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Dallas Texans Academy

ECNL Boys · Texas BU18/19 · 20 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

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17th
1-2-4 record · 7 played
0.71 points per game
-9 goal diff · 12–21
LLLDDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 16.6
+0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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Dallas Texans Academy
17th · 0.71 PPG
at
Tulsa SC
5th · 1.64 PPG

Jenks Sports Complex , Field 9 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.3 for, 3.2 against · 0.49 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans AcademyTulsa SC
Position17th5th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-45-3-3
Points per game0.711.64
Goals for / game1.72.2
Goals against / game3.01.4
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)D D L L LD W W L W
Biggest win2–0 vs FC Dallas Youth White7–0 at Lonestar ATX Royal
Worst loss1–6 vs Solar SC Academy1–2 at DKSC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.87+0.66
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.05-0.05

Common opponents: DKSC — we 0–4; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs DKSC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 12%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at Jenks Sports Complex .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans sit 16th on 0.86 PPG; we are on 0.71.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Tulsa SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Academy – Tulsa SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.63 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
16th▲ up 1 16th▲ up 1 18th▼ down 1
Draw
0.75 PPG
17th— holds 16th▲ up 1 18th▼ down 1
Loss
0.63 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 17th even if every rival loses, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
16.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th 3%
  14. 14th 3%
  15. 15th 9%
  16. 16th 19%
  17. 17th 36%
  18. 18th 20%
  19. 19th 9%
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.16 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 2.57 (+1.86) 3rd (2.22) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 SAFC 2.43 (+1.72) 2nd (2.26) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Lonestar ATX Red 2.38 (+1.67) 4th (2.17) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Solar SC Academy 2.33 (+1.62) 1st (2.27) 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Tulsa SC 1.64 (+0.93) 5th (1.73) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 Colorado Storm 1.63 (+0.92) 6th (1.55) 26 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7 RISE SC 1.50 (+0.79) 9th (1.47) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 FC Westlake 1.50 (+0.79) 8th (1.48) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
9 OK Energy FC Academy 1.42 (+0.71) 7th (1.54) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 DKSC 1.40 (+0.69) 12th (1.40) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
11 Real Colorado Academy 1.38 (+0.67) 10th (1.45) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
12 Sting 1.30 (+0.59) 13th (1.31) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
13 HTX 1.14 (+0.43) 11th (1.41) 17 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.13 (+0.42) 14th (1.30) 17 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
15 SOLAR SC 1.11 (+0.40) 15th (1.21) 17 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
16 Dallas Texans 0.86 (+0.15) 18th (0.69) A point next game

How the results connect

27 chains · 15 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Academy to Tulsa SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 even
22 favour them
-2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 2–1 1–6 5–1 1–0 3–4 3–2 1–1 1–1 2–1 3–5 3–3 0–0 1–2 1–0 2–3 3–4 1–3 2–2 2–5 2–1 5–0 3–0 2–0 1–4 Dallas Texans Acade… 17th DKSC 10th Solar SC Academy 4th FC Dallas Youth Red 1st RISE SC 7th Albion Hurricanes FC 14th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 19th FC Westlake 8th OK Energy FC Academy 9th San Antonio City SC 18th Real Colorado Acade… 11th Sting 12th Colorado Storm 6th SAFC 2nd Tulsa SC 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 7 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:00 PM
Tulsa SC
5th · 5-3-3 · GD +9
Away far trip
Jenks Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.49 0.69 Upside
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM
OK Energy FC Academy
9th · 4-5-3 · GD +5
Away far trip
North Oklahoma City FC
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.64 0.68 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Royal
20th · 0-0-8 · GD -34
Home
Beacon Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.64 0.88 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Red
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +12
Home
Beacon Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.53 0.85 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:00 AM
FC Westlake
8th · 3-3-2 · GD -4
Home
Memorial High School
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.18 0.87 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
HTX
13th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Home
Memorial High School
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.01 0.88 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Real Colorado Academy
11th · 3-2-3 · GD +1
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.79 0.88 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:15 AM
Colorado Storm
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +1
Away far trip
Regis University · turf
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.78 0.87 Upside
Sat Apr 17
02:00 PM
SAFC
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +13
Home
Memorial High School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
San Antonio City SC
18th · 1-2-5 · GD -12
Home
Memorial High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.46 0.88 Swing game
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
Sting
12th · 4-1-5 · GD +3
Away
Sting National Training Center
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.75 0.87 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
SOLAR SC
15th · 3-1-5 · GD -1
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.88 0.87 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 7601 239+14 182.57 WWLWW -0.50 +0.17 93% 2.7
2 SAFC 7520 218+13 172.43 WWWDD +0.22 -0.29 96% 2.4
3 Lonestar ATX Red 8611 197+12 192.38 WDLWW -0.05 -0.13 91% 3.0
4 Solar SC Academy 9702 3011+19 212.33 WWWWW +0.01 -0.22 97% 2.3
5 Tulsa SC 11533 2415+9 181.64 WLWWD -0.05 -0.08 13% 6.2
6 Colorado Storm 8413 1110+1 131.63 LWLWD +0.15 -0.13 3% 8.8
7 RISE SC 8332 1613+3 121.50 WWDWD -0.24 +0.07 2% 9.7
8 FC Westlake 8332 1418-4 121.50 DDWLW +0.44 -0.34 1% 9.7
9 OK Energy FC Academy 12453 2217+5 171.42 LLDLD +0.09 -0.27 1% 8.6
10 DKSC 10424 2016+4 141.40 WDWDL -0.16 +0.11 1% 10.6
11 Real Colorado Academy 8323 1110+1 111.38 DLWLD +0.15 -0.13 1% 10.1
12 Sting 10415 1815+3 131.30 WDLLW -0.23 +0.19 0% 11.8
13 HTX 7223 1414+0 81.14 LDLWL +0.33 -0.22 1% 10.4
14 Albion Hurricanes FC 8233 1616+0 91.13 DLDDW +0.04 -0.12 0% 12.0
15 SOLAR SC 9315 1516-1 101.11 LLWLL -0.09 +0.03 0% 13.3
16 Dallas Texans 7205 622-16 60.86 LLWLL -0.08 +0.14 0% 18.0
17 Dallas Texans Academy 7124 1221-9 50.71 LLLDD +0.05 -0.01 0% 16.6
18 San Antonio City SC 8125 1628-12 50.63 LLWLD +0.53 -0.34 0% 15.6
19 FC Dallas Youth White 4013 210-8 10.25 LLDL -0.47 +0.19 0% 18.3
20 Lonestar ATX Royal 8008 236-34 00.00 LLLLL +0.52 -0.13 0% 20.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.