TableChase Clubs

Unico Futbol Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U17 · 13 teams · Unico Futbol Club (all teams)

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5th
2-2-1 record · 5 played
1.60 points per game
+0 goal diff · 8–8
DWDWLlast 5
17% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.1
+0.81 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Unico Futbol Club
5th · 1.60 PPG
at
Central Cal Aztecs 2
6th · 1.57 PPG

Kern County Soccer Park, 7 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 for, 1.9 against · 1.12 expected points)

Season so farUnico Futbol ClubCentral Cal Aztecs 2
Position5th6th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-13-2-2
Points per game1.601.57
Goals for / game1.62.1
Goals against / game1.61.6
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W D W DW L W D D
Biggest win2–1 at TFA-SGV4–1 at FC Man United
Worst loss2–4 vs ALBION SC SCV2–3 at Central Coast Surf Soccer
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.15+0.41
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.81+0.10

Common opponents: FC Man United — we 0–0; they 4–1. ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) — we 3–2; they 1–1. ALBION SC SCV — we 2–4; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs FC Man United.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 30%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Kern County Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    TFA-SGV sit 4th on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.60.

    A point moves us above TFA-SGV on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Cal Aztecs 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Unico Futbol Club – Central Cal Aztecs 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.50 PPG		 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 3
Win
1.83 PPG		 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.50 PPG		 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 3
Loss
1.33 PPG		 8th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we fall to at least 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
17% top 4
83% below the top 4
6.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 16%
  5. 5th 20%
  6. 6th 23%
  7. 7th 26%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC SCV 2.75 (+1.15) 2nd (2.41) 58 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 2.50 (+0.90) 1st (2.42) 52 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
3 Dynamo 2.33 (+0.73) 3rd (2.33) 48 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 1.75 (+0.15) 5th (1.65) A point next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Unico Futbol Club to Central Cal Aztecs 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
3 even
6 favour them
+0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 1–1 2–4 2–2 0–0 1–4 4–1 2–3 2–1 3–2 1–1 1–0 3–4 2–1 2–1 3–4 3–1 0–2 3–2 3–2 6–0 Unico Futbol Club 5th ALBION SC Antelope … 11th ALBION SC SCV 1st FC Man United 8th Dynamo 3rd TFA-SGV 4th Oaks FC 2 7th Central Coast Surf … 2nd Oxnard United Socce… 10th LA Surf SC SFV 13th Central Cal Aztecs 2 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.21 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 27
12:10 PM
no score posted		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-3 · GD -12		 Home
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 3–1 2.20 1.70 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +4		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–1 1.12 1.62 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +5		 Away
River Ridge		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 1–2 1.05 1.55 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Away
Birmingham High School		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 2–0 2.59 1.66 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
01:40 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +25		 Home
Elings Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.53 1.55 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:25 PM		 LA Surf SC SFV
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -29		 Home
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●○○○○ Favorable
86%		 3–0 2.67 1.65 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
06:30 PM		 FC Man United
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -2		 Away
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 1–1 1.54 1.64 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
01:55 PM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 4-2-2 · GD +9		 Home
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.29 1.61 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +20		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.42 1.53 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 2–1 1.84 1.55 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-3 · GD -12		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
58%		 2–2 1.90 1.57 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -10		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 2–1 2.05 1.60 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–2 0.49 1.54 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +25		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.36 1.48 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.38 1.47 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.31 1.46 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 3–0 2.72 1.52 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -29		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
80%		 3–0 2.52 1.56 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -10		 Away
River Ridge Playfields		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 2–1 1.78 1.57 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC SCV 8710 307+23 222.75 DWWWW -0.49 +0.00 100% 1.9
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6501 305+25 152.50 WWWLW -0.26 -0.17 100% 1.8
3 Dynamo 6420 222+20 142.33 DWWWW -0.78 +0.02 100% 2.3
4 TFA-SGV 8422 2213+9 141.75 LWWWW -0.68 +0.21 28% 5.4
5 Unico Futbol Club 5221 88+0 81.60 DWDWL +0.81 -0.21 17% 6.1
6 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7322 1511+4 111.57 DDWLW +0.10 -0.08 19% 5.8
7 Oaks FC 2 8404 1813+5 121.50 WWLLL +0.53 -0.29 36% 5.2
8 FC Man United 7313 1113-2 101.43 LWWLL -0.65 +0.33 0% 8.6
9 Central Coast United Soccer Club 6213 1426-12 71.17 LDLWW +0.11 +0.07 0% 10.1
10 Oxnard United Soccer Club 6204 919-10 61.00 LWLWL +0.61 -0.11 0% 9.3
11 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 1014-4 40.67 DLLLL +0.02 +0.07 0% 9.4
12 Valley United Soccer Club 7106 130-29 30.43 LLWLL +0.52 +0.10 0% 12.4
13 LA Surf SC SFV 8008 534-29 00.00 LLLLL +0.13 +0.25 0% 12.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.17 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.