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Villarreal Las Vegas Academy

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U13 · 19 teams · Villarreal Las Vegas Academy (all teams)

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17th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.4
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Dec 6, 09:00 AM

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Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
17th · 0.00 PPG
at
ALBION SC Las Vegas
15th · 0.00 PPG

Aventura Park, Centre Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.7 for, 3.0 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so farVillarreal Las Vegas AcademyALBION SC Las Vegas
Position17th15th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    ALBION SC Las Vegas average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.8); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Aventura Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    BVBIA Las Vegas sit 16th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above BVBIA Las Vegas on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Las Vegas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Villarreal Las Vegas Academy – ALBION SC Las Vegas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 30 – Sun Dec 6); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 17th— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
4th▲ up 13 4th▲ up 13 5th▲ up 12
Draw
1.00 PPG
13th▲ up 4 12th▲ up 5 14th▲ up 3
Loss
0.00 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 17th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–3 loss we finish as high as 16th if every rival drops points, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
8.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 9%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 8%
  12. 12th 5%
  13. 13th 4%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado United 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.51) Win next game
2 El Paso Surf 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.73) Win next game
3 Utah Athletic 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.62) Win next game
4 City SC NOCO 2.50 (+2.50) 4th (2.31) A point next game
5 Colorado Storm 2.25 (+2.25) 5th (2.05) A point next game
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.84) A point next game
7 Utah Athletic (North) 1.50 (+1.50) 9th (1.49) A point next game
8 AZ SandSharks 1.29 (+1.29) 13th (1.19) A point next game
9 ALBION SC Boulder County 1.20 (+1.20) 8th (1.62) A point next game
10 ALBION SC Utah 1.20 (+1.20) 14th (1.11) A point next game
11 Colorado Rush - COS 1.20 (+1.20) 12th (1.20) A point next game
12 ALBION SC Denver 0.75 (+0.75) 15th (0.85) Already ahead
13 BVBIA Arizona 0.60 (+0.60) 16th (0.69) Already ahead
14 Inter Utah SC 0.60 (+0.60) 17th (0.58) Already ahead
15 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.31) Already ahead
16 BVBIA Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.28) Already ahead

Position over the season

14 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.34 · 17th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Dec 6
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Aventura Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–3 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
3–2 1.59 1.42 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
11:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
3–2 1.73 1.52 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
09:00 AM
Inter Utah SC
14th · 1-0-4 · GD -20
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.55 1.78 Bank it
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–3 1.10 1.64 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Utah
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.48 1.62 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Inter Utah SC
14th · 1-0-4 · GD -20
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.31 1.71 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–3 1.24 1.65 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–2 1.64 1.65 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.16 1.70 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
16th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
3–2 1.59 1.69 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +27
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.29 1.58 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
8th · 3-0-4 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
3–2 1.97 1.61 Swing game
Sat May 8
09:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
11th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–2 1.81 1.62 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado United 5500 356+29 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 -0.11 96% 2.8
2 El Paso Surf 4400 281+27 123.00 WWWW -1.06 -0.40 100% 1.6
3 Utah Athletic 4400 232+21 123.00 WWWW -1.30 +0.01 97% 2.2
4 City SC NOCO 6501 296+23 152.50 WWWWW -1.05 -0.13 80% 3.8
5 Colorado Storm 4301 145+9 92.25 WWWL +0.56 -0.44 20% 5.3
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4301 157+8 92.25 WWLW -0.27 -0.14 4% 6.6
7 Utah Athletic (North) 2101 58-3 31.50 WL +1.58 -0.29 1% 9.4
8 AZ SandSharks 7304 1322-9 91.29 LLLWW +0.38 +0.13 0% 11.8
9 ALBION SC Boulder County 5203 1611+5 61.20 LWLLW +0.27 -0.16 0% 8.2
10 ALBION SC Utah 5203 1215-3 61.20 LWLWL -0.47 +0.43 0% 12.5
11 Colorado Rush - COS 5203 1014-4 61.20 WLLLW +0.33 -0.04 0% 11.8
12 ALBION SC Denver 4103 412-8 30.75 LLWL -0.61 +0.30 0% 14.9
13 BVBIA Arizona 5104 417-13 30.60 LWLLL -0.36 +0.12 0% 16.0
14 Inter Utah SC 5104 525-20 30.60 LLWLL +0.55 -0.03 0% 16.6
15 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.44 ——
16 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.54 ——
17 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.34 ——
18 Colorado Elevation FC 5005 533-28 00.00 LLLLL +1.53 -0.10 0% 17.4
19 Colorado Rush 4004 034-34 00.00 LLLL +1.19 +0.39 0% 18.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.