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ALBION SC Denver

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U13 · 19 teams · ALBION SC Denver (all teams)

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12th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-8 goal diff · 4–12
LLWLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.9
-0.61 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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ALBION SC Denver
12th · 0.75 PPG
at
Colorado United
1st · 3.00 PPG

Cornerstone Park, Turf #4 ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.1 for, 5.6 against · 0.09 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC DenverColorado United
Position12th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-35-0-0
Points per game0.753.00
Goals for / game1.07.0
Goals against / game3.01.2
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W L LW W W W W
Biggest win1–0 vs Colorado Rush14–0 vs Colorado Rush
Worst loss1–5 at City SC NOCO—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.17+3.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.61-1.00

Common opponents: Colorado Rush — we 1–0; they 14–0. Colorado Rush - COS — we 0–3; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Colorado United score 7.0/game — well above the league's 2.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Colorado United concede only 1.2/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Colorado Rush - COS.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Colorado United have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Cornerstone Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    AZ SandSharks sit 11th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above AZ SandSharks on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Denver – Colorado United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.60 PPG
13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 2
Win
1.20 PPG
11th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 2 14th▼ down 2
Draw
0.80 PPG
12th— holds 13th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 2
Loss
0.60 PPG
13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 5%
  13. 13th 10%
  14. 14th 20%
  15. 15th 27%
  16. 16th 21%
  17. 17th 10%
  18. 18th 4%
  19. 19th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado United 3.00 (+2.25) 3rd (2.51) 75 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 63 for their projection
2 El Paso Surf 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.73) 75 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 69 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Utah Athletic 3.00 (+2.25) 2nd (2.62) 75 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 66 for their projection
4 City SC NOCO 2.50 (+1.75) 4th (2.31) 62 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection
5 Colorado Storm 2.25 (+1.50) 5th (2.06) 56 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 2.25 (+1.50) 6th (1.84) 56 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
7 Utah Athletic (North) 1.50 (+0.75) 9th (1.50) 36 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 1.20 (+0.45) 8th (1.62) Win next game
9 ALBION SC Utah 1.20 (+0.45) 13th (1.10) Win next game
10 Colorado Rush - COS 1.20 (+0.45) 12th (1.20) Win next game
11 AZ SandSharks 1.00 (+0.25) 14th (1.04) A point next game

How the results connect

12 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Denver to Colorado United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
12 favour them
-6.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 0–3 1–0 0–14 2–4 4–2 3–4 1–5 2–1 1–3 2–3 2–3 12–0 7–1 1–11 0–7 6–2 6–1 0–6 ALBION SC Denver 12th Colorado Rush - COS 10th Colorado Rush 19th Denver Kickers Spor… 6th City SC NOCO 4th ALBION SC Boulder C… 8th Colorado Storm 5th Colorado Elevation … 18th Colorado United 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 29 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.28 · 5th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
Colorado United
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.09 0.62 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Home
Aurora Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.10 0.87 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Parkfield Lake Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.84 Upside
Fri Dec 25
08:00 AM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.49 0.80 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.59 0.77 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.16 0.71 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.47 0.69 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.10 0.81 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.49 0.78 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -34
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.34 0.89 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 0.89 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Colorado United
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.17 0.85 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.40 0.82 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.27 0.79 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +27
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.07 0.75 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
11th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.13 0.77 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.16 0.79 Upside
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
Douglas County Fairgrounds
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.33 0.77 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -34
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.55 0.85 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.84 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.80 0.88 Swing game
Sun May 2
01:00 PM
Colorado United
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.09 0.85 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado United 5500 356+29 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 -0.13 97% 2.8
2 El Paso Surf 4400 281+27 123.00 WWWW -1.17 -0.42 100% 1.6
3 Utah Athletic 4400 232+21 123.00 WWWW -1.34 +0.03 97% 2.2
4 City SC NOCO 6501 296+23 152.50 WWWWW -1.05 -0.13 78% 3.9
5 Colorado Storm 4301 145+9 92.25 WWWL +0.56 -0.46 20% 5.3
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4301 157+8 92.25 WWLW -0.27 -0.14 4% 6.5
7 Utah Athletic (North) 2101 58-3 31.50 WL +1.57 -0.32 1% 9.3
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 5203 1611+5 61.20 LWLLW +0.27 -0.16 0% 8.1
9 ALBION SC Utah 5203 1215-3 61.20 LWLWL -0.50 +0.45 0% 12.5
10 Colorado Rush - COS 5203 1014-4 61.20 WLLLW +0.33 -0.04 0% 11.7
11 AZ SandSharks 6204 1022-12 61.00 LLLLW +0.90 -0.05 0% 13.1
12 ALBION SC Denver 4103 412-8 30.75 LLWL -0.61 +0.28 0% 14.9
13 Inter Utah SC 4103 522-17 30.75 LLWL +0.91 -0.15 0% 15.7
14 BVBIA Arizona 5104 417-13 30.60 LWLLL -0.45 +0.10 0% 16.2
15 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.42 ——
16 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.53 ——
17 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.36 ——
18 Colorado Elevation FC 5005 533-28 00.00 LLLLL +1.54 -0.12 0% 17.5
19 Colorado Rush 4004 034-34 00.00 LLLL +1.19 +0.39 0% 18.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.83 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.