Michigan Rangers FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- GMA GU11 · 9 teams · Michigan Rangers FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM
Jaycee Park, Jaycee Turf ↗ · turf far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–7 (expected goals 1.2 for, 7.8 against · 0.03 expected points)
| Season so far | Michigan Rangers FC Pre | Michigan Hawks PRE |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-3 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 7.8 |
| Goals against / game | 5.0 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L | W W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 11–2 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY |
| Worst loss | 1–7 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.91 | +3.80 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.48 | -0.54 |
Common opponents: Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE — we 1–7; they 5–1. Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green — we 2–4; they 8–0.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Michigan Hawks PRE score 7.8/game — well above the league's 3.2.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Michigan Hawks PRE concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Michigan Hawks Magic Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 1%; a draw (1%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Michigan Hawks PRE have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 01:30 PM at Jaycee Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY sit 7th on 0.57 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Michigan Hawks PRE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Michigan Rangers FC Pre – Michigan Hawks PRE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–7 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th 1%
- 6th 7%
- 7th 25%
- 8th 50%
- 9th 17%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan Hawks PRE | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.83) | 24 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Michigan Hawks Magic Pre | 2.60 (+2.60) | 2nd (2.60) | 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE | 2.40 (+2.40) | 3rd (2.23) | 20 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE | 1.86 (+1.86) | 4th (1.92) | 15 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green | 1.14 (+1.14) | 5th (1.42) | 10 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection |
| 6 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Red | 1.00 (+1.00) | 6th (1.14) | 8 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 7 | Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY | 0.57 (+0.57) | 7th (0.73) | A point next game |
How the results connect
10 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Michigan Rangers FC Pre to Michigan Hawks PRE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
15 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.30 · 2nd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:30 PM |
Michigan Hawks PRE 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +28 |
Away far trip
Jaycee Park · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–7 | 0.03 | 0.01 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +22 |
Home 28th Ave |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–5 | 0.16 | 0.04 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 05:00 PM |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Red 6th · 1-1-2 · GD -6 |
Home 28th Ave |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.23 | 0.24 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Wht 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -25 |
Home 28th Ave |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–1 | 2.25 | 0.52 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 PM |
Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green 5th · 2-2-3 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Quickstad Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
2–3 | 0.66 | 0.54 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Michigan Hawks PRE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | +28 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.54 | -0.42 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Michigan Rangers FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE · Sun Apr 11 at Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Michigan Hawks Magic Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -0.59 | — | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 3 | Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 6 | +22 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -0.59 | +0.94 | 100% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Michigan Hawks PRE · Sun Nov 1 at Michigan Rangers FC Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 20 | +11 | 13 | 1.86 | WWLDL | -0.18 | -0.92 | 94% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Red See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 8 | 1.14 | LLLWW | +0.15 | -0.84 | 3% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Red · Sun Apr 11 vs Michigan Hawks PRE · Sat Apr 24 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Red | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | 1.00 | WLDL | -0.05 | -0.91 | 4% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Wht · Fri Nov 6 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE · Sat Nov 7 at Michigan Rangers FC Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 4 | 0.57 | LLLWL | +1.14 | -0.04 | 0% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 30 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Wht · Sat Apr 24 at Royal Oak FC Pre GMA Green · Sat May 1 vs Michigan Hawks PRE See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Michigan Rangers FC Pre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.48 | +0.30 | 0% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Michigan Hawks PRE · Sun Nov 1 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE · Sat Nov 7 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Red See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Wht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 25 | -25 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.43 | -1.28 | 0% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre Red · Fri Oct 30 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- GRAY · Sat Nov 7 at Michigan Rangers FC Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.16 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.