Central Coast Surf Soccer

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U17 · 13 teams · Central Coast Surf Soccer (all teams)

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2nd

5-0-1 record · 6 played

2.50 points per game

+25 goal diff · 30–5

WWWLWlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.8

-0.26 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:30 PM

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Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Dynamo
3rd · 2.33 PPG

Talley Fields, Field #1 ↗

43% 21% 36%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.8 against · 1.50 expected points)

Season so far	Central Coast Surf Soccer	Dynamo
Position	2nd	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	5-0-1	4-2-0
Points per game	2.50	2.33
Goals for / game	5.0	3.7
Goals against / game	0.8	0.3
Clean sheets	3	4
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W L W W W	W W W W D
Biggest win	13–1 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club	10–0 at LA Surf SC SFV
Worst loss	1–2 vs ALBION SC SCV	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+2.55	+2.04
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.26	-0.78

Common opponents: Valley United Soccer Club — we 8–0; they 7–0. Oaks FC 2 — we 1–0; they 1–0.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Dynamo score 3.7/game — well above the league's 2.2.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
Dynamo concede only 0.3/game with 4 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Swing game — small margins
Win 43% / draw 21% / loss 36%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
They arrive in form
Dynamo have won 4 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dynamo game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Central Coast Surf Soccer – Dynamo) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.29 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Win 2.57 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Draw 2.29 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Loss 2.14 PPG	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1	3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

44% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

1.8 average finish

1st 44%
2nd 34%
3rd 21%
4th <1%
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	ALBION SC SCV	2.75 (+0.25)	2nd (2.41)	51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection

How the results connect

18 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Central Coast Surf Soccer to Dynamo through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us

1 even

6 favour them

+0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.17 · 11th hardest of 13

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 02:30 PM	Dynamo 3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +20	Home Talley Fields	●●●○○ Toss-up	43%	1–1	1.50	2.36	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 12:00 PM	FC Man United 8th · 3-1-3 · GD -2	Home Talley Fields	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	3–0	2.71	2.40	Bank it
Sun Nov 1 10:15 AM	LA Surf SC SFV 13th · 0-0-8 · GD -29	Away Moorpark HS · turf?	●○○○○ Favorable	98%	6–0	2.96	2.46	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 01:40 PM	Unico Futbol Club 5th · 2-2-1 · GD +0	Away Elings Park	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	3–1	2.33	2.45	Bank it
Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM	TFA-SGV 4th · 4-2-2 · GD +9	Away Azusa High School · turf	●●○○○ Lean win	67%	3–1	2.17	2.42	Swing game
Sat Nov 14 09:30 AM	Valley United Soccer Club 12th · 1-0-6 · GD -29	Home Talley Fields	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	6–0	2.98	2.47	Bank it
Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM	Central Cal Aztecs 2 6th · 3-2-2 · GD +4	Away Kern County Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	2–1	2.22	2.45	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM	Oxnard United Soccer Club 10th · 2-0-4 · GD -10	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	93%	5–1	2.84	2.48	Bank it
Sat Mar 13 12:00 PM	Central Coast United Soccer Club 9th · 2-1-3 · GD -12	Away CMT Ranch	●○○○○ Favorable	93%	5–1	2.83	2.50	Bank it
Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM	ALBION SC SCV 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	41%	2–2	1.42	2.44	Upside
Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -4	Away TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	83%	3–1	2.60	2.44	Bank it
Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM	Unico Futbol Club 5th · 2-2-1 · GD +0	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	81%	3–1	2.53	2.45	Bank it
Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM	Oaks FC 2 7th · 4-0-4 · GD +5	Away TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	67%	2–1	2.16	2.43	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 12:00 PM	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -4	Home Talley Fields	●○○○○ Favorable	89%	4–1	2.75	2.45	Bank it
Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM	Dynamo 3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +20	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	34%	1–2	1.22	2.39	Upside
Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM	FC Man United 8th · 3-1-3 · GD -2	Away TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	81%	3–1	2.55	2.40	Bank it
Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM	LA Surf SC SFV 13th · 0-0-8 · GD -29	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	7–0	2.98	2.42	Bank it
Sun May 2 12:00 AM	TFA-SGV 4th · 4-2-2 · GD +9	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	77%	3–1	2.42	2.42	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

ALBION SC SCV

+23

2.75

DWWWW

-0.49

+0.00

100%

1.9

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	5–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	4–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	6–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	4–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Man United · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Dynamo See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Man United (8th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Dynamo (3rd)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	5–0	98%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–1	70%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	4–0	97%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	4–0	89%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FC Man United (8th)	2–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	1–1	37%
·	Tue May 25	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	2–1	69%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Coast Surf Soccer

