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FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U16 · 16 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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7th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+7 goal diff · 14–7
DWLWlast 4
53% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.8
-0.45 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:30 PM

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FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
7th · 1.75 PPG
at

Aliso Niguel High School, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 for, 2.3 against · 1.34 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC Blue- Inland EmpireCalifornia Football Academy
Position7th10th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-11-0-2
Points per game1.751.00
Goals for / game3.52.3
Goals against / game1.81.3
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W L W DL W L
Biggest win7–0 at Strikers FC North5–0 at Inland Surf
Worst loss2–3 at City SC - San Diego0–1 at City SC - San Diego
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.87+0.57
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.45+0.36

Common opponents: Inland Surf — we 2–2; they 5–0. City SC - San Diego — we 2–3; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 38%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:30 PM at Aliso Niguel High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    City SC - San Diego sit 6th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A win moves us above City SC - San Diego on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the California Football Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire – California Football Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.60 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 9th▼ down 2
Win
2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 3 3rd▲ up 4 7th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 9th▼ down 2
Loss
1.40 PPG
8th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 3 12th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
53% top 4
47% below the top 4
4.8 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 17%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 13%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC Santa Ana 3.00 (+1.25) 1st (2.43) 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2.33 (+0.58) 4th (1.72) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 2.25 (+0.50) 2nd (1.96) 27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 CITY SC San Marcos 2.00 (+0.25) 5th (1.68) Win next game
5 Elite FC 2.00 (+0.25) 8th (1.56) Win next game
6 City SC - San Diego 2.00 (+0.25) 6th (1.68) Win next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire to California Football Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
-0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 1–0 2–2 0–5 3–2 3–1 FLYTE SC Blue- Inla… 7th City SC - San Diego 6th Inland Surf 14th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 3rd California Football… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 2nd hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:30 PM
California Football Academy
10th · 1-0-2 · GD +3
Away
Aliso Niguel High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.34 1.67 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:45 PM
Laguna United
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -4
Home
San Bernardino Valley College · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.37 1.79 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
12:30 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Away
Hoover High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.70 1.77 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
02:15 PM
City SC Southwest
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Home
RJRSP
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.40 1.85 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
01:00 PM
BOCA OC
8th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
3–2 1.75 1.84 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
15th · 0-0-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 1.89 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.81 1.79 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.77 1.79 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Reds FC
9th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.07 1.81 Swing game
Sat May 8
12:00 AM
CITY SC San Marcos
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.77 1.81 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Elite FC
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Home
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.89 1.82 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4400 175+12 123.00 WWWW +0.03 -0.19 99% 1.3
2 ALBION SC Riverside 3210 53+2 72.33 DWW -0.30 +0.02 36% 5.9
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4301 115+6 92.25 WWWL +0.08 -0.12 71% 3.7
4 CITY SC San Marcos 3201 85+3 62.00 LWW -0.25 -0.00 31% 6.2
5 Elite FC 3201 75+2 62.00 WLW -0.48 +0.07 19% 7.4
6 City SC - San Diego 3201 55+0 62.00 WLW +0.76 -0.23 31% 6.3
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4211 147+7 71.75 DWLW -0.45 +0.08 53% 4.8
8 BOCA OC 3111 89-1 41.33 WDL +0.54 -0.15 13% 8.1
9 Reds FC 3111 45-1 41.33 DWL +0.18 -0.05 6% 9.7
10 California Football Academy 3102 74+3 31.00 LWL +0.36 -0.15 33% 6.1
11 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3102 55+0 31.00 WLL +0.04 -0.03 7% 9.1
12 City SC Southwest 3102 510-5 31.00 LLW -0.17 +0.04 0% 12.2
13 Laguna United 3012 59-4 10.33 LDL +0.10 +0.00 0% 13.0
14 Inland Surf 3012 39-6 10.33 DLL +0.52 -0.09 0% 13.5
15 ALBION SC San Diego 2002 15-4 00.00 LL +0.32 -0.03 0% 12.9
16 Strikers FC North 3003 014-14 00.00 LLL +0.06 +0.12 0% 15.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.03 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.