TableChase Clubs

Colorado United

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U13 · 19 teams · Colorado United (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 minutes ago.
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1st
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+29 goal diff · 35–6
WWWWWlast 5
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.7
-1.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Colorado United
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
ALBION SC Denver
12th · 0.75 PPG

Cornerstone Park, Turf #4 ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.6 for, 1.1 against · 2.88 expected points)

Season so farColorado UnitedALBION SC Denver
Position1st12th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-01-0-3
Points per game3.000.75
Goals for / game7.01.0
Goals against / game1.23.0
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WL W L L
Biggest win14–0 vs Colorado Rush1–0 vs Colorado Rush
Worst loss—1–5 at City SC NOCO
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.21-1.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.00-0.61

Common opponents: Colorado Rush — we 14–0; they 1–0. Colorado Rush - COS — we 3–0; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    ALBION SC Denver average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.8); blanked in 1 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 95% chance; likely score 5–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Denver game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado United – ALBION SC Denver) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.67 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2
Loss
2.50 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

12% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
2.7 average finish
  1. 1st 12%
  2. 2nd 31%
  3. 3rd 36%
  4. 4th 18%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

12 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado United to ALBION SC Denver through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
0 favour them
+6.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 3–0 14–0 0–1 4–3 2–4 4–2 1–2 5–1 3–2 3–2 3–1 0–12 11–1 1–7 7–0 2–6 1–6 6–0 Colorado United 1st Colorado Rush - COS 10th Colorado Rush 19th ALBION SC Boulder C… 8th Colorado Storm 5th Colorado Elevation … 18th Denver Kickers Spor… 6th City SC NOCO 4th ALBION SC Denver 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 19th Aug 29 Sep 13 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 12th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–1 2.88 2.98 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
4–2 2.40 2.90 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.78 2.76 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
02:00 PM
City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.78 2.65 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
02:00 PM
Colorado Rush
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -34
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.68 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
02:00 PM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
9–1 2.98 2.71 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–1 2.78 2.72 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +23
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.43 2.62 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
19th · 0-0-4 · GD -34
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 2.99 2.64 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +27
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–3 0.95 2.53 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
11th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
5–1 2.78 2.55 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–2 2.11 2.52 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
01:00 PM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–2 2.18 2.50 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.21 2.49 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.62 2.49 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Colorado Storm
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
3–2 1.87 2.46 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
03:00 PM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
4–2 2.40 2.46 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
05:00 PM
Colorado Rush - COS
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
5–1 2.78 2.47 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -28
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
8–1 2.96 2.49 Bank it
Sun May 2
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Denver
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–1 2.88 2.51 Bank it
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Cornerstone Park · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
4–1 2.48 2.51 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado United 5500 356+29 153.00 WWWWW -1.00 -0.13 96% 2.7
2 El Paso Surf 4400 281+27 123.00 WWWW -1.17 -0.42 100% 1.6
3 Utah Athletic 4400 232+21 123.00 WWWW -1.34 +0.03 97% 2.2
4 City SC NOCO 6501 296+23 152.50 WWWWW -1.05 -0.13 79% 3.9
5 Colorado Storm 4301 145+9 92.25 WWWL +0.56 -0.46 21% 5.2
6 Denver Kickers Sports Club 4301 157+8 92.25 WWLW -0.27 -0.14 3% 6.6
7 Utah Athletic (North) 2101 58-3 31.50 WL +1.57 -0.32 1% 9.2
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 5203 1611+5 61.20 LWLLW +0.27 -0.16 0% 8.2
9 ALBION SC Utah 5203 1215-3 61.20 LWLWL -0.50 +0.45 0% 12.5
10 Colorado Rush - COS 5203 1014-4 61.20 WLLLW +0.33 -0.04 0% 11.6
11 AZ SandSharks 6204 1022-12 61.00 LLLLW +0.90 -0.05 0% 13.2
12 ALBION SC Denver 4103 412-8 30.75 LLWL -0.61 +0.28 0% 14.9
13 Inter Utah SC 4103 522-17 30.75 LLWL +0.91 -0.15 0% 15.7
14 BVBIA Arizona 5104 417-13 30.60 LWLLL -0.45 +0.10 0% 16.2
15 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.42 ——
16 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.53 ——
17 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.36 ——
18 Colorado Elevation FC 5005 533-28 00.00 LLLLL +1.54 -0.12 0% 17.5
19 Colorado Rush 4004 034-34 00.00 LLLL +1.19 +0.39 0% 18.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.83 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.