TableChase Clubs

FC Man United

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U14 · 13 teams · FC Man United (all teams)

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5th
3-3-1 record · 7 played
1.71 points per game
+4 goal diff · 9–5
DDDWWlast 5
6% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.6
-0.56 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:30 AM

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FC Man United
5th · 1.71 PPG
at
ALBION SC SCV
8th · 1.25 PPG

Turf - West Ranch High School, Stadium ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.3 against · 0.89 expected points)

Season so farFC Man UnitedALBION SC SCV
Position5th8th
Record (W-D-L)3-3-13-1-4
Points per game1.711.25
Goals for / game1.35.0
Goals against / game0.72.5
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)W W D D DD L W L W
Biggest win3–0 vs Central Cal Aztecs 223–0 at Central Cal Aztecs 2
Worst loss0–2 at Central Coast United Soccer Club0–4 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.33+1.95
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.56+0.31

Common opponents: Unico Futbol Club — we 1–0; they 7–0. Central Coast United Soccer Club — we 0–2; they 0–4. Oaks FC 2 — we 1–1; they 6–2. Valley United Soccer Club — we 1–1; they 0–4. LA Surf SC SFV — we 1–1; they 0–2. Central Cal Aztecs 2 — we 3–0; they 23–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    ALBION SC SCV score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at Central Coast United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:30 AM at Turf - West Ranch High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC SCV game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Man United – ALBION SC SCV) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.50 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2
Win
1.88 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.63 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
6% top 4
94% below the top 4
6.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 17%
  7. 7th 55%
  8. 8th 12%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.29) 1st (2.75) 60 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Valley United Soccer Club 2.71 (+1.00) 2nd (2.47) 54 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
3 LA Surf SC SFV 2.00 (+0.29) 4th (1.91) 36 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+0.29) 5th (1.83) 36 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection

How the results connect

30 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Man United to ALBION SC SCV through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
2 even
16 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–0 0–2 4–0 1–1 4–0 1–1 2–6 1–0 0–7 3–0 0–23 0–3 2–2 2–0 4–2 1–6 2–3 8–0 6–0 FC Man United 5th LA Surf SC SFV 3rd Central Coast Unite… 1st Valley United Socce… 2nd Oaks FC 2 11th Unico Futbol Club 10th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th TFA-SGV 9th Oxnard United Socce… 4th ALBION SC SCV 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 5th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
8th · 3-1-4 · GD +20		 Away
Turf - West Ranch High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.89 1.61 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +15		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.91 1.53 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–1 1.31 1.51 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:20 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +2		 Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 1–1 1.52 1.51 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM		 Unico Futbol Club
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 2–0 2.22 1.57 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
Citrus College · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 0–2 0.48 1.49 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -3		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.60 1.50 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +25		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–1 0.57 1.43 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.20 1.42 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -21		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 2–0 2.26 1.47 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
9th · 2-1-5 · GD -27		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 2–0 2.43 1.52 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
11:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -65		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
93%		 4–0 2.85 1.59 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
8th · 3-1-4 · GD +20		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–2 1.15 1.57 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +15		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.16 1.55 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 1–1 1.08 1.53 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +2		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 1–1 1.78 1.54 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -21		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 2–0 2.44 1.58 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7700 392+37 213.00 WWWWW +0.36 -0.61 100% 1.1
2 Valley United Soccer Club 7610 283+25 192.71 DWWWW +0.05 -0.34 100% 1.9
3 LA Surf SC SFV 8512 2711+16 162.00 DWLLW -0.20 -0.03 52% 4.5
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7421 2312+11 142.00 WWLWD -0.23 -0.05 35% 5.0
5 FC Man United 7331 95+4 121.71 DDDWW -0.56 +0.10 6% 6.6
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2712+15 101.67 WDLWW +0.48 -0.36 68% 4.1
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6303 1816+2 91.50 WWLLW -1.49 +0.48 0% 8.2
8 ALBION SC SCV 8314 4020+20 101.25 WLWLD +0.31 -0.41 39% 4.9
9 TFA-SGV 8215 1340-27 70.88 WLLLL +0.51 +0.04 0% 10.6
10 Unico Futbol Club 6114 822-14 40.67 DWLLL +0.30 +0.08 0% 10.5
11 Oaks FC 2 7115 1922-3 40.57 LLLWL -0.38 +0.15 0% 9.0
12 Dynamo 6105 526-21 30.50 LLLWL +0.20 +0.19 0% 11.6
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 267-65 00.00 LLLLL +0.78 +0.36 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.