SOLAR PRE- NAZIER
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU12 · 10 teams · Solar SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 0–0 (expected goals 1.0 for, 0.9 against · 1.44 expected points)
| Season so far | SOLAR PRE- NAZIER | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 1-0-4 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W L L | L W L L L |
| Biggest win | 2–0 at Sting WTX Pre- Jimenez | 2–1 vs SOLAR PRE- MABRY |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Alpha Forms Pre | 0–3 at OK Energy FC Pre II |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.17 | -0.67 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.41 | +0.13 |
Common opponents: Dutch FC Pre — we 0–1; they 1–3. Alpha Forms Pre — we 0–2; they 1–2. Sting WTX Pre- Jimenez — we 2–0; they 1–2. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 0–0; they 0–3.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West concede 2.2/game; worst result 0–3 at OK Energy FC Pre II.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–1 at Dutch FC Pre, 0–2 vs Alpha Forms Pre, 0–1 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black, 0–0 vs OK Energy FC Pre II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 37%; a draw (32%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:30 AM at Railroad Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:30 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- NAZIER – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.83 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.17 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 2 | 7th— holds |
| Draw 0.83 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.67 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–0 draw we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 25%
- 6th 29%
- 7th 19%
- 8th 14%
- 9th 9%
- 10th 4%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.63 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dutch FC Pre | 2.17 (+1.37) | 2nd (2.13) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Alpha Forms Pre | 2.14 (+1.34) | 1st (2.15) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | OK Energy FC Pre II | 2.13 (+1.33) | 3rd (2.13) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 2.00 (+1.20) | 4th (2.10) | 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Sting Pre- Rey | 1.40 (+0.60) | 5th (1.33) | 8 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection |
| 6 | SOLAR PRE- MABRY | 1.17 (+0.37) | 6th (1.03) | 6 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection |
How the results connect
19 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link SOLAR PRE- NAZIER to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.49 · 7th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:30 AM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West 10th · 1-0-4 · GD -6 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
0–0 | 1.44 | 0.91 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 09:30 AM |
Sting Pre- Rey 5th · 2-1-2 · GD -3 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
0–0 | 1.47 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Thu Nov 5 06:00 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove 8th · 1-1-4 · GD -4 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.30 | 1.03 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Dutch FC Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWLW | -0.09 | -0.41 | 98% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Rey · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- MABRY See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Alpha Forms Pre | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 15 | 2.14 | LWLWW | -0.11 | -0.47 | 100% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- MABRY See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | OK Energy FC Pre II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 17 | 2.13 | WDWDW | +0.03 | — | 100% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 4 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 12 | 2.00 | DWWDW | +0.06 | -0.57 | 100% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sting Pre- Rey | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | 1.40 | DLWLW | -0.10 | -0.06 | 2% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dutch FC Pre · Thu Oct 29 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR PRE- NAZIER See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR PRE- MABRY | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 7 | 1.17 | LWWLL | -0.14 | +0.60 | 0% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Alpha Forms Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Dutch FC Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR PRE- NAZIER | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | LLWLD | +0.41 | -0.49 | 0% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Rey · Thu Nov 5 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 4 | 0.67 | LDLLL | +0.07 | +0.42 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Thu Nov 5 vs SOLAR PRE- NAZIER See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sting WTX Pre- Jimenez | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 | 0.63 | DLLLL | +0.03 | — | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | +0.13 | +0.16 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- NAZIER · Thu Oct 29 at Sting Pre- Rey · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.