TableChase Clubs

Chula Vista FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest U11 · 15 teams · Chula Vista FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 38 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
4th
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 7–7
WWLlast 3
14% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.9
+0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Chula Vista FC
4th · 2.00 PPG
at
City SC Southwest
9th · 1.00 PPG

Los Alamos Hills Sport Park, Field 2, 9v9 turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.6 against · 1.45 expected points)

Season so farChula Vista FCCity SC Southwest
Position4th9th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-11-0-2
Points per game2.001.00
Goals for / game2.32.3
Goals against / game2.33.7
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W WL L W
Biggest win2–0 vs FC Golden State Force4–0 vs City SC Los Angeles
Worst loss2–5 vs City SC - San Diego2–7 at Reds FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.05-0.49
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.09+0.50

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 42% / draw 18% / loss 40%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at Los Alamos Hills Sport Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Total Futbol Academy sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Total Futbol Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the City SC Southwest game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chula Vista FC – City SC Southwest) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.75 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 4
Win
2.25 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.75 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 4
Loss
1.50 PPG
6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
14% top 4
86% below the top 4
6.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 19%
  8. 8th 16%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th 2%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC San Diego 2.71 (+0.71) 1st (2.73) 32 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 City SC - San Diego 2.50 (+0.50) 2nd (2.45) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
3 Total Futbol Academy 2.00 (+0.00) 4th (1.87) A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Chula Vista FC to City SC Southwest through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
-1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–5 3–3 4–1 2–0 1–2 0–4 Chula Vista FC 4th City SC - San Diego 2nd FC Golden State For… 14th ALBION SC San Diego 1st City SC Los Angeles 13th City SC Southwest 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 7th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:00 PM
City SC Southwest
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Away
Los Alamos Hills Sport Park · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
2–2 1.45 1.86 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
1st · 6-1-0 · GD +35
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–4 0.31 1.55 Upside
Sat Nov 14
02:15 PM
Laguna United
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -12
Away
Marina Hills Soccer Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.82 1.60 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
10:30 AM
Los Angeles SC
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Away
Charter Oak High School · grass
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.35 1.56 Upside
Sat Dec 5
09:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
13th · 1-0-3 · GD -24
Home
Terra Nova Park
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.69 1.70 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
10:30 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -6
Away
Bell Gardens Sports Center - John Anson Ford Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.75 1.71 Swing game
Sat Jan 9
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.98 1.74 Swing game
Sat Jan 16
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.96 1.67 Upside
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
Oaks FC
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
3–3 1.46 1.65 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.03 1.60 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +5
Away
Brywood Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.81 1.54 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC San Diego 7610 438+35 192.71 WWDWW -0.12 -0.51 100% 1.1
2 City SC - San Diego 4310 216+15 102.50 WWDW +0.33 -0.44 99% 2.1
3 Total Futbol Academy 3201 64+2 62.00 LWW +0.98 -0.42 48% 4.8
4 Chula Vista FC 3201 77+0 62.00 WWL +0.09 -0.08 14% 6.9
5 Reds FC 4211 1510+5 71.75 WLDW +0.70 -0.49 65% 4.2
6 Oaks FC 2101 108+2 31.50 WL +0.50 -0.14 18% 6.6
7 Los Angeles SC 2101 45-1 31.50 LW -0.95 +0.09 4% 8.3
8 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3111 82+6 41.33 WDL +0.08 -0.18 47% 5.0
9 City SC Southwest 3102 711-4 31.00 WLL +0.50 -0.41 4% 8.4
10 ALBION SC Riverside 3102 713-6 31.00 WLL +0.13 -0.07 1% 10.3
11 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3102 28-6 31.00 LWL -0.08 +0.00 0% 11.0
12 Laguna United 4103 719-12 30.75 LLLW +1.27 -0.50 0% 11.2
13 City SC Los Angeles 4103 226-24 30.75 LLLW +0.51 -0.04 0% 14.5
14 FC Golden State Force 3003 15-4 00.00 LLL -1.48 +0.35 0% 13.0
15 LA Surf Futures 2002 210-8 00.00 LL +0.43 -0.04 0% 12.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.