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Long Island Slammers Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU12 · 9 teams · Long Island Slammers (all teams)

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7th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
Llast 1
20% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.6
+0.54 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:15 PM

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Long Island Slammers Pre
7th · 0.00 PPG
at
Quickstrike FC Pre
3rd · 2.33 PPG

Pace University, Finnerty ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.9 against · 0.82 expected points)

Season so farLong Island Slammers PreQuickstrike FC Pre
Position7th3rd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-02-1-0
Points per game0.002.33
Goals for / game0.01.7
Goals against / game0.00.3
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)LD W W
Biggest win—2–0 at Long Island Slammers Pre
Worst loss0–2 vs Quickstrike FC Pre—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.21+0.54
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.54-0.34

Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 0–2 vs Quickstrike FC Pre (L)

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Quickstrike FC Pre concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 20%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:15 PM at Pace University.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    PDA SCP Pre sit 6th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above PDA SCP Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Quickstrike FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Long Island Slammers Pre – Quickstrike FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 6 1st▲ up 6 1st▲ up 6
Draw
1.00 PPG
5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we fall to at least 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
20% top 4
80% below the top 4
5.6 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 27%
  6. 6th 31%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 East Coast Surf Pre 2.50 (+2.50) 1st (2.27) A point next game
2 NJ Crush FC Pre 2.33 (+2.33) 2nd (2.21) A point next game
3 Quickstrike FC Pre 2.33 (+2.33) 3rd (1.83) A point next game
4 Manhattan SC Pre 2.33 (+2.33) 4th (1.60) A point next game
5 Force FC Pre 1.00 (+1.00) 8th (0.82) A point next game
6 PDA SCP Pre 0.75 (+0.75) 7th (0.87) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 2 teams

Paths of results that link Long Island Slammers Pre to Quickstrike FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 Long Island Slammer… 7th Quickstrike FC Pre 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 7th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 26
04:30 PM
no score posted
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.40 1.40 Upside
Sat Oct 24
05:15 PM
Quickstrike FC Pre
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +4
Away far trip
Pace University
●●●●● Very tough
20%
0–1 0.82 1.11 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
East Coast Surf Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +12
Away
cedar creek park
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.43 0.88 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Force FC Pre
5th · 1-0-2 · GD -7
Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.77 1.10 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
TBD
Manhattan SC Pre
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +2
Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.02 1.09 Upside
Sun Mar 7
TBD
NJ Crush FC Pre
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +10
Away
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.45 0.98 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
SUSA FC Pre- Northeast
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.13 1.00 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
NJ Crush FC Pre
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.65 0.96 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
PSA North Pre
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -11
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.82 1.05 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD
PDA SCP Pre
6th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.70 1.12 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD
Force FC Pre
5th · 1-0-2 · GD -7
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.02 1.20 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
East Coast Surf Pre
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +12
Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.62 1.15 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
PSA North Pre
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -11
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.09 1.22 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
PDA SCP Pre
6th · 1-0-3 · GD -8
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.96 1.28 Swing game
Sun May 23
TBD
Manhattan SC Pre
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +2
Home
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.28 1.28 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 East Coast Surf Pre 4310 153+12 102.50 WWWD -0.39 -0.04 99% 1.6
2 NJ Crush FC Pre 3210 133+10 72.33 WWD -0.11 -0.15 99% 1.8
3 Quickstrike FC Pre 3210 51+4 72.33 WWD -0.34 +0.05 88% 3.3
4 Manhattan SC Pre 3210 64+2 72.33 WDW -0.54 +0.15 61% 4.3
5 Force FC Pre 3102 29-7 31.00 LWL +0.31 +0.15 1% 7.5
6 PDA SCP Pre 4103 311-8 30.75 LLLW +0.46 +0.05 1% 7.3
7 Long Island Slammers Pre 0000 00+0 00.00 L — +0.04 ——
8 SUSA FC Pre- Northeast 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.04 ——
9 PSA North Pre 5005 617-11 00.00 LLLLL +0.20 +0.18 0% 8.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.