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Connecticut FC Legacy Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Northeast GU11 · 8 teams · Connecticut FC (all teams)

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8th
0-0-4 record · 4 played
0.00 points per game
-14 goal diff · 0–14
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.0
+0.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Connecticut FC Legacy Pre
8th · 0.00 PPG
at
Albany Alleycats Pre
4th · 1.75 PPG

Afrims Bethlehem Dome, Indoor Dome ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.4 against · 0.27 expected points)

Season so farConnecticut FC Legacy PreAlbany Alleycats Pre
Position8th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-42-1-1
Points per game0.001.75
Goals for / game0.02.3
Goals against / game3.52.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless41
Form (recent first)L L L LW L D W
Biggest win—4–2 at Scorpions SC South Pre
Worst loss0–7 vs New England Surf Pre0–4 at Select Northeast Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.95+0.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.27+0.07

Common opponents: FC Stars New Hampshire Pre — we 0–2; they 2–0. Vale Rush United Pre — we 0–3; they 3–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 vs FC Stars New Hampshire Pre, 0–7 vs New England Surf Pre, 0–3 vs Vale Rush United Pre, 0–2 vs AC Connecticut Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 6%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Afrims Bethlehem Dome.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Albany Alleycats Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Connecticut FC Legacy Pre – Albany Alleycats Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
0.60 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Draw
0.20 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 100%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.43 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 New England Surf Pre 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.58) 63 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Stars New Hampshire Pre 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.47) 42 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
3 Select Northeast Pre 1.75 (+1.75) 2nd (1.92) 37 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
4 Albany Alleycats Pre 1.75 (+1.75) 3rd (1.48) 37 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Scorpions SC South Pre 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.40) 32 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 AC Connecticut Pre 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.20) 21 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Vale Rush United Pre 0.80 (+0.80) 7th (1.03) 17 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Connecticut FC Legacy Pre to Albany Alleycats Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
8 favour them
-3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–3 0–2 0–2 2–1 0–2 0–0 4–0 0–7 1–0 4–0 1–2 2–4 3–5 Connecticut FC Lega… 8th Vale Rush United Pre 7th FC Stars New Hampsh… 2nd AC Connecticut Pre 6th New England Surf Pre 1st Select Northeast Pre 3rd Scorpions SC South … 5th Albany Alleycats Pre 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.28 · 1st hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 26
10:30 AM
no score posted
AC Connecticut Pre
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.46 0.09 Upside
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Albany Alleycats Pre
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Away far trip
Afrims Bethlehem Dome
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.27 0.12 Upside
Sat Oct 31
10:30 AM
Select Northeast Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5
Home
CFC Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.27 0.14 Upside
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
FC Stars New Hampshire Pre
2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.37 0.17 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:30 AM
Scorpions SC South Pre
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
CFC Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.40 0.20 Upside
Sun Feb 28
TBD
New England Surf Pre
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.04 0.18 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Vale Rush United Pre
7th · 1-1-3 · GD -4
Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.56 0.22 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Scorpions SC South Pre
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.26 0.22 Upside
Sat Mar 27
TBD
Vale Rush United Pre
7th · 1-1-3 · GD -4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.39 0.23 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Albany Alleycats Pre
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.41 0.25 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Select Northeast Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–2 0.19 0.24 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
FC Stars New Hampshire Pre
2nd · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.50 0.26 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
New England Surf Pre
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15
Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.07 0.25 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
AC Connecticut Pre
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.46 0.26 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Scorpions SC South Pre
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.40 0.27 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD
Select Northeast Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–2 0.19 0.26 Upside
Sat Jun 5
TBD
Albany Alleycats Pre
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.27 0.26 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 New England Surf Pre 4400 161+15 123.00 WWWW -0.42 -0.23 100% 1.0
2 FC Stars New Hampshire Pre 3201 43+1 62.00 WWL -0.75 +0.14 62% 4.2
3 Select Northeast Pre 4211 72+5 71.75 DWWL +0.49 -0.23 98% 2.3
4 Albany Alleycats Pre 4211 99+0 71.75 WDLW +0.07 -0.01 63% 4.1
5 Scorpions SC South Pre 4202 1011-1 61.50 LLWW -0.02 +0.02 51% 4.5
6 AC Connecticut Pre 4112 46-2 41.00 DLLW +0.11 +0.01 20% 5.6
7 Vale Rush United Pre 5113 1014-4 40.80 LDLWL -0.08 +0.10 7% 6.4
8 Connecticut FC Legacy Pre 4004 014-14 00.00 LLLL +0.27 +0.28 0% 8.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.