Western United Pioneers FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU12 · 11 teams · Western United Pioneers FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM
Roots Athletic Center, Field 1B ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.5 for, 1.5 against · 2.79 expected points)
| Season so far | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | PSA North Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-0 | 3-2-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.83 |
| Goals for / game | 12.5 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W | W D W W D |
| Biggest win | 27–0 vs Eastern FC Pre | 4–1 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre |
| Worst loss | — | 0–4 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +6.15 | +0.67 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.82 | +0.43 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 4–0 at PSA North Pre (W)
Game plan
-
Hard to break down
PSA North Pre concede only 1.7/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 91% chance; likely score 5–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PSA North Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Western United Pioneers FC Pre – PSA North Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.60 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.40 PPG |
1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 100%
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
10 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Western United Pioneers FC Pre to PSA North Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.43 · 9th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 TBD no score posted |
Brentwood SC Pre- White 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
7–1 | 2.90 | 2.98 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
PSA North Pre 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5 |
Home Roots Athletic Center |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
5–1 | 2.79 | 2.95 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 12:15 PM |
Brentwood SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9 |
Home Lusitano Stadium · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
5–1 | 2.75 | 2.92 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre- White 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
8–1 | 2.95 | 2.92 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 02:30 PM |
Brentwood SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
Brentwood State Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
5–2 | 2.57 | 2.89 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 11:40 AM |
Long Island Slammers Pre 6th · 1-2-2 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Moriches Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
7–2 | 2.87 | 2.88 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 04:00 PM |
Long Island Slammers Pre 6th · 1-2-2 · GD +0 |
Home Lusitano Stadium · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 97% |
8–1 | 2.94 | 2.89 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 05:15 PM |
Eastern FC Pre 11th · 0-0-2 · GD -39 |
Away far trip
Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N |
●○○○○ Favorable | 100% |
9–1 | 3.00 | 2.90 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 97% |
8–1 | 2.94 | 2.90 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 9th · 1-1-5 · GD -18 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
9–1 | 2.98 | 2.91 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 5th · 1-2-1 · GD +9 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
6–1 | 2.83 | 2.90 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Quickstrike FC Pre 4th · 2-3-1 · GD +1 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
6–1 | 2.81 | 2.90 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 11:00 AM |
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 5th · 1-2-1 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
DiCaprio Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
5–2 | 2.68 | 2.88 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 9th · 1-1-5 · GD -18 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
8–1 | 2.96 | 2.89 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Quickstrike FC Pre 4th · 2-3-1 · GD +1 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
7–1 | 2.90 | 2.89 | Bank it |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
7–1 | 2.88 | 2.89 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | +48 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.82 | -0.43 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Brentwood SC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.13 | -0.20 | 97% | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Wed Oct 28 at Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PSA North Pre | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | DWWDW | +0.43 | -0.46 | 82% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | WDDLD | +0.25 | -0.24 | 34% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Sep 20 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 5 | 1.25 | WDDL | -1.01 | +0.08 | 63% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sat Oct 17 vs Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +0 | 5 | 1.00 | LDWDL | -0.51 | +0.10 | 6% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | +0.18 | -0.08 | 6% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | STA MOSC Pre | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 5 | 1.00 | LWDDL | +2.09 | -0.71 | 7% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 4 | 0.57 | WDLLL | +0.14 | +0.07 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC Pre- White See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Brentwood SC Pre- White | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | LD | -0.69 | +0.08 | 3% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Sep 26 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Eastern FC Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 41 | -39 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +3.68 | +0.22 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.