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Strikers FC North

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U16 · 16 teams · Strikers FC North (all teams)

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16th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-14 goal diff · 0–14
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.8
+0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:35 PM

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Strikers FC North
16th · 0.00 PPG
at
CITY SC San Marcos
4th · 2.00 PPG

Palomar College Minkoff Field, Minkoff Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.9 against · 0.20 expected points)

Season so farStrikers FC NorthCITY SC San Marcos
Position16th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-32-0-1
Points per game0.002.00
Goals for / game0.02.7
Goals against / game4.71.7
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)L L LW W L
Biggest win—6–2 vs City SC Southwest
Worst loss0–7 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire0–3 vs BOCA OC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.19+0.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.06-0.25

Common opponents: City SC Southwest — we 0–3; they 6–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 at Elite FC, 0–7 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire, 0–3 at City SC Southwest.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 4%; a draw (7%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 04:35 PM at Palomar College Minkoff Field.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC San Diego sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC San Diego on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CITY SC San Marcos game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Strikers FC North – CITY SC San Marcos) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG
13th▲ up 3 13th▲ up 3 16th— holds
Draw
0.25 PPG
15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 16th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th 10%
  16. 16th 87%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.40 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC Santa Ana 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.43) 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2.33 (+2.33) 4th (1.72) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 2.25 (+2.25) 2nd (1.96) 34 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
4 CITY SC San Marcos 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.68) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Elite FC 2.00 (+2.00) 8th (1.56) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 City SC - San Diego 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.68) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 1.75 (+1.75) 3rd (1.82) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8 BOCA OC 1.33 (+1.33) 9th (1.48) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9 Reds FC 1.33 (+1.33) 11th (1.32) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
10 California Football Academy 1.00 (+1.00) 7th (1.67) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
11 Total Futbol Academy - OC 1.00 (+1.00) 10th (1.37) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
12 City SC Southwest 1.00 (+1.00) 12th (1.03) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
13 Laguna United 0.33 (+0.33) 14th (0.91) A point next game
14 Inland Surf 0.33 (+0.33) 15th (0.84) A point next game
15 ALBION SC San Diego 0.00 (+0.00) 13th (0.92) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Strikers FC North to CITY SC San Marcos through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-7.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 2–6 Strikers FC North 16th City SC Southwest 12th CITY SC San Marcos 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.12 · 1st hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:35 PM
CITY SC San Marcos
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Away
Palomar College Minkoff Field
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.05 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:00 PM
Reds FC
9th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Home
OC Great Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.55 0.15 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
ALBION SC San Diego
15th · 0-0-2 · GD -4
Away
Madison High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.57 0.22 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.29 0.23 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
BOCA OC
8th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.40 0.25 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Laguna United
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.47 0.28 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Inland Surf
14th · 0-1-2 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.84 0.33 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.14 0.31 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
California Football Academy
10th · 1-0-2 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.30 0.31 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.29 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.49 0.31 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +2
Home
OC Great Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.40 0.31 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4400 175+12 123.00 WWWW +0.03 -0.19 99% 1.3
2 ALBION SC Riverside 3210 53+2 72.33 DWW -0.30 +0.02 36% 5.9
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL +0.08 -0.12 71% 3.7
4 CITY SC San Marcos 3201 85+3 62.00 LWW -0.25 -0.00 31% 6.2
5 Elite FC 3201 75+2 62.00 WLW -0.48 +0.07 19% 7.4
6 City SC - San Diego 3201 55+0 62.00 WLW +0.76 -0.23 31% 6.3
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4211 147+7 71.75 DWLW -0.45 +0.08 53% 4.8
8 BOCA OC 3111 89-1 41.33 WDL +0.54 -0.15 13% 8.1
9 Reds FC 3111 45-1 41.33 DWL +0.18 -0.05 6% 9.7
10 California Football Academy 3102 74+3 31.00 LWL +0.36 -0.15 33% 6.1
11 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3102 55+0 31.00 WLL +0.04 -0.03 7% 9.1
12 City SC Southwest 3102 510-5 31.00 LLW -0.17 +0.04 0% 12.2
13 Laguna United 3012 59-4 10.33 LDL +0.10 +0.00 0% 13.0
14 Inland Surf 3012 39-6 10.33 DLL +0.52 -0.09 0% 13.5
15 ALBION SC San Diego 2002 15-4 00.00 LL +0.32 -0.03 0% 12.9
16 Strikers FC North 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.06 +0.12 0% 15.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.03 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.