Central Cal Aztecs 2
Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U17 · 13 teams · Central Cal Aztecs (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.5 against · 1.66 expected points)
| Season so far | Central Cal Aztecs 2 | Unico Futbol Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.57 | 1.60 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W D D | L W D W D |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at FC Man United | 2–1 at TFA-SGV |
| Worst loss | 2–3 at Central Coast Surf Soccer | 2–4 vs ALBION SC SCV |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.41 | +0.15 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | +0.81 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) — we 1–1; they 3–2. ALBION SC SCV — we 2–2; they 2–4. FC Man United — we 4–1; they 0–0.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 48% / draw 22% / loss 30%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Unico Futbol Club sit 5th on 1.60 PPG; we are on 1.57.A point moves us above Unico Futbol Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Unico Futbol Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Central Cal Aztecs 2 – Unico Futbol Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.50 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.75 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.50 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.38 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 20%
- 5th 24%
- 6th 25%
- 7th 22%
- 8th 6%
- 9th 1%
- 10th <1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC SCV | 2.75 (+1.18) | 2nd (2.41) | 55 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection |
| 2 | Central Coast Surf Soccer | 2.50 (+0.93) | 1st (2.42) | 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 3 | Dynamo | 2.33 (+0.76) | 3rd (2.33) | 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 4 | TFA-SGV | 1.75 (+0.18) | 5th (1.65) | Win next game |
| 5 | Unico Futbol Club | 1.60 (+0.03) | 7th (1.57) | A point next game |
How the results connect
17 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link Central Cal Aztecs 2 to Unico Futbol Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.08 · 9th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Unico Futbol Club 5th · 2-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–1 | 1.66 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Valley United Soccer Club 12th · 1-0-6 · GD -29 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
3–0 | 2.79 | 1.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
TFA-SGV 4th · 4-2-2 · GD +9 |
Away Azusa High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.15 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 06:30 PM |
Dynamo 3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +20 |
Away Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
0–2 | 0.49 | 1.55 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 08:30 AM |
LA Surf SC SFV 13th · 0-0-8 · GD -29 |
Away Calabasas HS · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–0 | 2.62 | 1.64 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM |
Central Coast Surf Soccer 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +25 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.63 | 1.56 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC SCV 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.57 | 1.51 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 PM |
Central Coast United Soccer Club 9th · 2-1-3 · GD -12 |
Away CMT Ranch |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
3–1 | 2.07 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 01:00 PM |
Oaks FC 2 7th · 4-0-4 · GD +5 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.46 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Oxnard United Soccer Club 10th · 2-0-4 · GD -10 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 1.56 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 01:00 PM |
FC Man United 8th · 3-1-3 · GD -2 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Unico Futbol Club 5th · 2-2-1 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.39 | 1.57 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
Valley United Soccer Club 12th · 1-0-6 · GD -29 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
3–0 | 2.68 | 1.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 01:00 PM |
TFA-SGV 4th · 4-2-2 · GD +9 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.44 | 1.62 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 01:00 PM |
Dynamo 3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +20 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.67 | 1.57 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Central Coast United Soccer Club 9th · 2-1-3 · GD -12 |
Home Kern County Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
3–1 | 2.35 | 1.61 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | ALBION SC SCV | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 7 | +23 | 22 | 2.75 | DWWWW | -0.49 | +0.00 | 100% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Man United · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Dynamo See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Central Coast Surf Soccer | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 5 | +25 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.26 | -0.17 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dynamo · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Man United · Sun Nov 1 at LA Surf SC SFV See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Dynamo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 2 | +20 | 14 | 2.33 | DWWWW | -0.78 | +0.02 | 100% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sat Oct 31 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | TFA-SGV | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 14 | 1.75 | LWWWW | -0.68 | +0.21 | 27% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Unico Futbol Club | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 8 | 1.60 | DWDWL | +0.81 | -0.21 | 16% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sat Oct 31 at Oaks FC 2 See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Central Cal Aztecs 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 11 | 1.57 | DDWLW | +0.10 | -0.08 | 21% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Unico Futbol Club · Sat Oct 31 vs Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at TFA-SGV See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Oaks FC 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 12 | 1.50 | WWLLL | +0.53 | -0.29 | 36% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Unico Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Central Coast United Soccer Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FC Man United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 | 1.43 | LWWLL | -0.65 | +0.33 | 0% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC SCV · Sat Oct 31 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sun Nov 1 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Central Coast United Soccer Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 7 | 1.17 | LDLWW | +0.11 | +0.07 | 0% | 10.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Unico Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Dynamo See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Oxnard United Soccer Club | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLWL | +0.61 | -0.11 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Dynamo · Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Oct 25 vs TFA-SGV See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLLL | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC SCV · Sun Nov 1 at Oaks FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Valley United Soccer Club | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 30 | -29 | 3 | 0.43 | LLWLL | +0.52 | +0.10 | 0% | 12.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Unico Futbol Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | LA Surf SC SFV | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 34 | -29 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.13 | +0.25 | 0% | 12.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 1 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.17 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.