TableChase Clubs

Colorado Storm

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U13 · 19 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 16 minutes ago.
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5th
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+9 goal diff · 14–5
WWWLlast 4
19% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.3
+0.56 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 14, 11:00 AM

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Colorado Storm
5th · 2.25 PPG
at
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 2.25 PPG

Wheat Ridge High School, Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.5 for, 2.4 against · 1.45 expected points)

Season so farColorado StormDenver Kickers Sports Club
Position5th6th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-13-0-1
Points per game2.252.25
Goals for / game3.53.8
Goals against / game1.31.8
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L W W WW L W W
Biggest win6–0 vs Colorado Rush - COS7–1 vs Colorado Elevation FC
Worst loss2–3 vs Colorado United0–2 at City SC NOCO
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.33+1.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.56-0.27

Common opponents: City SC NOCO — we 3–2; they 0–2. Colorado Elevation FC — we 3–0; they 7–1.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 42% / draw 19% / loss 39%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Wheat Ridge High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Denver Kickers Sports Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm – Denver Kickers Sports Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
2.40 PPG		 5th— holds 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
1.80 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
19% top 4
82% below the top 4
5.3 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 14%
  5. 5th 46%
  6. 6th 22%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado United 3.00 (+0.75) 3rd (2.51) 69 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 57 for their projection
2 El Paso Surf 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.73) 69 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 63 for their projection
3 Utah Athletic 3.00 (+0.75) 2nd (2.62) 69 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection
4 City SC NOCO 2.50 (+0.25) 4th (2.31) 56 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Storm to Denver Kickers Sports Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
3 even
2 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 1–7 3–2 2–0 1–6 2–1 2–4 2–3 4–3 6–0 1–3 11–1 5–1 2–4 6–2 3–0 Colorado Storm 5th Colorado Elevation … 18th City SC NOCO 4th Colorado United 1st Colorado Rush - COS 10th ALBION SC Boulder C… 8th ALBION SC Denver 12th Denver Kickers Spor… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 29 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.46 · 19th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM		 Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8		 Away
Wheat Ridge High School · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 2–2 1.45 2.09 Swing game
Sat Dec 19
12:00 PM		 Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28		 Away
South Suburban Parks & Rec (SSPR): David A. Lo		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 5–1 2.78 2.21 Bank it
Fri Dec 25
04:00 PM		 Colorado Rush
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -34		 Home
Douglas County Fairgrounds		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 6–0 2.96 2.31 Bank it
Fri Dec 25
08:00 AM		 ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.37 2.32 Bank it
Sat Jan 23
11:00 AM		 Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4		 Home
Douglas County Fairgrounds		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.35 2.33 Bank it
Sun Jan 24
11:00 AM		 Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8		 Home
Douglas County Fairgrounds		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 2–2 1.78 2.27 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.87 2.14 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.37 2.16 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM		 Colorado Rush
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -34		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
97%		 6–0 2.93 2.22 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 2–2 1.57 2.17 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM		 Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.10 2.17 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM		 Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 2–2 1.45 2.12 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 AZ SandSharks
11th · 2-0-4 · GD -12		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.36 2.14 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 BVBIA Arizona
14th · 1-0-4 · GD -13		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 3–1 2.57 2.16 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–1 2.88 2.20 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
01:00 PM		 Colorado United
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29		 Away
Cornerstone Park · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 2–3 0.68 2.12 Upside
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM		 ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8		 Home
Douglas County Fairgrounds		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 3–1 2.57 2.14 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Colorado United
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 2–3 0.97 2.09 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–2 1.16 2.05 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Colorado Rush
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -34		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 6–0 2.96 2.09 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 2–1 1.89 2.08 Swing game
Tue May 25
09:00 AM		 ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5		 Away
Pleasant View Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 2–2 1.57 2.06 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado United 5500 356+29 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 -0.13 96% 2.7
2 El Paso Surf 4400 281+27 123.00 WWWW -1.17 -0.42 100% 1.6
3 Utah Athletic 4400 232+21 123.00 WWWW -1.34 +0.03 97% 2.2
4 City SC NOCO 6501 296+23 152.50 WWWWW -1.05 -0.13 80% 3.9
5 Colorado Storm 4301 145+9 92.25 WWWL +0.56 -0.46 19% 5.3
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4301 157+8 92.25 WWLW -0.27 -0.14 4% 6.6
7 Utah Athletic (North) 2101 58-3 31.50 WL +1.57 -0.32 1% 9.3
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 5203 1611+5 61.20 LWLLW +0.27 -0.16 0% 8.1
9 ALBION SC Utah 5203 1215-3 61.20 LWLWL -0.50 +0.45 0% 12.4
10 Colorado Rush - COS 5203 1014-4 61.20 WLLLW +0.33 -0.04 0% 11.6
11 AZ SandSharks 6204 1022-12 61.00 LLLLW +0.90 -0.05 0% 13.1
12 ALBION SC Denver 4103 412-8 30.75 LLWL -0.61 +0.28 0% 14.9
13 Inter Utah SC 4103 522-17 30.75 LLWL +0.91 -0.15 0% 15.7
14 BVBIA Arizona 5104 417-13 30.60 LWLLL -0.45 +0.10 0% 16.2
15 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.42 ——
16 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.53 ——
17 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.36 ——
18 Colorado Elevation FC 5005 533-28 00.00 LLLLL +1.54 -0.12 0% 17.5
19 Colorado Rush 4004 034-34 00.00 LLLL +1.19 +0.39 0% 18.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.83 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.