TableChase Clubs

Central Coast United Soccer Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U13 · 13 teams · Central Coast United Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 56 minutes ago.
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2nd
6-0-1 record · 7 played
2.57 points per game
+42 goal diff · 46–4
WLWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.4
+0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:50 PM

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Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 2.57 PPG
at
Valley United Soccer Club
9th · 0.86 PPG

Valley United Soccer Complex, Olivar ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–0 (expected goals 5.7 for, 0.9 against · 2.91 expected points)

Season so farCentral Coast United Soccer ClubValley United Soccer Club
Position2nd9th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-12-0-5
Points per game2.570.86
Goals for / game6.61.3
Goals against / game0.63.4
Clean sheets41
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)W W W L WL W L W L
Biggest win12–0 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club3–0 at Dynamo
Worst loss1–2 at Central Coast Surf Soccer1–7 at FC Man United
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+4.15-1.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.05+0.04

Common opponents: ALBION SC SCV — we 9–0; they 4–2. FC Man United — we 3–1; they 1–7. TFA-SGV — we 5–1; they 0–5. Central Coast Surf Soccer — we 1–2; they 0–3. LA Surf SC SFV — we 8–0; they 1–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Valley United Soccer Club average 1.3 goals/game (league avg 3.1); blanked in 3 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 96% chance; likely score 5–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:50 PM at Valley United Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Valley United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Central Coast United Soccer Club – Valley United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.63 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.63 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.38 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.25 PPG		 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

70% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.4 average finish
  1. 1st 70%
  2. 2nd 24%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+0.43) 2nd (2.54) 54 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection

How the results connect

27 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Central Coast United Soccer Club to Valley United Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

26 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+9.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 3–0 9–0 2–4 3–1 7–1 5–1 5–0 8–0 4–1 3–0 12–0 0–11 0–8 8–0 2–3 2–9 0–6 7–0 0–3 Central Coast Unite… 2nd Central Coast Surf … 1st ALBION SC SCV 10th FC Man United 5th TFA-SGV 3rd LA Surf SC SFV 8th Oxnard United Socce… 6th Unico Futbol Club 11th Dynamo 12th Valley United Socce… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.54 · 13th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
05:50 PM		 Valley United Soccer Club
9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15		 Away
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 5–0 2.91 2.61 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -24		 Away
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 7–0 2.98 2.65 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +26		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●●○○○ Lean win
73%		 3–1 2.31 2.62 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
10th · 2-0-6 · GD -27		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 7–0 2.98 2.65 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +19		 Away
Citrus College · turf?		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 3–1 2.06 2.60 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +30		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 3–2 1.93 2.55 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
10:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +26		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 2–1 2.03 2.51 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
10:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -16		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 7–1 2.97 2.54 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
08:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -1		 Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 4–1 2.80 2.56 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
10:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●○○○○ Favorable
100%		 8–0 2.99 2.59 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
6th · 4-0-3 · GD -15		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
97%		 7–1 2.93 2.60 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 3-0-5 · GD -16		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.91 2.62 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
10:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -1		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–1 2.89 2.63 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
10:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -24		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●○○○○ Favorable
100%		 8–0 2.99 2.65 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
10:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15		 Home
CMT Ranch		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 6–0 2.96 2.67 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +26		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 3–2 2.02 2.64 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 7–0 2.98 2.65 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6600 304+26 183.00 WWWWW -0.12 -0.23 97% 2.2
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 464+42 182.57 WLWWW +0.05 -0.54 100% 1.4
3 TFA-SGV 8602 4212+30 182.25 WWLWW +0.11 -0.41 85% 3.3
4 Oaks FC 2 7502 3610+26 152.14 WWLWL -0.02 -0.27 65% 4.0
5 FC Man United 7502 289+19 152.14 LWWWW +0.27 -0.36 53% 4.1
6 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7403 2237-15 121.71 LWLWW +0.09 +0.10 0% 6.8
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6303 1516-1 91.50 WWLLL -1.12 +0.45 0% 6.9
8 LA Surf SC SFV 8305 1531-16 91.13 LLWLW +0.31 +0.04 0% 8.5
9 Valley United Soccer Club 7205 924-15 60.86 LWLWL +0.04 +0.14 0% 9.2
10 ALBION SC SCV 8206 936-27 60.75 WLWLL -0.01 +0.24 0% 10.9
11 Unico Futbol Club 6105 1329-16 30.50 LWLLL +0.50 -0.01 0% 9.4
12 Dynamo 6105 630-24 30.50 LLLWL -0.62 +0.50 0% 12.1
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7106 837-29 30.43 LLLLL +0.29 +0.23 0% 12.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.