PSA North Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU12 · 9 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 04:00 PM
Pace University, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.9 for, 2.8 against · 0.43 expected points)
| Season so far | PSA North Pre | Quickstrike FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-5 | 2-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 3.4 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | D W W |
| Biggest win | — | 2–0 at Long Island Slammers Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs East Coast Surf Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.25 | +0.54 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.20 | -0.34 |
Common opponents: Force FC Pre — we 1–2; they 2–0. Manhattan SC Pre — we 3–4; they 1–1.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Quickstrike FC Pre concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at East Coast Surf Pre, 0–5 vs East Coast Surf Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 10%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 04:00 PM at Pace University.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above SUSA FC Pre- Northeast on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Quickstrike FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA North Pre – Quickstrike FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Win 0.50 PPG |
7th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.17 PPG |
7th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th 1%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 22%
- 9th 70%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.06 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Coast Surf Pre | 2.50 (+2.50) | 1st (2.27) | 40 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | NJ Crush FC Pre | 2.33 (+2.33) | 2nd (2.21) | 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 2.33 (+2.33) | 3rd (1.83) | 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 4 | Manhattan SC Pre | 2.33 (+2.33) | 4th (1.60) | 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | Force FC Pre | 1.00 (+1.00) | 8th (0.82) | 16 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 6 | PDA SCP Pre | 0.75 (+0.75) | 7th (0.87) | 12 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 7 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.28) | Already ahead |
| 8 | SUSA FC Pre- Northeast | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.39) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
3 chains · 5 teams
Paths of results that link PSA North Pre to Quickstrike FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.18 · 1st hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 04:00 PM |
Quickstrike FC Pre 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Pace University · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.43 | 0.07 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 TBD |
NJ Crush FC Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–4 | 0.15 | 0.08 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
Quickstrike FC Pre 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.60 | 0.15 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Force FC Pre 5th · 1-0-2 · GD -7 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 0.30 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.99 | 0.37 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.86 | 0.41 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Manhattan SC Pre 4th · 2-1-0 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.76 | 0.44 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
NJ Crush FC Pre 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.26 | 0.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Long Island Slammers Pre 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.74 | 0.45 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.62 | 0.46 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
PDA SCP Pre 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -8 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.19 | 0.51 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Coast Surf Pre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 10 | 2.50 | WWWD | -0.39 | -0.04 | 100% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Force FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Manhattan SC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Long Island Slammers Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | NJ Crush FC Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 7 | 2.33 | WWD | -0.11 | -0.15 | 99% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs SUSA FC Pre- Northeast · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA North Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Manhattan SC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | WWD | -0.34 | +0.05 | 88% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sat Oct 31 at PDA SCP Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Manhattan SC Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.54 | +0.15 | 61% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs NJ Crush FC Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Long Island Slammers Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Force FC Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | +0.31 | +0.15 | 1% | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PDA SCP Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Quickstrike FC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PDA SCP Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.46 | +0.05 | 1% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Force FC Pre · Fri Apr 2 vs East Coast Surf Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | L | — | +0.04 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs SUSA FC Pre- Northeast · Sat Oct 24 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SUSA FC Pre- Northeast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.04 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Sep 26 at Long Island Slammers Pre · Sun Nov 1 at NJ Crush FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Force FC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | PSA North Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.20 | +0.18 | 0% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at NJ Crush FC Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Quickstrike FC Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.