SLSG Green Academy I Pre

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WWT Soccer Park, Field 5 ↗

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.7 against · 0.23 expected points)

Common opponents: Toca Fusion Elite Pre — we 4–0; they 6–0. Sporting Blue Valley Pre — we 1–3; they 5–1. Kansas City Athletics Pre — we 1–2; they 1–0. Gretna Elite Academy Pre- I — we 1–0; they 7–1.

• Respect their attack
  SLSG Navy Academy I Pre score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.9.

  Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

• Hard to break down
  SLSG Navy Academy I Pre concede only 0.4/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

  Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 at Missouri Rush Pre- Blue.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Underdog — play free, stay organised
  Model gives 5%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.

  Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

• They arrive in form
  SLSG Navy Academy I Pre have won 5 straight.

  Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

• Away game
  Kickoff 09:15 AM at WWT Soccer Park.

  Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

• Early kickoff
  Game time 09:15 AM.

  Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

• What a win does
  SLSG IL Academy I Pre sit 5th on 1.29 PPG; we are on 1.20.

  A point moves us above SLSG IL Academy I Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the SLSG Navy Academy I Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SLSG Green Academy I Pre – SLSG Navy Academy I Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd
4. 4th <1%
5. 5th 20%
6. 6th 30%
7. 7th 31%
8. 8th 13%
9. 9th 7%
10. 10th
11. 11th
12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.10 PPG if we win out).