TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC San Diego

Elite Academy League · Southwest U11 · 15 teams · ALBION SC San Diego (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 17 minutes ago.
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1st
6-1-0 record · 7 played
2.71 points per game
+35 goal diff · 43–8
WWDWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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ALBION SC San Diego
1st · 2.71 PPG
vs
ALBION SC Santa Monica
8th · 1.33 PPG

Robb Athletic Field, Robb Athletic Field #3 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.5 against · 2.36 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC San DiegoALBION SC Santa Monica
Position1st8th
Record (W-D-L)6-1-01-1-1
Points per game2.711.33
Goals for / game6.12.7
Goals against / game1.10.7
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W D W WL D W
Biggest win12–0 at City SC Los Angeles7–0 vs LA Surf Futures
Worst loss—0–1 at Total Futbol Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.42+0.93
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.12+0.08

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy — we 2–1; they 0–1. Reds FC — we 7–2; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC Santa Monica concede only 0.7/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 74% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Santa Monica game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC San Diego – ALBION SC Santa Monica) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.75 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.75 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.50 PPG
1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.38 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

87% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 87%
  2. 2nd 13%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC San Diego to ALBION SC Santa Monica through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 favour them
+2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 1–0 7–2 1–1 4–1 2–7 7–0 2–4 ALBION SC San Diego 1st Total Futbol Academy 3rd Reds FC 5th City SC Southwest 9th Laguna United 12th ALBION SC Santa Mon… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.51 · 15th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +6
Home
Robb Athletic Field
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.36 2.67 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
7th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Home
Robb Athletic Field
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
5–1 2.80 2.68 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -6
Home
Robb Athletic Field
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
6–1 2.91 2.71 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
LA Surf Futures
15th · 0-0-2 · GD -8
Away
Citrus College
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
6–1 2.88 2.72 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
4–1 2.60 2.71 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -6
Home
Robb Athletic Field
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–0 2.88 2.73 Bank it
Sat Jan 9
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–0 2.74 2.73 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC San Diego 7610 438+35 192.71 WWDWW -0.12 -0.51 100% 1.1
2 City SC - San Diego 4310 216+15 102.50 WWDW +0.33 -0.44 99% 2.1
3 Total Futbol Academy 3201 64+2 62.00 LWW +0.98 -0.42 48% 4.9
4 Chula Vista FC 3201 77+0 62.00 WWL +0.09 -0.08 14% 6.9
5 Reds FC 4211 1510+5 71.75 WLDW +0.70 -0.49 66% 4.2
6 Oaks FC 2101 108+2 31.50 WL +0.50 -0.14 18% 6.7
7 Los Angeles SC 2101 45-1 31.50 LW -0.95 +0.09 5% 8.3
8 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3111 82+6 41.33 WDL +0.08 -0.18 45% 5.0
9 City SC Southwest 3102 711-4 31.00 WLL +0.50 -0.41 5% 8.4
10 ALBION SC Riverside 3102 713-6 31.00 WLL +0.13 -0.07 1% 10.2
11 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3102 28-6 31.00 LWL -0.08 +0.00 0% 11.1
12 Laguna United 4103 719-12 30.75 LLLW +1.27 -0.50 0% 11.1
13 City SC Los Angeles 4103 226-24 30.75 LLLW +0.51 -0.04 0% 14.4
14 FC Golden State Force 3003 15-4 00.00 LLL -1.48 +0.35 0% 13.0
15 LA Surf Futures 2002 210-8 00.00 LL +0.43 -0.04 0% 12.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.