ALBION SC Santa Ana
Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U15 · 16 teams · ALBION SC Santa Ana (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.7 for, 1.6 against · 0.74 expected points)
| Season so far | ALBION SC Santa Ana | ALBION SC Riverside |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 16th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-3 | 0-2-1 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L D | D L D |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs BOCA OC | 0–1 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.08 | -0.14 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.24 | +0.02 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
ALBION SC Riverside average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 1.3); blanked in 1 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at California Football Academy, 0–4 vs BOCA OC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at Galway Downs.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire sit 15th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.25.A point moves us above FLYTE SC- Inland Empire on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Riverside game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Santa Ana – ALBION SC Riverside) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.20 PPG |
16th— holds | 16th— holds | 16th— holds |
| Win 0.80 PPG |
11th▲ up 5 | 10th▲ up 6 | 15th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.40 PPG |
14th▲ up 2 | 14th▲ up 2 | 16th— holds |
| Loss 0.20 PPG |
16th— holds | 16th— holds | 16th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th <1%
- 11th 1%
- 12th 3%
- 13th 5%
- 14th 10%
- 15th 24%
- 16th 56%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | City SC - San Diego | 3.00 (+2.75) | 1st (2.43) | 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | BOCA OC | 3.00 (+2.75) | 2nd (2.27) | 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Inland Surf | 2.33 (+2.08) | 3rd (1.95) | 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 4 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 2.00 (+1.75) | 4th (1.59) | 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 5 | CITY SC San Marcos | 2.00 (+1.75) | 5th (1.56) | 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 6 | Reds FC | 1.67 (+1.42) | 6th (1.50) | 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 7 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 1.50 (+1.25) | 10th (1.27) | 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 8 | Elite FC | 1.33 (+1.08) | 9th (1.27) | 19 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 9 | California Football Academy | 1.33 (+1.08) | 7th (1.46) | 19 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 10 | ALBION SC San Diego | 1.00 (+0.75) | 8th (1.27) | 14 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 11 | ALBION SC Riverside | 0.67 (+0.42) | 11th (1.14) | A point next game |
| 12 | City SC Southwest | 0.67 (+0.42) | 14th (0.94) | A point next game |
| 13 | Strikers FC North | 0.67 (+0.42) | 13th (0.95) | A point next game |
| 14 | Laguna United | 0.33 (+0.08) | 12th (1.06) | Already ahead |
| 15 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 0.25 (+0.00) | 15th (0.72) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
1 chain · 4 teams
Paths of results that link ALBION SC Santa Ana to ALBION SC Riverside through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.05 · 6th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
ALBION SC Riverside 11th · 0-2-1 · GD -1 |
Away Galway Downs |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
0–1 | 0.74 | 0.35 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 04:45 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 15th · 0-1-3 · GD -8 |
Away RJRSP |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.97 | 0.45 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 03:00 PM |
Reds FC 6th · 1-2-0 · GD +2 |
Away Orange County Great Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.47 | 0.45 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego 10th · 0-2-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
0–1 | 0.66 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
0–1 | 0.61 | 0.49 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
CITY SC San Marcos 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.57 | 0.50 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
City SC - San Diego 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.18 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 7th · 2-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–1 | 0.99 | 0.52 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Strikers FC North 13th · 0-2-1 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
0–1 | 1.11 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
Laguna United 14th · 0-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
0–1 | 0.74 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Inland Surf 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Home Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.43 | 0.57 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | City SC - San Diego | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.49 | +0.00 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sun Oct 25 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | BOCA OC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.47 | +0.02 | 97% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Oct 31 at City SC Southwest · Sat Nov 7 at Elite FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Inland Surf | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.16 | +0.00 | 82% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Laguna United · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC - San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.11 | +0.04 | 29% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC - San Diego · Sat Oct 31 vs Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CITY SC San Marcos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | +0.31 | -0.07 | 26% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Strikers FC North · Sun Oct 25 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Reds FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | DDW | -0.43 | +0.10 | 23% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC Southwest · Sat Oct 31 at Strikers FC North · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.25 | -0.03 | 5% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at California Football Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Laguna United · Sat Nov 7 at Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Elite FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 4 | 1.33 | DWL | -0.18 | +0.09 | 7% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Oct 31 at Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | California Football Academy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 4 | 1.33 | LDW | +0.35 | -0.09 | 20% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 1 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 8 vs Laguna United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | ALBION SC San Diego | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 2 | 1.00 | DD | -0.38 | +0.08 | 7% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Oct 31 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Strikers FC North See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | ALBION SC Riverside | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 0.67 | DLD | +0.02 | +0.02 | 2% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs City SC - San Diego · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Southwest See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | City SC Southwest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | DLD | -0.45 | +0.17 | 1% | 12.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Reds FC · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Strikers FC North | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | 0.67 | DLD | -0.34 | +0.13 | 0% | 12.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Oct 31 vs Reds FC · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Laguna United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.38 | -0.06 | 1% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Inland Surf · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 8 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 | 0.25 | DLLL | +0.31 | -0.01 | 0% | 14.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 | 0.25 | DLLL | +0.24 | +0.05 | 0% | 15.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Riverside · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at Reds FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.35 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.