+25

2.50

WWWLW

-0.26

-0.17

100%

1.8

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	13–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	8–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dynamo · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Man United · Sun Nov 1 at LA Surf SC SFV See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Man United (8th)	3–0	88%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	6–0	99%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–1	69%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	5–1	93%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	5–1	93%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	4–1	89%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Dynamo (3rd)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	FC Man United (8th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	7–0	99%
·	Sun May 2	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	3–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dynamo

+20

2.33

DWWWW

-0.78

+0.02

100%

2.3

W	Sun Oct 18	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	10–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	7–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–1
D	Sat Aug 29	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–1

Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sat Oct 31 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 20 (no score yet)	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	4–0	90%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	5–1	94%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–0	73%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	3–0	85%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	4–0	97%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FC Man United (8th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	3–0	79%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	2–0	72%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	5–0	98%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	4–1	90%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–1	40%
·	Sun May 2	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–1	65%
·	Tue May 25	at	FC Man United (8th)	2–0	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

TFA-SGV

1.75

LWWWW

-0.68

+0.21

27%

5.5

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	5–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	4–1
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Man United (8th)	3–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	3–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–2
D	Sat Aug 29	at	Dynamo (3rd)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	4–1	79%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	FC Man United (8th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	4–0	94%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun May 2	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Tue May 25	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–2	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Unico Futbol Club

1.60

DWDWL

+0.81

-0.21

16%

6.1

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	2–4
W	Sun Sep 20	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	3–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 6	vs	FC Man United (8th)	0–0

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sat Oct 31 at Oaks FC 2 See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–1	68%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	2–0	82%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Man United (8th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	2–2	58%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–2	11%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0	88%
·	Sun May 2	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–0	80%
·	Tue May 25	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–1	52%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Cal Aztecs 2

1.57

DDWLW

+0.10

-0.08

21%

5.7

W	Sun Oct 18	at	FC Man United (8th)	4–1
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	1–2
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	3–2
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 6	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	2–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Unico Futbol Club · Sat Oct 31 vs Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at TFA-SGV See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0	91%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–1	64%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Man United (8th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	1–2	16%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–1	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oaks FC 2

1.50

WWLLL

+0.53

-0.29

36%

5.2

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	4–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Man United (8th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Unico Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Central Coast United Soccer Club See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	FC Man United (8th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0	92%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–2	12%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–1	77%
·	Tue May 25	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Man United

-2

1.43

LWWLL

-0.65

+0.33

8.7

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–4
L	Sun Oct 11	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 27	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–1
D	Sun Sep 6	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC SCV · Sat Oct 31 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sun Nov 1 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	2–2	57%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	2–0	75%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–0	79%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–2	11%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun May 2	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	1–1	44%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	0–2	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Coast United Soccer Club

-12

1.17

LDLWW

+0.11

+0.07

10.1

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	4–2
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	5–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–13
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Man United (8th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–4

Next: Sun Sep 27 at Unico Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Dynamo See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–3	17%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dynamo (3rd)	1–5	2%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	FC Man United (8th)	2–2	26%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–4	11%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–5	3%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	2–2	25%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–3	26%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–3	21%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–3	34%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun May 2	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–3	12%
·	Tue May 25	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–3	13%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oxnard United Soccer Club

-10

1.00

LWLWL

+0.61

-0.11

9.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	2–1
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	2–5
W	Sun Sep 27	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	4–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	0–4

Next: Sun Sep 20 at Dynamo · Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Oct 25 vs TFA-SGV See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 20 (no score yet)	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Man United (8th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–2	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	FC Man United (8th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0	80%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)

-4

0.67

DLLLL

+0.02

+0.07

9.4

L	Sat Oct 17	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–4
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	3–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	2–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC SCV · Sun Nov 1 at Oaks FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Man United (8th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	3–2	58%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun May 2	at	FC Man United (8th)	1–1	34%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Valley United Soccer Club

-29

0.43

LLWLL

+0.52

+0.10

12.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 17	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	0–5
W	Sun Oct 11	at	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–7
L	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Man United (8th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	0–8

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Unico Futbol Club See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	0–2	6%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	0–6	0%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC Man United (8th)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	0–4	1%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	0–3	2%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	LA Surf SC SFV (13th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	1–3	7%
·	Sun May 2	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	0–3	8%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Surf SC SFV

-29

0.00

LLLLL

+0.13

+0.25

12.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Dynamo (3rd)	0–10
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	2–4
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	TFA-SGV (4th)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Man United (8th)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	0–6
L	Sun Sep 6	at	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 1 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	0–6	1%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Central Cal Aztecs 2 (6th)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Oxnard United Soccer Club (10th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	ALBION SC SCV (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Oaks FC 2 (7th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC Man United (8th)	0–3	8%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Valley United Soccer Club (12th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Central Coast United Soccer Club (9th)	1–3	16%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Dynamo (3rd)	0–5	0%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) (11th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	TFA-SGV (4th)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Central Coast Surf Soccer (2nd)	0–7	0%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Unico Futbol Club (5th)	0–3	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.17 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.