TableChase Clubs

FC Dallas Youth Red

ECNL Boys · Texas BU16 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
12th
3-2-3 record · 8 played
1.38 points per game
+2 goal diff · 12–10
LWWLDlast 5
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.9
-0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

Open the match preview →

FC Dallas Youth Red
12th · 1.38 PPG
vs
Colorado Storm
10th · 1.50 PPG

Toyota Soccer Center, Field 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.6 against · 1.44 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth RedColorado Storm
Position12th10th
Record (W-D-L)3-2-33-3-2
Points per game1.381.50
Goals for / game1.52.0
Goals against / game1.31.6
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)D L W W LW W D D L
Biggest win2–0 at Lonestar ATX Royal4–0 vs Lonestar ATX Royal
Worst loss0–1 at Dallas Texans0–3 at Albion Hurricanes FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.15+0.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.19+0.14

Common opponents: OK Energy FC Academy — we 2–3; they 4–2. Lonestar ATX Royal — we 2–0; they 4–0. Lonestar ATX Red — we 3–1; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Colorado Storm score 2.0/game — well above the league's 1.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Dallas Texans, 0–0 at DKSC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Lonestar ATX Red sit 11th on 1.44 PPG; we are on 1.38.

    A point moves us above Lonestar ATX Red on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Red – Colorado Storm) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.33 PPG
14th▼ down 2 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2
Win
1.56 PPG
10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1
Draw
1.33 PPG
14th▼ down 2 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2
Loss
1.22 PPG
14th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
97% below the top 4
10.9 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 4%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 13%
  14. 14th 12%
  15. 15th 7%
  16. 16th 2%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SOLAR SC 2.56 (+1.18) 1st (2.39) 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 OK Energy FC Academy 2.17 (+0.79) 3rd (1.90) 31 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
3 RISE SC 2.00 (+0.62) 4th (1.88) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
4 Sting 1.90 (+0.52) 7th (1.69) 26 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
5 Solar SC Academy 1.89 (+0.51) 2nd (1.95) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Real Colorado Academy 1.88 (+0.50) 5th (1.83) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
7 FC Dallas Youth White 1.86 (+0.48) 6th (1.72) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 SAFC 1.63 (+0.25) 8th (1.60) 20 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Dallas Texans Academy 1.57 (+0.19) 9th (1.58) 19 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
10 Colorado Storm 1.50 (+0.12) 10th (1.57) A point next game
11 Lonestar ATX Red 1.44 (+0.06) 12th (1.40) A point next game

How the results connect

28 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Red to Colorado Storm through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
3 even
17 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 1–1 2–0 0–4 2–3 2–4 1–2 2–0 1–2 2–2 2–1 3–0 0–0 0–0 2–2 6–0 1–0 1–3 FC Dallas Youth Red 12th Lonestar ATX Red 11th Lonestar ATX Royal 20th OK Energy FC Academy 2nd Sting 4th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 7th DKSC 17th Tulsa SC 16th Colorado Storm 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.11 · 6th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
Colorado Storm
10th · 3-3-2 · GD +3
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.44 1.38 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Real Colorado Academy
6th · 5-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.23 1.37 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
San Antonio City SC
19th · 0-1-7 · GD -19
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–0 2.40 1.46 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
TBD
SAFC
8th · 3-4-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.17 1.44 Upside
Sun Feb 21
03:00 PM
Tulsa SC
16th · 2-3-6 · GD -10
Away far trip
Jenks Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–1 1.89 1.47 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
Albion Hurricanes FC
15th · 3-0-5 · GD -1
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–0 1.55 1.48 Upside
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
RISE SC
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +5
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.23 1.46 Upside
Sat May 1
01:00 PM
SOLAR SC
1st · 7-2-0 · GD +19
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–2 0.68 1.41 Upside
Sun May 2
01:00 PM
Solar SC Academy
5th · 5-2-2 · GD +11
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.96 1.38 Upside
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
FC Westlake
13th · 3-2-3 · GD -3
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–0 1.77 1.41 Swing game
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
HTX
14th · 3-2-3 · GD -4
Home
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
1–1 1.82 1.43 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SOLAR SC 9720 256+19 232.56 DWWWW -0.17 -0.02 100% 1.2
2 OK Energy FC Academy 12822 2716+11 262.17 WWWLL -0.27 +0.39 54% 4.6
3 RISE SC 8512 138+5 162.00 WWWWD +0.09 -0.15 50% 5.0
4 Sting 10613 189+9 191.90 WLLWW -0.32 +0.31 19% 7.1
5 Solar SC Academy 9522 187+11 171.89 WWDWL -0.03 -0.08 72% 3.8
6 Real Colorado Academy 8503 138+5 151.88 LLLWW +0.14 -0.14 42% 5.6
7 FC Dallas Youth White 7412 127+5 131.86 LDWWL -0.33 +0.15 28% 6.8
8 SAFC 8341 1310+3 131.63 DWDLW -0.02 -0.05 10% 8.7
9 Dallas Texans Academy 7322 86+2 111.57 LWWWD +0.08 -0.08 10% 8.8
10 Colorado Storm 8332 1613+3 121.50 LDDWW +0.14 -0.12 9% 9.1
11 Lonestar ATX Red 9342 1311+2 131.44 WDDLW -0.10 +0.05 1% 11.4
12 FC Dallas Youth Red 8323 1210+2 111.38 LWWLD -0.19 +0.11 3% 10.9
13 FC Westlake 8323 811-3 111.38 DWWLL +0.19 -0.08 1% 12.8
14 HTX 8323 1115-4 111.38 WWLLW +0.19 -0.08 0% 12.8
15 Albion Hurricanes FC 8305 78-1 91.13 WLLLW +0.38 -0.32 1% 12.0
16 Tulsa SC 11236 1020-10 90.82 WDWLL -0.20 +0.36 0% 17.1
17 DKSC 10226 813-5 80.80 LLWLD -0.11 +0.18 0% 16.4
18 Dallas Texans 7106 415-11 30.43 LLLLL +0.48 -0.21 0% 17.2
19 San Antonio City SC 8017 120-19 10.13 LLLLL +0.30 -0.10 0% 19.1
20 Lonestar ATX Royal 9009 226-24 00.00 LLLLL +0.14 +0.05 0% 19.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.