TableChase Clubs

Colorado Rush

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U13 · 19 teams · Colorado Rush (all teams)

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19th
0-0-4 record · 4 played
0.00 points per game
-34 goal diff · 0–34
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 18.9
+1.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:30 PM

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Colorado Rush
19th · 0.00 PPG
vs

Stargate Charter School, Stargate East ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–6 (expected goals 1.1 for, 6.2 against · 0.07 expected points)

Season so farColorado RushDenver Kickers Sports Club
Position19th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-43-0-1
Points per game0.002.25
Goals for / game0.03.8
Goals against / game8.51.8
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless41
Form (recent first)L L L LW L W W
Biggest win—7–1 vs Colorado Elevation FC
Worst loss0–14 at Colorado United0–2 at City SC NOCO
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-4.39+1.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.19-0.27

Common opponents: City SC NOCO — we 0–12; they 0–2. ALBION SC Denver — we 0–1; they 4–2. ALBION SC Boulder County — we 0–7; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–14 at Colorado United, 0–12 vs City SC NOCO, 0–1 at ALBION SC Denver, 0–7 vs ALBION SC Boulder County.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Elevation FC sit 18th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Colorado Elevation FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Denver Kickers Sports Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush – Denver Kickers Sports Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 19th— holds
Win
0.60 PPG
15th▲ up 4 15th▲ up 4 15th▲ up 4
Draw
0.20 PPG
15th▲ up 4 15th▲ up 4 16th▲ up 3
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 19th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–6 loss we stay 19th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
18.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th 8%
  19. 19th 91%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.54 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado United 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.51) 78 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 66 for their projection
2 El Paso Surf 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.73) 78 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 72 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Utah Athletic 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.62) 78 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 69 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 City SC NOCO 2.50 (+2.50) 4th (2.31) 65 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection
5 Colorado Storm 2.25 (+2.25) 5th (2.06) 59 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.84) 59 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
7 Utah Athletic (North) 1.50 (+1.50) 9th (1.50) 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 1.20 (+1.20) 8th (1.62) 32 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
9 ALBION SC Utah 1.20 (+1.20) 13th (1.10) 32 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
10 Colorado Rush - COS 1.20 (+1.20) 12th (1.20) 32 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
11 AZ SandSharks 1.00 (+1.00) 14th (1.04) 26 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
12 ALBION SC Denver 0.75 (+0.75) 15th (0.85) 20 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
13 Inter Utah SC 0.75 (+0.75) 16th (0.73) 20 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
14 BVBIA Arizona 0.60 (+0.60) 17th (0.68) Win next game
15 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.32) Already ahead
16 BVBIA Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.28) Already ahead
17 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.63) Already ahead
18 Colorado Elevation FC 0.00 (+0.00) 18th (0.50) Already ahead

How the results connect

10 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Rush to Denver Kickers Sports Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
10 favour them
-9.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 2–4 0–7 2–4 0–12 2–0 1–5 1–2 0–14 11–1 1–7 6–1 4–3 Colorado Rush 19th ALBION SC Denver 12th ALBION SC Boulder C… 8th City SC NOCO 4th Colorado United 1st Colorado Elevation … 18th Denver Kickers Spor… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 29 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.39 · 4th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
03:30 PM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.07 0.01 Upside
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Home
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.06 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:30 PM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Away
Colorado Lutheran High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.61 0.13 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.09 0.13 Upside
Fri Dec 25
04:00 PM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
Douglas County Fairgrounds
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.02 0.12 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.61 0.17 Upside
Sun Jan 24
02:00 PM
Colorado United
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.00 0.15 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.16 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.07 0.15 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–8 0.01 0.14 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 0.17 Upside
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–6 0.05 0.16 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
2–3 0.90 0.21 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Colorado United
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.01 0.19 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
14th · 1-0-4 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 0.21 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +27
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.00 0.20 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.04 0.19 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–7 0.02 0.19 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.35 0.19 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.15 0.19 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–7 0.03 0.19 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.02 0.18 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado United 5500 356+29 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 -0.13 96% 2.7
2 El Paso Surf 4400 281+27 123.00 WWWW -1.17 -0.42 100% 1.6
3 Utah Athletic 4400 232+21 123.00 WWWW -1.34 +0.03 97% 2.2
4 City SC NOCO 6501 296+23 152.50 WWWWW -1.05 -0.13 80% 3.9
5 Colorado Storm 4301 145+9 92.25 WWWL +0.56 -0.46 19% 5.3
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4301 157+8 92.25 WWLW -0.27 -0.14 4% 6.6
7 Utah Athletic (North) 2101 58-3 31.50 WL +1.57 -0.32 1% 9.3
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 5203 1611+5 61.20 LWLLW +0.27 -0.16 0% 8.1
9 ALBION SC Utah 5203 1215-3 61.20 LWLWL -0.50 +0.45 0% 12.4
10 Colorado Rush - COS 5203 1014-4 61.20 WLLLW +0.33 -0.04 0% 11.6
11 AZ SandSharks 6204 1022-12 61.00 LLLLW +0.90 -0.05 0% 13.1
12 ALBION SC Denver 4103 412-8 30.75 LLWL -0.61 +0.28 0% 14.9
13 Inter Utah SC 4103 522-17 30.75 LLWL +0.91 -0.15 0% 15.7
14 BVBIA Arizona 5104 417-13 30.60 LWLLL -0.45 +0.10 0% 16.2
15 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.42 ——
16 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.53 ——
17 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.36 ——
18 Colorado Elevation FC 5005 533-28 00.00 LLLLL +1.54 -0.12 0% 17.5
19 Colorado Rush 4004 034-34 00.00 LLLL +1.19 +0.39 0% 18.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.83 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.