Sting Pre- Harvey
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU10 · 10 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 3A ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 2–5 (expected goals 2.1 for, 6.0 against · 0.24 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- Harvey | SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-3 | 2-1-3 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 7.8 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L | L L W W D |
| Biggest win | 11–1 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 10–0 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black |
| Worst loss | 1–18 at DKSC Pre- Chavez | 0–2 at West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.39 | +0.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | -0.43 |
Common opponents: West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select — we 0–9; they 0–2. SOLAR PRE- ADAMES — we 0–3; they 0–1. Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black — we 11–1; they 10–0.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–9 vs West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select, 0–3 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 6%; a draw (6%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.75.A point moves us above Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Harvey – SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.60 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Win 1.20 PPG |
5th▲ up 4 | 5th▲ up 4 | 8th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.80 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Loss 0.60 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–5 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 5%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 14%
- 9th 66%
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR PRE- ADAMES | 2.67 (+1.92) | 1st (2.62) | 19 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select | 2.50 (+1.75) | 2nd (2.50) | 17 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | DKSC Pre- Chavez | 2.17 (+1.42) | 3rd (2.35) | 15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave | 1.20 (+0.45) | 4th (1.45) | Win next game |
| 5 | SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN | 1.17 (+0.42) | 5th (1.36) | A point next game |
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff | 1.17 (+0.42) | 6th (1.24) | A point next game |
| 7 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren | 1.00 (+0.25) | 7th (1.10) | A point next game |
| 8 | Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez | 1.00 (+0.25) | 8th (0.96) | A point next game |
How the results connect
16 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Harvey to SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.17 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 11:30 AM no score posted |
Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -10 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
4–4 | 1.37 | 0.87 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 10:00 AM |
SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN 5th · 2-1-3 · GD +8 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
2–5 | 0.24 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 08:30 AM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff 6th · 2-1-3 · GD +1 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–4 | 0.76 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 08:00 AM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren 7th · 1-2-2 · GD -4 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
2–3 | 0.70 | 0.76 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR PRE- ADAMES | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 16 | 2.67 | WDWWW | +0.80 | -2.46 | 100% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | +28 | 20 | 2.50 | DWWWW | -0.43 | — | 100% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 3 | DKSC Pre- Chavez | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 5 | +24 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWLW | +0.29 | -2.89 | 100% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 6 | 1.20 | WLWLL | +0.15 | +0.16 | 47% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff · Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 7 | 1.17 | DWWLL | -0.43 | -0.64 | 34% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Pre- Harvey · Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 7 | 1.17 | LDLWW | -0.43 | -0.64 | 12% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Pre- Harvey See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | 1.00 | WDDLL | +1.05 | -0.13 | 6% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Harvey See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLWL | -0.03 | +0.16 | 0% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Sting Pre- Harvey · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC Pre- Chavez See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sting Pre- Harvey | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.21 | -0.17 | 0% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez · Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 45 | -44 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.12 | +1.81 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sun Nov 1 at DKSC Pre- Chavez See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.