Result · Sunday, Sep 6, 12:00 PM
HTX 4–4 SAFC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 23% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 29% home, 23% draw, 47% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | HTX | SAFC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-3 | 3-4-1 |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W W | W L D W D |
| Biggest win | 2–0 at Sting | 2–0 vs San Antonio City SC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at OK Energy FC Academy | 0–1 at OK Energy FC Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.30 | +0.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.19 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Sep 6 4–4 (home for HTX)
Common opponents: San Antonio City SC — HTX 0–0; SAFC 2–0. OK Energy FC Academy — HTX 0–4; SAFC 0–1. Tulsa SC — HTX 3–2; SAFC 1–1. SOLAR SC — HTX 0–3; SAFC 2–2. Solar SC Academy — HTX 1–0; SAFC 1–1.
What's at stake
| HTX | SAFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 14th | 8th |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 1% | 11% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 12.8 | 8.6 |
How the results connect
29 chains
8 favour HTX, 16 favour SAFC, 5 even; average margin -0.9 goals toward HTX.
- 0HTX drew with SAFC 4–4
- +1HTX beat Solar SC Academy 1–0 → Solar SC Academy drew with SAFC 1–1
- +1HTX beat Tulsa SC 3–2 → Tulsa SC drew with SAFC 1–1
- -2HTX drew with San Antonio City SC 0–0 → San Antonio City SC lost to SAFC 0–2
- -3HTX lost to SOLAR SC 0–3 → SOLAR SC drew with SAFC 2–2
- -3HTX lost to OK Energy FC Academy 0–4 → OK Energy FC Academy beat SAFC 1–0
Full picture: HTX · SAFC · Texas BU16 standings