TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC SCV

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U14 · 13 teams · ALBION SC SCV (all teams)

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8th
3-1-4 record · 8 played
1.25 points per game
+20 goal diff · 40–20
WLWLDlast 5
38% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:30 AM

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ALBION SC SCV
8th · 1.25 PPG
vs
FC Man United
5th · 1.71 PPG

Turf - West Ranch High School, Stadium ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.4 against · 1.92 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC SCVFC Man United
Position8th5th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-43-3-1
Points per game1.251.71
Goals for / game5.01.3
Goals against / game2.50.7
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)D L W L WW W D D D
Biggest win23–0 at Central Cal Aztecs 23–0 vs Central Cal Aztecs 2
Worst loss0–4 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club0–2 at Central Coast United Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.95+0.33
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31-0.56

Common opponents: Central Coast United Soccer Club — we 0–4; they 0–2. Oaks FC 2 — we 6–2; they 1–1. LA Surf SC SFV — we 0–2; they 1–1. Central Cal Aztecs 2 — we 23–0; they 3–0. Unico Futbol Club — we 7–0; they 1–0. Valley United Soccer Club — we 0–4; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FC Man United average 1.3 goals/game (league avg 2.8); blanked in 1 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Hard to break down
    FC Man United concede only 0.7/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club, 0–2 at LA Surf SC SFV, 0–4 vs Valley United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 57% / draw 20% / loss 23%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Man United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC SCV – FC Man United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.44 PPG		 8th— holds 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Win
1.44 PPG		 8th— holds 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Draw
1.22 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Loss
1.11 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
38% top 4
62% below the top 4
4.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 15%
  4. 4th 23%
  5. 5th 27%
  6. 6th 24%
  7. 7th 11%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.75) 1st (2.75) 62 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 57 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Valley United Soccer Club 2.71 (+1.46) 2nd (2.47) 56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 LA Surf SC SFV 2.00 (+0.75) 4th (1.91) 38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+0.75) 5th (1.83) 38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
5 FC Man United 1.71 (+0.46) 7th (1.58) 32 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.67 (+0.42) 3rd (1.95) 31 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 1.50 (+0.25) 8th (1.22) 26 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

30 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC SCV to FC Man United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

16 favour us
2 even
12 favour them
+2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 1–1 0–4 2–0 0–4 1–1 6–2 1–1 7–0 0–1 23–0 0–3 2–2 3–0 2–4 0–2 3–2 0–8 6–1 0–4 ALBION SC SCV 8th LA Surf SC SFV 3rd Central Coast Unite… 1st Valley United Socce… 2nd Oaks FC 2 11th Unico Futbol Club 10th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th Oxnard United Socce… 4th TFA-SGV 9th FC Man United 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.41 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4		 Home
Turf - West Ranch High School · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 2–1 1.92 1.32 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
11:55 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +2		 Home
Central Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 4–2 2.44 1.44 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -21		 Away
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.81 1.56 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
12:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +37		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.29 1.46 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -3		 Away
River Ridge		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 4–2 2.24 1.52 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 3–2 1.64 1.52 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -65		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
100%		 9–0 3.00 1.62 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +15		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 3–3 1.62 1.62 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
9th · 2-1-5 · GD -27		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 6–1 2.79 1.69 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.79 1.75 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +25		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.59 1.69 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 3–2 1.82 1.70 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–1 1.64 1.69 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 4–2 2.14 1.72 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -21		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.90 1.77 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
9th · 2-1-5 · GD -27		 Home
Turf - West Ranch High School · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 7–1 2.89 1.81 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7700 392+37 213.00 WWWWW +0.36 -0.61 100% 1.1
2 Valley United Soccer Club 7610 283+25 192.71 DWWWW +0.05 -0.34 100% 1.9
3 LA Surf SC SFV 8512 2711+16 162.00 DWLLW -0.20 -0.03 54% 4.4
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7421 2312+11 142.00 WWLWD -0.23 -0.05 36% 5.0
5 FC Man United 7331 95+4 121.71 DDDWW -0.56 +0.10 6% 6.6
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2712+15 101.67 WDLWW +0.48 -0.36 65% 4.1
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6303 1816+2 91.50 WWLLW -1.49 +0.48 0% 8.2
8 ALBION SC SCV 8314 4020+20 101.25 WLWLD +0.31 -0.41 38% 4.9
9 TFA-SGV 8215 1340-27 70.88 WLLLL +0.51 +0.04 0% 10.6
10 Unico Futbol Club 6114 822-14 40.67 DWLLL +0.30 +0.08 0% 10.4
11 Oaks FC 2 7115 1922-3 40.57 LLLWL -0.38 +0.15 0% 9.0
12 Dynamo 6105 526-21 30.50 LLLWL +0.20 +0.19 0% 11.6
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 267-65 00.00 LLLLL +0.78 +0.36 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.