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San Antonio City SC

ECNL Boys · Texas BU16 · 20 teams · San Antonio City SC (all teams)

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19th
0-1-7 record · 8 played
0.13 points per game
-19 goal diff · 1–20
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 19.1
+0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:00 PM

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San Antonio City SC
19th · 0.13 PPG
vs
Albion Hurricanes FC
15th · 1.13 PPG

Specht Soccer Complex, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.4 for, 1.5 against · 0.55 expected points)

Season so farSan Antonio City SCAlbion Hurricanes FC
Position19th15th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-73-0-5
Points per game0.131.13
Goals for / game0.10.9
Goals against / game2.51.0
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless74
Form (recent first)L L L L LW L L L W
Biggest win—3–0 vs Colorado Storm
Worst loss0–5 vs SOLAR SC0–2 at Solar SC Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.55+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.30+0.38

Common opponents: SOLAR SC — we 0–5; they 0–1. Solar SC Academy — we 0–2; they 0–2. RISE SC — we 0–3; they 0–1. SAFC — we 0–2; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 7 time(s): 0–0 at HTX, 0–3 at FC Westlake, 0–5 vs SOLAR SC, 0–2 vs Solar SC Academy, 0–3 vs RISE SC, 0–3 at OK Energy FC Academy, 0–2 at SAFC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 10%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans sit 18th on 0.43 PPG; we are on 0.13.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Albion Hurricanes FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (San Antonio City SC – Albion Hurricanes FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.11 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1
Win
0.44 PPG
18th▲ up 1 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1
Draw
0.22 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1
Loss
0.11 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 20th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 19th even if every rival loses, and as low as 20th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
19.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th 6%
  19. 19th 72%
  20. 20th 21%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 1.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SOLAR SC 2.56 (+2.43) 1st (2.39) 48 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 OK Energy FC Academy 2.17 (+2.04) 3rd (1.90) 41 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 RISE SC 2.00 (+1.87) 4th (1.88) 37 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Sting 1.90 (+1.77) 7th (1.69) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Solar SC Academy 1.89 (+1.76) 2nd (1.95) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Real Colorado Academy 1.88 (+1.75) 5th (1.83) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 FC Dallas Youth White 1.86 (+1.73) 6th (1.72) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
8 SAFC 1.63 (+1.50) 8th (1.60) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
9 Dallas Texans Academy 1.57 (+1.44) 9th (1.58) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
10 Colorado Storm 1.50 (+1.37) 10th (1.57) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
11 Lonestar ATX Red 1.44 (+1.31) 12th (1.40) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
12 FC Dallas Youth Red 1.38 (+1.25) 11th (1.43) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
13 FC Westlake 1.38 (+1.25) 15th (1.30) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
14 HTX 1.38 (+1.25) 14th (1.30) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
15 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.13 (+1.00) 13th (1.35) 21 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
16 Tulsa SC 0.82 (+0.69) 17th (0.79) 15 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
17 DKSC 0.80 (+0.67) 16th (0.88) 15 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
18 Dallas Texans 0.43 (+0.30) 18th (0.76) A point next game

How the results connect

34 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link San Antonio City SC to Albion Hurricanes FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
5 even
26 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–0 0–2 1–0 0–3 1–0 0–5 1–0 1–1 1–2 1–1 2–1 1–0 2–1 2–2 0–3 1–0 4–0 0–1 San Antonio City SC 19th Solar SC Academy 5th SAFC 8th RISE SC 3rd SOLAR SC 1st Tulsa SC 16th OK Energy FC Academy 2nd Dallas Texans Acade… 9th Real Colorado Acade… 6th Albion Hurricanes FC 15th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 15th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
Albion Hurricanes FC
15th · 3-0-5 · GD -1
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–1 0.55 0.17 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red
12th · 3-2-3 · GD +2
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.42 0.20 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth White
7th · 4-1-2 · GD +5
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.33 0.21 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Red
11th · 3-4-2 · GD +2
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–1 0.45 0.23 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Lonestar ATX Royal
20th · 0-0-9 · GD -24
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
39%
0–0 1.52 0.33 Upside
Sat Dec 12
01:00 PM
Real Colorado Academy
6th · 5-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.31 0.33 Upside
Sat Apr 17
02:00 PM
Dallas Texans
18th · 1-0-6 · GD -11
Away far trip
Heritage High School
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–1 0.76 0.36 Upside
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Dallas Texans Academy
9th · 3-2-2 · GD +2
Away far trip
Memorial High School
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.33 0.35 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
Sting
4th · 6-1-3 · GD +9
Away far trip
Sting National Training Center
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–2 0.23 0.35 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
DKSC
17th · 2-2-6 · GD -5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–1 0.61 0.36 Upside
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
Colorado Storm
10th · 3-3-2 · GD +3
Home
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.32 0.36 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SOLAR SC 9720 256+19 232.56 DWWWW -0.17 -0.02 99% 1.2
2 OK Energy FC Academy 12822 2716+11 262.17 WWWLL -0.27 +0.39 55% 4.5
3 RISE SC 8512 138+5 162.00 WWWWD +0.09 -0.15 52% 4.9
4 Sting 10613 189+9 191.90 WLLWW -0.32 +0.31 20% 7.2
5 Solar SC Academy 9522 187+11 171.89 WWDWL -0.03 -0.08 69% 3.9
6 Real Colorado Academy 8503 138+5 151.88 LLLWW +0.14 -0.14 42% 5.5
7 FC Dallas Youth White 7412 127+5 131.86 LDWWL -0.33 +0.15 28% 6.8
8 SAFC 8341 1310+3 131.63 DWDLW -0.02 -0.05 11% 8.5
9 Dallas Texans Academy 7322 86+2 111.57 LWWWD +0.08 -0.08 9% 9.0
10 Colorado Storm 8332 1613+3 121.50 LDDWW +0.14 -0.12 8% 9.0
11 Lonestar ATX Red 9342 1311+2 131.44 WDDLW -0.10 +0.05 1% 11.4
12 FC Dallas Youth Red 8323 1210+2 111.38 LWWLD -0.19 +0.11 3% 10.9
13 FC Westlake 8323 811-3 111.38 DWWLL +0.19 -0.08 0% 12.9
14 HTX 8323 1115-4 111.38 WWLLW +0.19 -0.08 0% 12.8
15 Albion Hurricanes FC 8305 78-1 91.13 WLLLW +0.38 -0.32 1% 11.9
16 Tulsa SC 11236 1020-10 90.82 WDWLL -0.20 +0.36 0% 17.1
17 DKSC 10226 813-5 80.80 LLWLD -0.11 +0.18 0% 16.4
18 Dallas Texans 7106 415-11 30.43 LLLLL +0.48 -0.21 0% 17.1
19 San Antonio City SC 8017 120-19 10.13 LLLLL +0.30 -0.10 0% 19.1
20 Lonestar ATX Royal 9009 226-24 00.00 LLLLL +0.14 +0.05 0% 19.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.