TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC SCV

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U13 · 13 teams · ALBION SC SCV (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
10th
2-0-6 record · 8 played
0.75 points per game
-27 goal diff · 9–36
WLWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.9
-0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:10 PM

Open the match preview →

ALBION SC SCV
10th · 0.75 PPG
vs
FC Man United
5th · 2.14 PPG

Turf - West Ranch High School, Stadium ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.1 for, 4.6 against · 0.16 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC SCVFC Man United
Position10th5th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-65-0-2
Points per game0.752.14
Goals for / game1.14.0
Goals against / game4.51.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless41
Form (recent first)L L W L WW W W W L
Biggest win3–0 at Central Cal Aztecs 27–1 vs Valley United Soccer Club
Worst loss0–9 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club1–3 at Central Coast United Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.31+1.96
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.01+0.27

Common opponents: Central Coast United Soccer Club — we 0–9; they 1–3. Oaks FC 2 — we 0–7; they 0–2. LA Surf SC SFV — we 0–4; they 6–0. Central Cal Aztecs 2 — we 3–0; they 5–0. Unico Futbol Club — we 3–2; they 6–1. Valley United Soccer Club — we 2–4; they 7–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    FC Man United concede only 1.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–9 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club, 0–7 vs Oaks FC 2, 0–4 at LA Surf SC SFV, 0–3 at Central Coast Surf Soccer.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 3%; a draw (6%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Man United have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    Valley United Soccer Club sit 9th on 0.86 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above Valley United Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Man United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC SCV – FC Man United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.67 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 3
Win
1.00 PPG		 9th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 2 10th— holds
Draw
0.78 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2
Loss
0.67 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 20%
  11. 11th 37%
  12. 12th 22%
  13. 13th 9%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3.00 (+2.25) 2nd (2.54) 66 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 2.57 (+1.82) 1st (2.65) 56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 TFA-SGV 2.25 (+1.50) 3rd (2.33) 48 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Oaks FC 2 2.14 (+1.39) 4th (2.24) 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
5 FC Man United 2.14 (+1.39) 5th (2.21) 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
6 Oxnard United Soccer Club 1.71 (+0.96) 6th (1.31) 36 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 1.50 (+0.75) 7th (1.26) 30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 LA Surf SC SFV 1.13 (+0.38) 8th (1.02) 22 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
9 Valley United Soccer Club 0.86 (+0.11) 9th (0.90) A point next game

How the results connect

30 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC SCV to FC Man United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
28 favour them
-6.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–5 3–2 1–6 0–7 2–0 0–9 3–1 2–4 1–7 0–4 0–6 0–3 2–1 4–2 7–1 2–1 2–9 0–8 ALBION SC SCV 10th Central Cal Aztecs 2 13th Unico Futbol Club 11th Oaks FC 2 4th Central Coast Unite… 2nd Valley United Socce… 9th LA Surf SC SFV 8th Central Coast Surf … 1st FC Man United 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:10 PM		 FC Man United
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +19		 Home
Turf - West Ranch High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–4 0.16 0.68 Upside
Sat Oct 31
10:15 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -1		 Home
Central Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–3 0.74 0.69 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:45 PM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -24		 Away
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–2 1.39 0.75 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +42		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.01 0.69 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:00 PM		 Oaks FC 2
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +26		 Away
River Ridge		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.06 0.64 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
8th · 3-0-5 · GD -16		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 2–2 1.08 0.67 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
13th · 1-0-6 · GD -29		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–2 1.69 0.74 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +26		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–5 0.09 0.70 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +30		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–6 0.04 0.66 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -16		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–3 1.09 0.69 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
9th · 2-0-5 · GD -15		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
25%		 1–2 0.92 0.70 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
6th · 4-0-3 · GD -15		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
25%		 2–3 0.88 0.71 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 5-0-2 · GD +19		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–5 0.09 0.68 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
7th · 3-0-3 · GD -1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.51 0.67 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -24		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–2 1.72 0.72 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +30		 Home
Turf - West Ranch High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.09 0.69 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6600 304+26 183.00 WWWWW -0.12 -0.23 97% 2.2
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 464+42 182.57 WLWWW +0.05 -0.54 100% 1.4
3 TFA-SGV 8602 4212+30 182.25 WWLWW +0.11 -0.41 86% 3.3
4 Oaks FC 2 7502 3610+26 152.14 WWLWL -0.02 -0.27 66% 4.0
5 FC Man United 7502 289+19 152.14 LWWWW +0.27 -0.36 52% 4.2
6 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7403 2237-15 121.71 LWLWW +0.09 +0.10 0% 6.9
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6303 1516-1 91.50 WWLLL -1.12 +0.45 0% 6.9
8 LA Surf SC SFV 8305 1531-16 91.13 LLWLW +0.31 +0.04 0% 8.4
9 Valley United Soccer Club 7205 924-15 60.86 LWLWL +0.04 +0.14 0% 9.2
10 ALBION SC SCV 8206 936-27 60.75 WLWLL -0.01 +0.24 0% 10.9
11 Unico Futbol Club 6105 1329-16 30.50 LWLLL +0.50 -0.01 0% 9.5
12 Dynamo 6105 630-24 30.50 LLLWL -0.62 +0.50 0% 12.2
13 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7106 837-29 30.43 LLLLL +0.29 +0.23 0% 12.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.