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Strikers FC North

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U15 · 16 teams · Strikers FC North (all teams)

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13th
0-2-1 record · 3 played
0.67 points per game
-2 goal diff · 1–3
DLDlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.3
-0.34 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:40 PM

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Strikers FC North
13th · 0.67 PPG
at
CITY SC San Marcos
5th · 2.00 PPG

Palomar College Minkoff Field, Minkoff Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.8 for, 1.3 against · 0.94 expected points)

Season so farStrikers FC NorthCITY SC San Marcos
Position13th5th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-12-0-1
Points per game0.672.00
Goals for / game0.31.3
Goals against / game1.01.3
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)D L DW W L
Biggest win—3–1 vs City SC Southwest
Worst loss0–2 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire0–3 vs BOCA OC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.36+0.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.34+0.31

Common opponents: City SC Southwest — we 0–0; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire, 0–0 at City SC Southwest.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (29%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:40 PM at Palomar College Minkoff Field.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    City SC Southwest sit 12th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A point moves us above City SC Southwest on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CITY SC San Marcos game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Strikers FC North – CITY SC San Marcos) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 16th▼ down 3
Win
1.25 PPG
10th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 4 13th— holds
Draw
0.75 PPG
11th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 1 16th▼ down 3
Loss
0.50 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 16th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 18%
  14. 14th 17%
  15. 15th 13%
  16. 16th 6%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 City SC - San Diego 3.00 (+2.33) 1st (2.43) 43 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
2 BOCA OC 3.00 (+2.33) 2nd (2.27) 43 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
3 Inland Surf 2.33 (+1.66) 3rd (1.95) 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.00 (+1.33) 4th (1.59) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
5 CITY SC San Marcos 2.00 (+1.33) 5th (1.56) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
6 Reds FC 1.67 (+1.00) 6th (1.50) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 1.50 (+0.83) 10th (1.27) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
8 Elite FC 1.33 (+0.66) 9th (1.27) 18 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
9 California Football Academy 1.33 (+0.66) 7th (1.46) 18 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
10 ALBION SC San Diego 1.00 (+0.33) 8th (1.27) A point next game
11 ALBION SC Riverside 0.67 (+0.00) 11th (1.14) Already ahead
12 City SC Southwest 0.67 (+0.00) 14th (0.94) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Strikers FC North to CITY SC San Marcos through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 1–3 Strikers FC North 13th City SC Southwest 12th CITY SC San Marcos 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.13 · 2nd hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:40 PM
CITY SC San Marcos
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +0
Away
Palomar College Minkoff Field
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.94 0.73 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:15 PM
Reds FC
6th · 1-2-0 · GD +2
Home
OC Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
25%
0–1 1.03 0.79 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
ALBION SC San Diego
10th · 0-2-0 · GD +0
Away
Madison High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
23%
0–1 1.00 0.83 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.33 0.76 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
BOCA OC
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–1 0.59 0.74 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Laguna United
14th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
0–1 1.11 0.78 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Inland Surf
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–1 0.76 0.78 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
15th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.41 0.83 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
California Football Academy
9th · 1-1-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
0–0 1.12 0.86 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
16th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–0 1.58 0.91 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
0–0 1.07 0.92 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
11th · 0-2-1 · GD -1
Home
OC Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
0–0 1.25 0.95 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 City SC - San Diego 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW -0.49 +0.00 100% 1.5
2 BOCA OC 3300 102+8 93.00 WWW -0.47 +0.02 97% 2.0
3 Inland Surf 3210 61+5 72.33 WDW -0.16 +0.00 82% 3.4
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3201 21+1 62.00 WWL -0.11 +0.04 29% 6.0
5 CITY SC San Marcos 3201 44+0 62.00 LWW +0.31 -0.07 26% 6.4
6 Reds FC 3120 64+2 51.67 DDW -0.43 +0.10 23% 6.7
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4202 610-4 61.50 LWLW +0.25 -0.03 5% 9.2
8 Elite FC 3111 55+0 41.33 DWL -0.18 +0.09 7% 9.0
9 California Football Academy 3111 22+0 41.33 LDW +0.35 -0.09 20% 7.2
10 ALBION SC San Diego 2020 22+0 21.00 DD -0.38 +0.08 7% 9.0
11 ALBION SC Riverside 3021 23-1 20.67 DLD +0.02 +0.02 2% 10.4
12 City SC Southwest 3021 24-2 20.67 DLD -0.45 +0.17 1% 12.3
13 Strikers FC North 3021 13-2 20.67 DLD -0.34 +0.13 0% 12.3
14 Laguna United 3012 35-2 10.33 LLD +0.38 -0.06 1% 11.1
15 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4013 614-8 10.25 DLLL +0.31 -0.01 0% 14.2
16 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4013 210-8 10.25 DLLL +0.24 +0.05 0% 15.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.