City SC - San Diego
Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U15 · 16 teams · City SC - San Diego (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM
Pine Community Park, Pine Community Park ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.7 for, 0.6 against · 2.17 expected points)
| Season so far | City SC - San Diego | Total Futbol Academy - OC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W | L W W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 1–0 at Laguna United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–1 vs CITY SC San Marcos |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.64 | +0.14 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.49 | -0.11 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Total Futbol Academy - OC average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 1.3); blanked in 1 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Hard to break down
Total Futbol Academy - OC concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 65% / draw 23% / loss 13%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy - OC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC - San Diego – Total Futbol Academy - OC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.50 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 62%
- 2nd 30%
- 3rd 6%
- 4th 2%
- 5th <1%
- 6th
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
- 14th
- 15th
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 10th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +1 |
Home Pine Community Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
1–0 | 2.17 | 2.79 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
CITY SC San Marcos 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Home Aviara Community Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
2–0 | 2.42 | 2.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 12:45 PM |
ALBION SC Riverside 11th · 0-2-1 · GD -1 |
Away UC Riverside · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–0 | 2.26 | 2.64 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM |
Inland Surf 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Away Central City Park #2 |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.66 | 2.50 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Strikers FC North 13th · 0-2-1 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
2–0 | 2.52 | 2.51 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 8th · 1-1-1 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.56 | 2.51 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 12:15 PM |
BOCA OC 2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 2.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 16th · 0-1-3 · GD -8 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
3–0 | 2.74 | 2.44 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego 10th · 0-2-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–0 | 2.21 | 2.42 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 6th · 1-2-0 · GD +2 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 2.40 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Laguna United 14th · 0-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
2–0 | 2.58 | 2.42 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
City SC Southwest 12th · 0-2-1 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
2–0 | 2.60 | 2.43 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | City SC - San Diego | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.49 | +0.00 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sun Oct 25 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | BOCA OC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.47 | +0.02 | 97% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Oct 31 at City SC Southwest · Sat Nov 7 at Elite FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Inland Surf | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.16 | +0.00 | 82% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Laguna United · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC - San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.11 | +0.04 | 29% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC - San Diego · Sat Oct 31 vs Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CITY SC San Marcos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.31 | -0.07 | 26% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Strikers FC North · Sun Oct 25 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Reds FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | DDW | -0.43 | +0.10 | 23% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC Southwest · Sat Oct 31 at Strikers FC North · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.25 | -0.03 | 5% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at California Football Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Laguna United · Sat Nov 7 at Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Elite FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 4 | 1.33 | DWL | -0.18 | +0.09 | 7% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Oct 31 at Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | California Football Academy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 4 | 1.33 | LDW | +0.35 | -0.09 | 20% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 1 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 8 vs Laguna United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | ALBION SC San Diego | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 2 | 1.00 | DD | -0.38 | +0.08 | 7% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Oct 31 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Strikers FC North See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | ALBION SC Riverside | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | DLD | +0.02 | +0.02 | 2% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs City SC - San Diego · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Southwest See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | City SC Southwest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | DLD | -0.45 | +0.17 | 1% | 12.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Reds FC · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Strikers FC North | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | DLD | -0.34 | +0.13 | 0% | 12.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Oct 31 vs Reds FC · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Laguna United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.38 | -0.06 | 1% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Inland Surf · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 8 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 | 0.25 | DLLL | +0.31 | -0.01 | 0% | 14.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 | 0.25 | DLLL | +0.24 | +0.05 | 0% | 15.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Riverside · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at Reds FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.