TableChase Clubs

Dynamo

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U13 · 13 teams · Dynamo (all teams)

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12th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-24 goal diff · 6–30
LLLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.1
-0.62 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM

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Dynamo
12th · 0.50 PPG
at
Central Coast Surf Soccer
1st · 3.00 PPG

Talley Fields, Field #2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–6 (expected goals 0.8 for, 6.6 against · 0.03 expected points)

Season so farDynamoCentral Coast Surf Soccer
Position12th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-56-0-0
Points per game0.503.00
Goals for / game1.05.0
Goals against / game5.00.7
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)L W L L LW W W W W
Biggest win3–2 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)11–0 at Oxnard United Soccer Club
Worst loss0–7 vs TFA-SGV—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.78+2.69
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.62-0.12

Common opponents: Oxnard United Soccer Club — we 1–6; they 11–0. Valley United Soccer Club — we 0–3; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Central Coast Surf Soccer score 5.0/game — well above the league's 3.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Central Coast Surf Soccer concede only 0.7/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–7 vs TFA-SGV, 0–6 at Unico Futbol Club, 0–3 vs Valley United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Central Coast Surf Soccer have won 6 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:30 AM at Talley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Unico Futbol Club sit 11th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above Unico Futbol Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast Surf Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dynamo – Central Coast Surf Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG		 13th▼ down 1 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
0.86 PPG		 10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 12th— holds
Draw
0.57 PPG		 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.43 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–6 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 5%
  11. 11th 15%
  12. 12th 32%
  13. 13th 46%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+2.50) 2nd (2.54) 69 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 2.57 (+2.07) 1st (2.65) 59 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 TFA-SGV 2.25 (+1.75) 3rd (2.33) 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
4 Oaks FC 2 2.14 (+1.64) 4th (2.24) 49 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
5 FC Man United 2.14 (+1.64) 5th (2.21) 49 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
6 Oxnard United Soccer Club 1.71 (+1.21) 6th (1.31) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 1.50 (+1.00) 7th (1.26) 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8 LA Surf SC SFV 1.13 (+0.63) 8th (1.02) 25 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 Valley United Soccer Club 0.86 (+0.36) 9th (0.90) 18 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
10 ALBION SC SCV 0.75 (+0.25) 11th (0.69) A point next game
11 Unico Futbol Club 0.50 (+0.00) 10th (0.88) Already ahead

How the results connect

20 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Dynamo to Central Coast Surf Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
19 favour them
-8.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 0–3 1–6 0–11 3–2 3–0 6–2 1–7 7–1 0–3 2–6 4–0 4–1 4–2 0–7 5–0 6–1 4–2 2–4 0–4 Dynamo 12th Valley United Socce… 9th Oxnard United Socce… 6th ALBION SC Antelope … 7th LA Surf SC SFV 8th TFA-SGV 3rd Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th ALBION SC SCV 10th Oaks FC 2 4th Central Coast Surf … 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.50 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
01:00 PM
no score posted		 Oaks FC 2
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +26		 Away
River Ridge		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.04 0.43 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:30 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +26		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–6 0.03 0.38 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +42		 Home
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.02 0.34 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:45 PM		 ALBION SC SCV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -27		 Home
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 2–2 1.42 0.45 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Home
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.54 0.55 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
09:40 AM		 TFA-SGV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +30		 Away
Gladstone Middle School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–7 0.03 0.51 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -16		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 2–3 0.93 0.54 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
6th · 4-0-3 · GD -15		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 2–4 0.46 0.53 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.78 0.55 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +19		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.11 0.52 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.40 0.51 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +26		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–6 0.07 0.49 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 3-0-5 · GD -16		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 2–3 0.93 0.51 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +26		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.06 0.49 Upside
Sat Apr 24
10:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +42		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–8 0.01 0.47 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -27		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–2 1.10 0.50 Upside
Sun May 2
09:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 2–2 1.21 0.53 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +19		 Away
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.06 0.51 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6600 304+26 183.00 WWWWW -0.12 -0.23 97% 2.2
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 464+42 182.57 WLWWW +0.05 -0.54 100% 1.4
3 TFA-SGV 8602 4212+30 182.25 WWLWW +0.11 -0.41 85% 3.3
4 Oaks FC 2 7502 3610+26 152.14 WWLWL -0.02 -0.27 65% 4.0
5 FC Man United 7502 289+19 152.14 LWWWW +0.27 -0.36 53% 4.1
6 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7403 2237-15 121.71 LWLWW +0.09 +0.10 0% 6.8
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6303 1516-1 91.50 WWLLL -1.12 +0.45 0% 6.9
8 LA Surf SC SFV 8305 1531-16 91.13 LLWLW +0.31 +0.04 0% 8.4
9 Valley United Soccer Club 7205 924-15 60.86 LWLWL +0.04 +0.14 0% 9.3
10 ALBION SC SCV 8206 936-27 60.75 WLWLL -0.01 +0.24 0% 10.9
11 Unico Futbol Club 6105 1329-16 30.50 LWLLL +0.50 -0.01 0% 9.5
12 Dynamo 6105 630-24 30.50 LLLWL -0.62 +0.50 0% 12.1
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7106 837-29 30.43 LLLLL +0.29 +0.23 0% 12.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.