ECNL Boys · 2026-27 · Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Week 10 in Northern Cal BU16: what changed
8 games · 27 goals
Week 10 in Northern Cal BU16 (Oct 19 to Oct 25): 8 games, 27 goals. Marin FC climbed 3 places to 8th. COSC slipped 2 places to 6th. Placer United lead on 3.00 points per game. The biggest upset was COSC 1–2 Santa Rosa United, a result the model gave a 5% chance. Next week's game to watch: River Islands Surf vs COSC on Sunday.
Results
Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Sat Oct 24
- Napa United (15th) 2–1 (14th) Los Gatos United Soccer Club
- Association FC B10/11 (7th) 1–3 (13th) Santa Clara Sporting
Sun Oct 25
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marin FC | 11th | 8th | ▲3 | — |
| Davis Legacy | 7th | 5th | ▲2 | — |
| COSC | 4th | 6th | ▼2 | — |
| Santa Clara Sporting | 15th | 13th | ▲2 | — |
| El Camino FC Salinas | 14th | 16th | ▼2 | — |
| San Francisco Elite Academy | 3rd | 2nd | ▲1 | — |
| Folsom Lake Surf | 2nd | 3rd | ▼1 | — |
| River Islands Surf | 5th | 4th | ▲1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
COSC 1–2 Santa Rosa United 5% likelySun Oct 25 · model favoured COSC
- Sat Oct 24 · model favoured Association FC B10/11
-
Napa United 2–1 Los Gatos United Soccer Club 29% likelySat Oct 24 · model favoured Los Gatos United Soccer Club
How likely each result was by today's ratings.
Next week: games that matter
Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1
-
River Islands Surf (4th) vs COSC (6th) Sun Nov 153% · 18% · 29% — KEY GAME toss-up, both still chasing the zone
-
69% · 20% · 11% — KEY GAME form check
-
41% · 23% · 36% — KEY GAME toss-up
-
Marin FC (8th) vs 1974 Newark FC (10th) Sun Nov 140% · 22% · 38% — KEY GAME toss-up
-
29% · 23% · 48% — KEY GAME toss-up