TableChase Clubs

Valley United Soccer Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U14 · 13 teams · Valley United Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 37 minutes ago.
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2nd
6-1-0 record · 7 played
2.71 points per game
+25 goal diff · 28–3
DWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
+0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:40 PM

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Valley United Soccer Club
2nd · 2.71 PPG
vs
Central Coast United Soccer Club
1st · 3.00 PPG

Valley United Soccer Complex, Olivar ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 for, 1.9 against · 1.15 expected points)

Season so farValley United Soccer ClubCentral Coast United Soccer Club
Position2nd1st
Record (W-D-L)6-1-07-0-0
Points per game2.713.00
Goals for / game4.05.6
Goals against / game0.40.3
Clean sheets55
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W W DW W W W W
Biggest win12–0 vs TFA-SGV12–0 vs TFA-SGV
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.54+3.81
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.05+0.36

Common opponents: Central Coast Surf Soccer — we 2–0; they 3–1. FC Man United — we 1–1; they 2–0. LA Surf SC SFV — we 3–2; they 6–1. ALBION SC SCV — we 4–0; they 4–0. TFA-SGV — we 12–0; they 12–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Central Coast United Soccer Club score 5.6/game — well above the league's 2.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Central Coast United Soccer Club concede only 0.3/game with 5 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 31%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Central Coast United Soccer Club have won 7 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Valley United Soccer Club – Central Coast United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.50 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.75 PPG		 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1
Draw
2.50 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.38 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

10% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 10%
  2. 2nd 85%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.92 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 3.00 (+0.29) 1st (2.75) 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection

How the results connect

27 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Valley United Soccer Club to Central Coast United Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
4 even
18 favour them
-2.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
12–0 0–12 4–0 0–4 2–0 1–3 1–1 0–2 3–2 1–6 2–2 0–4 2–0 1–1 2–6 4–4 Valley United Socce… 2nd TFA-SGV 9th ALBION SC SCV 8th Central Coast Surf … 6th FC Man United 5th LA Surf SC SFV 3rd Oxnard United Socce… 4th Central Coast Unite… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.34 · 10th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:40 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.15 2.52 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -65		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
100%		 9–0 3.00 2.57 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
12:40 PM		 Unico Futbol Club
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14		 Home
Birmingham High School		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 4–0 2.88 2.60 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 2–1 2.29 2.57 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
09:30 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +15		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 2–1 1.94 2.52 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:20 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +2		 Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 3–1 2.53 2.52 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 1–0 2.23 2.50 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -21		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
97%		 5–0 2.94 2.53 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -3		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 3–1 2.59 2.53 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 2–1 2.17 2.51 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
8th · 3-1-4 · GD +20		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 3–1 2.28 2.50 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
9th · 2-1-5 · GD -27		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–0 2.89 2.52 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -65		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
100%		 9–0 3.00 2.54 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 4–0 2.79 2.56 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +37		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.89 2.48 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 2–1 2.05 2.46 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -3		 Home
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
89%		 4–1 2.74 2.47 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7700 392+37 213.00 WWWWW +0.36 -0.61 100% 1.1
2 Valley United Soccer Club 7610 283+25 192.71 DWWWW +0.05 -0.34 100% 2.0
3 LA Surf SC SFV 8512 2711+16 162.00 DWLLW -0.20 -0.03 53% 4.5
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7421 2312+11 142.00 WWLWD -0.23 -0.05 34% 5.1
5 FC Man United 7331 95+4 121.71 DDDWW -0.56 +0.10 5% 6.6
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2712+15 101.67 WDLWW +0.48 -0.36 68% 4.1
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6303 1816+2 91.50 WWLLW -1.49 +0.48 0% 8.1
8 ALBION SC SCV 8314 4020+20 101.25 WLWLD +0.31 -0.41 40% 4.9
9 TFA-SGV 8215 1340-27 70.88 WLLLL +0.51 +0.04 0% 10.6
10 Unico Futbol Club 6114 822-14 40.67 DWLLL +0.30 +0.08 0% 10.5
11 Oaks FC 2 7115 1922-3 40.57 LLLWL -0.38 +0.15 0% 9.0
12 Dynamo 6105 526-21 30.50 LLLWL +0.20 +0.19 0% 11.6
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 267-65 00.00 LLLLL +0.78 +0.36 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.