Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU10 · 10 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

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8th

2-0-4 record · 6 played

1.00 points per game

-10 goal diff · 12–22

WLLWLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.7

-0.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 08:30 AM

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Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez
8th · 1.00 PPG

DKSC Pre- Chavez
3rd · 2.17 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 3A ↗

4% 91%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.3 for, 5.2 against · 0.16 expected points)

Season so far	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez	DKSC Pre- Chavez
Position	8th	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-4	4-1-1
Points per game	1.00	2.17
Goals for / game	2.0	4.8
Goals against / game	3.7	0.8
Clean sheets	1	2
Held scoreless	3	2
Form (recent first)	L W L L W	W L W W D
Biggest win	8–0 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black	18–1 vs Sting Pre- Harvey
Worst loss	0–8 at Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave	0–1 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.16	+2.72
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.03	+0.29

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren — we 0–1; they 2–0. Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave — we 0–8; they 6–2. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff — we 3–2; they 3–1. West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select — we 0–8; they 0–0.

Game plan

Respect their attack
DKSC Pre- Chavez score 4.8/game — well above the league's 2.6.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
DKSC Pre- Chavez concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren, 0–8 at Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave, 0–8 vs West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 4%; a draw (5%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Early kickoff
Game time 08:30 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
What a win does
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren sit 7th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.
A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the DKSC Pre- Chavez game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez – DKSC Pre- Chavez) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.86 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1
Win 1.29 PPG	4th▲ up 4	6th▲ up 2	8th— holds
Draw 1.00 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1
Loss 0.86 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–5 loss we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

7.7 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th <1%
5th 1%
6th 9%
7th 25%
8th 42%
9th 22%
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES	2.67 (+1.67)	1st (2.62)	16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select	2.50 (+1.50)	2nd (2.50)	14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	DKSC Pre- Chavez	2.17 (+1.17)	3rd (2.35)	12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave	1.20 (+0.20)	4th (1.45)	A point next game
5	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN	1.17 (+0.17)	5th (1.36)	A point next game
6	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff	1.17 (+0.17)	6th (1.24)	A point next game
7	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren	1.00 (+0.00)	7th (1.10)	A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez to DKSC Pre- Chavez through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

19 favour them

-5.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 2nd hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 17 11:30 AM no score posted	Sting Pre- Harvey 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -19	Away Fairview Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	4–4	1.49	1.07	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 08:30 AM	DKSC Pre- Chavez 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +24	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	4%	1–5	0.16	0.96	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

SOLAR PRE- ADAMES

2.67

WDWWW

+0.80

-2.46

100%

1.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave (4th)	1–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	DKSC Pre- Chavez (3rd)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting Pre- Harvey (9th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN (5th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (7th)	1–0	61%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (10th)	3–0	94%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select

+28

2.50

DWWWW

-0.43

—

100%

1.6

DKSC Pre- Chavez

+24

2.17

DWWLW

+0.29

-2.89

100%

2.8

W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (7th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (1st)	0–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave (4th)	6–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Sting Pre- Harvey (9th)	18–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (8th)	5–1	91%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (10th)	9–0	100%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave

1.20

WLWLL

+0.15

+0.16

48%

5.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (1st)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	DKSC Pre- Chavez (3rd)	2–6
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (8th)	8–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (10th)	9–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff · Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	3–1	64%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN (5th)	2–2	49%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (7th)	2–1	57%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN

1.17

DWWLL

-0.43

-0.64

35%

5.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (10th)	10–0
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (7th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (1st)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Pre- Harvey · Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Pre- Harvey (9th)	5–2	88%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave (4th)	2–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff

1.17

LDLWW

-0.43

-0.64

10%

6.1

W	Thu Oct 22	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (10th)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN (5th)	2–1
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (8th)	2–3
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (7th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (1st)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC Pre- Chavez (3rd)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Pre- Harvey See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave (4th)	1–3	21%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Pre- Harvey (9th)	4–2	66%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren

-4

1.00

WDDLL

+1.05

-0.13

6.8

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	DKSC Pre- Chavez (3rd)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–3
D	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN (5th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (8th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Harvey See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (1st)	0–1	15%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sting Pre- Harvey (9th)	3–2	68%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez

-10

1.00

WLLWL

-0.03

+0.16

7.7

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–8
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	3–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN (5th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave (4th)	0–8
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (10th)	8–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (7th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 17 at Sting Pre- Harvey · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC Pre- Chavez See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	Sting Pre- Harvey (9th)	4–4	45%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	DKSC Pre- Chavez (3rd)	1–5	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Harvey

-19

0.75

LLLW

+0.21

-0.17

8.3

W	Sat Oct 10	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (10th)	11–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (1st)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	DKSC Pre- Chavez (3rd)	1–18
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–9

Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez · Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (8th)	4–4	41%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN (5th)	2–5	6%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	2–4	21%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (7th)	2–3	19%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black

-44

0.00

LLLLL

+0.12

+1.81

10.0

L	Thu Oct 22	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Niehoff (6th)	0–4
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sting Pre- Harvey (9th)	1–11
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR PRE- HOLGUIN (5th)	0–10
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (8th)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Pre- Bagwell Brave (4th)	0–9

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sun Nov 1 at DKSC Pre- Chavez See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (1st)	0–3	1%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	DKSC Pre- Chavez (3rd)	0–9	0%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.