TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U14 · 13 teams · ALBION SC Antelope Valley (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 14 minutes ago.
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7th
3-0-3 record · 6 played
1.50 points per game
+2 goal diff · 18–16
WWLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.2
-1.49 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:20 AM

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ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 1.50 PPG
vs
LA Surf SC SFV
3rd · 2.00 PPG

Lancaster National Soccer Center, 34 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.9 for, 3.0 against · 0.85 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)LA Surf SC SFV
Position7th3rd
Record (W-D-L)3-0-35-1-2
Points per game1.502.00
Goals for / game3.03.4
Goals against / game2.71.4
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W L L W WW L L W D
Biggest win7–2 at TFA-SGV9–0 at Central Cal Aztecs 2
Worst loss0–5 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club1–6 at Central Coast United Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.15+1.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.49-0.20

Common opponents: Valley United Soccer Club — we 0–2; they 2–3. Central Cal Aztecs 2 — we 4–2; they 9–0. Dynamo — we 3–4; they 4–0. TFA-SGV — we 7–2; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    LA Surf SC SFV concede only 1.4/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Valley United Soccer Club, 0–5 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:20 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Central Coast Surf Soccer sit 6th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Central Coast Surf Soccer on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Surf SC SFV game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) – LA Surf SC SFV) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.29 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Win
1.71 PPG		 6th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 2 7th— holds
Draw
1.43 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.29 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 62%
  9. 9th 24%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.75) 63 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Valley United Soccer Club 2.71 (+1.21) 2nd (2.47) 57 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
3 LA Surf SC SFV 2.00 (+0.50) 4th (1.91) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 2.00 (+0.50) 5th (1.83) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
5 FC Man United 1.71 (+0.21) 7th (1.58) A point next game
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.67 (+0.17) 3rd (1.95) A point next game

How the results connect

28 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) to LA Surf SC SFV through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
2 even
18 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 3–2 7–2 1–2 3–4 0–4 4–2 0–9 4–1 0–8 6–1 4–0 0–2 4–2 0–6 0–3 1–1 0–12 0–1 2–2 1–1 ALBION SC Antelope … 7th Valley United Socce… 2nd TFA-SGV 9th Dynamo 12th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th Unico Futbol Club 10th Central Coast Unite… 1st ALBION SC SCV 8th Oaks FC 2 11th FC Man United 5th LA Surf SC SFV 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.48 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:20 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16		 Home
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–3 0.85 1.41 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:55 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
8th · 3-1-4 · GD +20		 Away
Central Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 2–4 0.46 1.29 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -3		 Away
River Ridge		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 2–2 1.34 1.30 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:20 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4		 Home
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 1–1 1.24 1.29 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:20 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +25		 Home
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.36 1.21 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 0-0-7 · GD -65		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 7–1 2.96 1.35 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 3–2 1.94 1.40 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
4th · 4-2-1 · GD +11		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–3 0.71 1.35 Upside
Sat Mar 20
09:20 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.16 1.27 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +15		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–3 0.77 1.24 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -21		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 4–1 2.52 1.31 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
9th · 2-1-5 · GD -27		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 4–2 2.47 1.38 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +37		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–5 0.09 1.31 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +15		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 2–4 0.50 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
3rd · 5-1-2 · GD +16		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.60 1.24 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
8th · 3-1-4 · GD +20		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 2–4 0.73 1.21 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 3–2 1.70 1.23 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–1 0.99 1.22 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7700 392+37 213.00 WWWWW +0.36 -0.61 100% 1.1
2 Valley United Soccer Club 7610 283+25 192.71 DWWWW +0.05 -0.34 100% 1.9
3 LA Surf SC SFV 8512 2711+16 162.00 DWLLW -0.20 -0.03 54% 4.5
4 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7421 2312+11 142.00 WWLWD -0.23 -0.05 36% 5.0
5 FC Man United 7331 95+4 121.71 DDDWW -0.56 +0.10 6% 6.6
6 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6312 2712+15 101.67 WDLWW +0.48 -0.36 67% 4.1
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6303 1816+2 91.50 WWLLW -1.49 +0.48 0% 8.2
8 ALBION SC SCV 8314 4020+20 101.25 WLWLD +0.31 -0.41 38% 4.9
9 TFA-SGV 8215 1340-27 70.88 WLLLL +0.51 +0.04 0% 10.6
10 Unico Futbol Club 6114 822-14 40.67 DWLLL +0.30 +0.08 0% 10.5
11 Oaks FC 2 7115 1922-3 40.57 LLLWL -0.38 +0.15 0% 9.0
12 Dynamo 6105 526-21 30.50 LLLWL +0.20 +0.19 0% 11.6
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7007 267-65 00.00 LLLLL +0.78 +0.36 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.