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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U15 · 16 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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15th
0-1-3 record · 4 played
0.25 points per game
-8 goal diff · 6–14
DLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.2
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
15th · 0.25 PPG
at
Elite FC
8th · 1.33 PPG

Louie Pompei Memorial Sports Park, Field #5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.9 against · 0.74 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC- Inland EmpireElite FC
Position15th8th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-31-1-1
Points per game0.251.33
Goals for / game1.51.7
Goals against / game3.51.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L L L DL W D
Biggest win—4–1 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana
Worst loss1–5 vs City SC - San Diego0–3 at Inland Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.03-0.11
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31-0.18

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Louie Pompei Memorial Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Laguna United sit 14th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.25.

    A point moves us above Laguna United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Elite FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC- Inland Empire – Elite FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.20 PPG
16th▼ down 1 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Win
0.80 PPG
11th▲ up 4 11th▲ up 4 15th— holds
Draw
0.40 PPG
14th▲ up 1 14th▲ up 1 16th▼ down 1
Loss
0.20 PPG
16th▼ down 1 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 5%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 11%
  14. 14th 18%
  15. 15th 29%
  16. 16th 26%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 City SC - San Diego 3.00 (+2.75) 1st (2.43) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 BOCA OC 3.00 (+2.75) 2nd (2.27) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Inland Surf 2.33 (+2.08) 3rd (1.95) 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.00 (+1.75) 4th (1.59) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
5 CITY SC San Marcos 2.00 (+1.75) 5th (1.56) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
6 Reds FC 1.67 (+1.42) 6th (1.50) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 1.50 (+1.25) 10th (1.27) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
8 Elite FC 1.33 (+1.08) 9th (1.27) 19 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
9 California Football Academy 1.33 (+1.08) 7th (1.46) 19 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
10 ALBION SC San Diego 1.00 (+0.75) 8th (1.27) 14 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
11 ALBION SC Riverside 0.67 (+0.42) 11th (1.14) A point next game
12 City SC Southwest 0.67 (+0.42) 14th (0.94) A point next game
13 Strikers FC North 0.67 (+0.42) 13th (0.95) A point next game
14 Laguna United 0.33 (+0.08) 12th (1.06) Already ahead

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC- Inland Empire to Elite FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
-0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 2–0 1–1 0–2 3–0 FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 15th FLYTE SC Blue- Inla… 7th Strikers FC North 13th Inland Surf 3rd Elite FC 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 12th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Elite FC
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +0
Away
Louie Pompei Memorial Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 0.35 Upside
Sat Oct 31
04:45 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
16th · 0-1-3 · GD -8
Home
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.83 0.59 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
11:05 AM
CITY SC San Marcos
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +0
Away
Palomar College Minkoff Field
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.67 0.60 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Laguna United
14th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 0.64 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
11th · 0-2-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.10 0.69 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–2 0.68 0.69 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Strikers FC North
13th · 0-2-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.33 0.75 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Inland Surf
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.32 0.71 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
City SC Southwest
12th · 0-2-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.31 0.76 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
California Football Academy
9th · 1-1-1 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–2 0.73 0.76 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
BOCA OC
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +8
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.17 0.72 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 City SC - San Diego 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW -0.49 +0.00 100% 1.5
2 BOCA OC 3300 102+8 93.00 WWW -0.47 +0.02 97% 2.0
3 Inland Surf 3210 61+5 72.33 WDW -0.16 +0.00 82% 3.4
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3201 21+1 62.00 WWL -0.11 +0.04 29% 6.0
5 CITY SC San Marcos 3201 44+0 62.00 LWW +0.31 -0.07 26% 6.4
6 Reds FC 3120 64+2 51.67 DDW -0.43 +0.10 23% 6.7
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4202 610-4 61.50 LWLW +0.25 -0.03 5% 9.2
8 Elite FC 3111 55+0 41.33 DWL -0.18 +0.09 7% 9.0
9 California Football Academy 3111 22+0 41.33 LDW +0.35 -0.09 20% 7.2
10 ALBION SC San Diego 2020 22+0 21.00 DD -0.38 +0.08 7% 9.0
11 ALBION SC Riverside 3021 23-1 20.67 DLD +0.02 +0.02 2% 10.4
12 City SC Southwest 3021 24-2 20.67 DLD -0.45 +0.17 1% 12.3
13 Strikers FC North 3021 13-2 20.67 DLD -0.34 +0.13 0% 12.3
14 Laguna United 3012 35-2 10.33 LLD +0.38 -0.06 1% 11.1
15 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4013 614-8 10.25 DLLL +0.31 -0.01 0% 14.2
16 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4013 210-8 10.25 DLLL +0.24 +0.05 0% 15.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.