Dutch FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU12 · 10 teams · Dutch FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.5 for, 0.8 against · 1.91 expected points)
| Season so far | Dutch FC Pre | Sting Pre- Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 2-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W D | W L W L D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Sting WTX Pre- Jimenez | 1–0 vs OK Energy FC Pre II |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at OK Energy FC Pre II | 0–4 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.64 | -0.35 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -0.10 |
Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove — we 2–1; they 0–4. Sting WTX Pre- Jimenez — we 3–0; they 2–2. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 0–1; they 1–0.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at OK Energy FC Pre II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 55% / draw 26% / loss 19%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 03:30 PM at Railroad Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Rey game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dutch FC Pre – Sting Pre- Rey) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.29 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.29 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 3 | 4th▼ down 3 | 4th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 1.86 PPG |
4th▼ down 3 | 4th▼ down 3 | 4th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 36%
- 2nd 6%
- 3rd 22%
- 4th 35%
- 5th 2%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
24 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Dutch FC Pre to Sting Pre- Rey through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.41 · 5th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:30 PM |
Sting Pre- Rey 5th · 2-1-2 · GD -3 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
1–0 | 1.91 | 2.13 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 02:00 PM |
SOLAR PRE- MABRY 6th · 2-1-3 · GD -4 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
1–0 | 2.15 | 2.13 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Dutch FC Pre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWLW | -0.09 | -0.41 | 99% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Rey · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- MABRY See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Alpha Forms Pre | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 15 | 2.14 | LWLWW | -0.11 | -0.47 | 100% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- MABRY See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | OK Energy FC Pre II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 17 | 2.13 | WDWDW | +0.03 | — | 100% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 4 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 12 | 2.00 | DWWDW | +0.06 | -0.57 | 99% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sting Pre- Rey | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | 1.40 | DLWLW | -0.10 | -0.06 | 2% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dutch FC Pre · Thu Oct 29 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR PRE- NAZIER See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR PRE- MABRY | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 7 | 1.17 | LWWLL | -0.14 | +0.60 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Alpha Forms Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Dutch FC Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR PRE- NAZIER | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | LLWLD | +0.41 | -0.49 | 0% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Rey · Thu Nov 5 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Lovegrove | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 4 | 0.67 | LDLLL | +0.07 | +0.42 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Thu Nov 5 vs SOLAR PRE- NAZIER See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sting WTX Pre- Jimenez | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 | 0.63 | DLLLL | +0.03 | — | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Avant West | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | +0.13 | +0.16 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- NAZIER · Thu Oct 29 at Sting Pre- Rey · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.