tulsa SC 1.64 (+0.26) 5th (1.73) 21 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
6 Colorado Storm 1.63 (+0.25) 6th (1.55) 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
7 RISE SC 1.50 (+0.12) 9th (1.47) A point next game
8 FC Westlake 1.50 (+0.12) 8th (1.48) A point next game
9 OK Energy FC Academy 1.42 (+0.04) 7th (1.54) A point next game
10 DKSC 1.40 (+0.02) 12th (1.40) A point next game

How the results connect

14 chains · 14 teams

Paths of results that link Real Colorado Academy to FC Dallas Youth White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
2 favour them
+3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 3–2 1–1 0–2 3–0 1–2 1–2 0–0 3–3 2–0 3–0 0–5 3–2 4–1 4–3 1–1 3–1 1–3 3–1 2–1 1–0 3–0 1–2 6–1 Real Colorado Acade… 11th OK Energy FC Academy 9th Lonestar ATX Red 3rd Tulsa SC 5th Albion Hurricanes FC 14th Lonestar ATX Royal 20th RISE SC 7th SOLAR SC 15th Solar SC Academy 4th DKSC 10th Dallas Texans Acade… 17th Sting 12th Dallas Texans 16th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 19th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 7 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 13th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth White
19th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
1–0 1.97 1.44 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth Red
1st · 6-0-1 · GD +14
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.76 1.37 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Sting
12th · 4-1-5 · GD +3
Home
Real Colorado Soccer Complex · grass
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.49 1.38 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
DKSC
10th · 4-2-4 · GD +4
Home
Real Colorado Soccer Complex · grass
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.47 1.39 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Dallas Texans Academy
17th · 1-2-4 · GD -9
Home
Real Colorado Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.02 1.44 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Dallas Texans
16th · 2-0-5 · GD -16
Home
Real Colorado Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–0 2.35 1.50 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
03:00 PM
San Antonio City SC
18th · 1-2-5 · GD -12
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.69 1.52 Swing game
Sun Dec 13
TBD
SAFC
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +13
Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.71 1.47 Upside
Fri Jan 15
09:00 AM
Colorado Storm
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +1
Home
Real Colorado Soccer Complex · grass
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.46 1.47 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
FC Westlake
8th · 3-3-2 · GD -4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.43 1.46 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 PM
HTX
13th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Away far trip
Bear Branch Sportsfields
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.28 1.45 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 7601 239+14 182.57 WWLWW -0.50 +0.17 93% 2.7
2 SAFC 7520 218+13 172.43 WWWDD +0.22 -0.29 96% 2.4
3 Lonestar ATX Red 8611 197+12 192.38 WDLWW -0.05 -0.13 91% 3.1
4 Solar SC Academy 9702 3011+19 212.33 WWWWW +0.01 -0.22 97% 2.3
5 Tulsa SC 11533 2415+9 181.64 WLWWD -0.05 -0.08 11% 6.2
6 Colorado Storm 8413 1110+1 131.63 LWLWD +0.15 -0.13 3% 8.9
7 RISE SC 8332 1613+3 121.50 WWDWD -0.24 +0.07 2% 9.6
8 FC Westlake 8332 1418-4 121.50 DDWLW +0.44 -0.34 2% 9.7
9 OK Energy FC Academy 12453 2217+5 171.42 LLDLD +0.09 -0.27 1% 8.5
10 DKSC 10424 2016+4 141.40 WDWDL -0.16 +0.11 1% 10.6
11 Real Colorado Academy 8323 1110+1 111.38 DLWLD +0.15 -0.13 1% 10.0
12 Sting 10415 1815+3 131.30 WDLLW -0.23 +0.19 0% 11.9
13 HTX 7223 1414+0 81.14 LDLWL +0.33 -0.22 1% 10.5
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 8233 1616+0 91.13 DLDDW +0.04 -0.12 0% 12.0
15 SOLAR SC 9315 1516-1 101.11 LLWLL -0.09 +0.03 0% 13.3
16 Dallas Texans 7205 622-16 60.86 LLWLL -0.08 +0.14 0% 18.0
17 Dallas Texans Academy 7124 1221-9 50.71 LLLDD +0.05 -0.01 0% 16.7
18 San Antonio City SC 8125 1628-12 50.63 LLWLD +0.53 -0.34 0% 15.6
19 FC Dallas Youth White 4013 210-8 10.25 LLDL -0.47 +0.19 0% 18.2
20 Lonestar ATX Royal 8008 236-34 00.00 LLLLL +0.52 -0.13 0% 20.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.