TableChase Clubs

Dynamo

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U17 · 13 teams · Dynamo (all teams)

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3rd
4-2-0 record · 6 played
2.33 points per game
+20 goal diff · 22–2
DWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.3
-0.78 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:30 PM

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Dynamo
3rd · 2.33 PPG
at
Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Talley Fields, Field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.9 against · 1.28 expected points)

Season so farDynamoCentral Coast Surf Soccer
Position3rd2nd
Record (W-D-L)4-2-05-0-1
Points per game2.332.50
Goals for / game3.75.0
Goals against / game0.30.8
Clean sheets43
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W W DW L W W W
Biggest win10–0 at LA Surf SC SFV13–1 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club
Worst loss—1–2 vs ALBION SC SCV
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.04+2.55
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.78-0.26

Common opponents: Valley United Soccer Club — we 7–0; they 8–0. Oaks FC 2 — we 1–0; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Central Coast Surf Soccer score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Central Coast Surf Soccer concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:30 PM at Talley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast Surf Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dynamo – Central Coast Surf Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.14 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.43 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
2.14 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
2.00 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

21% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.3 average finish
  1. 1st 21%
  2. 2nd 29%
  3. 3rd 49%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.83 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC SCV 2.75 (+0.42) 2nd (2.41) 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 2.50 (+0.17) 1st (2.42) 46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection

How the results connect

18 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Dynamo to Central Coast Surf Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
11 favour them
-0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 0–1 7–0 0–8 10–0 0–1 1–4 2–1 3–1 0–4 2–3 2–3 2–0 1–1 1–1 2–4 1–1 3–4 3–0 3–4 0–5 Dynamo 3rd Oaks FC 2 7th Valley United Socce… 12th LA Surf SC SFV 13th ALBION SC Antelope … 11th Unico Futbol Club 5th TFA-SGV 4th ALBION SC SCV 1st Oxnard United Socce… 10th Central Cal Aztecs 2 6th Central Coast Surf … 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
06:15 PM
no score posted		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -10		 Home
Whitsett Soccer Complex · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 4–0 2.77 2.40 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
02:30 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +25		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.28 2.26 Upside
Sat Oct 31
06:30 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-3 · GD -12		 Home
Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center		 ●○○○○ Favorable
94%		 5–1 2.87 2.32 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
06:15 PM		 ALBION SC SCV
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23		 Home
Whitsett Soccer Complex · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 1–1 1.70 2.26 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
06:30 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +4		 Home
Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center		 ●●○○○ Lean win
73%		 2–0 2.36 2.27 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
12:30 PM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 4-2-2 · GD +9		 Away
Azusa High School · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.10 2.26 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
5th · 2-2-1 · GD +0		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 2–0 2.44 2.27 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-4 · GD -10		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 3–0 2.65 2.30 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
97%		 4–0 2.93 2.34 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -2		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 3–0 2.62 2.36 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 3–0 2.51 2.37 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 4-0-4 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 2–0 2.31 2.36 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -29		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 5–0 2.96 2.39 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +25		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–1 1.57 2.35 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-3 · GD -12		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 4–1 2.77 2.37 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 1–1 1.43 2.33 Upside
Sun May 2
01:00 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +4		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 2–1 2.14 2.32 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -2		 Away
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 2–0 2.46 2.33 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC SCV 8710 307+23 222.75 DWWWW -0.49 +0.00 100% 2.0
2 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6501 305+25 152.50 WWWLW -0.26 -0.17 100% 1.8
3 Dynamo 6420 222+20 142.33 DWWWW -0.78 +0.02 100% 2.3
4 TFA-SGV 8422 2213+9 141.75 LWWWW -0.68 +0.21 28% 5.4
5 Unico Futbol Club 5221 88+0 81.60 DWDWL +0.81 -0.21 16% 6.0
6 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7322 1511+4 111.57 DDWLW +0.10 -0.08 20% 5.8
7 Oaks FC 2 8404 1813+5 121.50 WWLLL +0.53 -0.29 36% 5.2
8 FC Man United 7313 1113-2 101.43 LWWLL -0.65 +0.33 0% 8.7
9 Central Coast United Soccer Club 6213 1426-12 71.17 LDLWW +0.11 +0.07 0% 10.1
10 Oxnard United Soccer Club 6204 919-10 61.00 LWLWL +0.61 -0.11 0% 9.3
11 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 1014-4 40.67 DLLLL +0.02 +0.07 0% 9.4
12 Valley United Soccer Club 7106 130-29 30.43 LLWLL +0.52 +0.10 0% 12.3
13 LA Surf SC SFV 8008 534-29 00.00 LLLLL +0.13 +0.25 0% 12.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.17 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.