Long Island Slammers Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU12 · 11 teams · Long Island Slammers (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:10 PM
Moriches Soccer Park, field 4 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 3–3 (expected goals 3.2 for, 3.1 against · 1.46 expected points)
| Season so far | