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City SC Los Angeles

Elite Academy League · Southwest U11 · 15 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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13th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-24 goal diff · 2–26
LLLWlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.5
+0.51 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:30 AM

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City SC Los Angeles
13th · 0.75 PPG
vs
Reds FC
5th · 1.75 PPG

Manhattan Village Field, Manhattan Village Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.5 for, 5.6 against · 0.16 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los AngelesReds FC
Position13th5th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-32-1-1
Points per game0.751.75
Goals for / game0.53.8
Goals against / game6.52.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)W L L LW D L W
Biggest win2–1 vs FC Golden State Force5–0 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles
Worst loss0–12 vs ALBION SC San Diego2–7 at ALBION SC San Diego
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.07+0.95
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.51+0.70

Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego — we 0–12; they 2–7. City SC Southwest — we 0–4; they 7–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–9 at Oaks FC, 0–12 vs ALBION SC San Diego, 0–4 at City SC Southwest.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 4%; a draw (5%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Laguna United sit 12th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above Laguna United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Reds FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles – Reds FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.60 PPG
13th— holds 14th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 2
Win
1.20 PPG
9th▲ up 4 6th▲ up 7 14th▼ down 1
Draw
0.80 PPG
12th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 3 14th▼ down 1
Loss
0.60 PPG
13th— holds 14th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 2%
  13. 13th 9%
  14. 14th 23%
  15. 15th 64%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC San Diego 2.71 (+1.96) 1st (2.73) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 City SC - San Diego 2.50 (+1.75) 2nd (2.45) 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Total Futbol Academy 2.00 (+1.25) 4th (1.87) 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
4 Chula Vista FC 2.00 (+1.25) 7th (1.54) 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
5 Reds FC 1.75 (+1.00) 3rd (1.95) 22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
6 Oaks FC 1.50 (+0.75) 6th (1.58) 18 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 Los Angeles SC 1.50 (+0.75) 8th (1.35) 18 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
8 ALBION SC Santa Monica 1.33 (+0.58) 5th (1.82) 16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9 City SC Southwest 1.00 (+0.25) 9th (1.33) A point next game
10 ALBION SC Riverside 1.00 (+0.25) 10th (1.11) A point next game
11 ALBION SC Los Angeles 1.00 (+0.25) 11th (1.01) A point next game
12 Laguna United 0.75 (+0.00) 12th (0.99) Already ahead

How the results connect

6 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles to Reds FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
6 favour them
-8.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–12 7–2 0–4 2–7 1–4 2–1 0–1 0–5 0–9 1–8 City SC Los Angeles 13th ALBION SC San Diego 1st City SC Southwest 9th FC Golden State For… 14th Oaks FC 6th ALBION SC Los Angel… 11th Reds FC 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 4th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM
Reds FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +5
Home
Manhattan Village Field
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.16 0.63 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:30 AM
Los Angeles SC
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Away
Charter Oak High School · grass
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.28 0.57 Upside
Sun Nov 22
08:30 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -6
Home
Manhattan Village Field
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.80 0.61 Upside
Sat Dec 5
09:00 AM
Chula Vista FC
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0
Away
Terra Nova Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.23 0.56 Upside
Sun Dec 6
08:30 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -6
Home
Manhattan Village Field
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.59 0.56 Upside
Sat Jan 9
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +15
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.06 0.51 Upside
Sat Jan 16
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
15th · 0-0-2 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.57 0.52 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.20 0.49 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.17 0.47 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Laguna United
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -12
Away
La Paz Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–4 0.49 0.47 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC San Diego 7610 438+35 192.71 WWDWW -0.12 -0.51 100% 1.1
2 City SC - San Diego 4310 216+15 102.50 WWDW +0.33 -0.44 99% 2.1
3 Total Futbol Academy 3201 64+2 62.00 LWW +0.98 -0.42 48% 4.8
4 Chula Vista FC 3201 77+0 62.00 WWL +0.09 -0.08 14% 6.9
5 Reds FC 4211 1510+5 71.75 WLDW +0.70 -0.49 65% 4.2
6 Oaks FC 2101 108+2 31.50 WL +0.50 -0.14 18% 6.6
7 Los Angeles SC 2101 45-1 31.50 LW -0.95 +0.09 4% 8.3
8 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3111 82+6 41.33 WDL +0.08 -0.18 47% 5.0
9 City SC Southwest 3102 711-4 31.00 WLL +0.50 -0.41 4% 8.4
10 ALBION SC Riverside 3102 713-6 31.00 WLL +0.13 -0.07 1% 10.3
11 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3102 28-6 31.00 LWL -0.08 +0.00 0% 11.0
12 Laguna United 4103 719-12 30.75 LLLW +1.27 -0.50 0% 11.2
13 City SC Los Angeles 4103 226-24 30.75 LLLW +0.51 -0.04 0% 14.5
14 FC Golden State Force 3003 15-4 00.00 LLL -1.48 +0.35 0% 13.0
15 LA Surf Futures 2002 210-8 00.00 LL +0.43 -0.04 0% 12.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.