Sporting Iowa Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Heartland GU11 · 12 teams · Sporting Iowa Central (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.6 against · 0.60 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting Iowa Pre | Kansas City Athletics Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-2 | 5-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Toca Fusion Elite Pre | 18–0 vs AFA Fillies PRE |
| Worst loss | 1–6 at Sporting Blue Valley Pre | 2–6 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.44 | +1.91 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | -0.06 |
Common opponents: Sporting Blue Valley Pre — we 1–6; they 2–0. Toca Fusion Elite Pre — we 3–0; they 6–1.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Kansas City Athletics Pre score 4.6/game — well above the league's 2.9.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 15%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
SLSG IL Academy I Pre sit 7th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above SLSG IL Academy I Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Kansas City Athletics Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting Iowa Pre – Kansas City Athletics Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.75 PPG |
9th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
5th▲ up 3 | 6th▲ up 2 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 7th▲ up 1 | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.75 PPG |
9th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 18%
- 7th 19%
- 8th 22%
- 9th 25%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.40 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SLSG Navy Academy I Pre | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.77) | 27 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Missouri Rush Pre- Blue | 2.50 (+1.50) | 3rd (2.37) | 22 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 3 | Sporting Blue Valley Pre | 2.40 (+1.40) | 2nd (2.40) | 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 4 | Kansas City Athletics Pre | 2.00 (+1.00) | 4th (2.09) | 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 5 | FC United (Iowa) Pre | 1.33 (+0.33) | 7th (1.16) | A point next game |
| 6 | SLSG Green Academy I Pre | 1.20 (+0.20) | 6th (1.29) | A point next game |
| 7 | SLSG IL Academy I Pre | 1.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.31) | A point next game |
How the results connect
18 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting Iowa Pre to Kansas City Athletics Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.10 · 4th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:00 PM |
Kansas City Athletics Pre 4th · 5-1-2 · GD +23 |
Home HyVee Multiplex |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.60 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 06:30 PM |
Missouri Rush Pre- Blue 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +24 |
Home HyVee Multiplex |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.46 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
SLSG IL Academy I Pre 7th · 2-0-4 · GD +2 |
Home HyVee Multiplex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
AFA Fillies PRE 12th · 0-0-5 · GD -64 |
Home HyVee Multiplex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
7–1 | 2.94 | 1.18 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 TBD |
Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
2–2 | 1.46 | 1.21 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
SLSG Navy Academy I Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +23 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
1–3 | 0.29 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
SLSG Green Academy I Pre 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–1 | 1.49 | 1.15 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SLSG Navy Academy I Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | +23 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.36 | -1.25 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs SLSG Green Academy I Pre · Sat Nov 14 at FC United (Iowa) Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Iowa Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Missouri Rush Pre- Blue | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 8 | +24 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | -0.87 | +0.16 | 100% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC United (Iowa) Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sporting Blue Valley Pre | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 57 | 14 | +43 | 24 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -0.36 | — | 100% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 4 | Kansas City Athletics Pre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 14 | +23 | 16 | 2.00 | WWLWW | -0.06 | -0.67 | 98% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC United (Iowa) Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC United (Iowa) Pre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 | 1.33 | WDL | +0.18 | -0.10 | 1% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Kansas City Athletics Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs SLSG IL Academy I Pre See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SLSG Green Academy I Pre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | WLLLW | +0.84 | -1.02 | 0% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SLSG Navy Academy I Pre · Sun Nov 8 at SLSG IL Academy I Pre · Sat Nov 14 at FC United (Iowa) Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SLSG IL Academy I Pre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLL | +0.32 | -0.65 | 1% | 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting Iowa Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC United (Iowa) Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Sporting Iowa Pre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.10 | -0.10 | 1% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Kansas City Athletics Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 vs SLSG IL Academy I Pre See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | DWLLL | +1.21 | -1.13 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SLSG IL Academy I Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs AFA Fillies PRE · Sun Oct 25 vs Missouri Rush Pre- Blue See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Toca Fusion Elite Pre | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 38 | -28 | 4 | 0.40 | LDLLL | +0.28 | — | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 11 | Kansas Rush Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. |
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| 12 | AFA Fillies PRE | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 64 | -64 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.14 | +0.07 | 0% | 11.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 at FC United (Iowa) Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting Iowa Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.93 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.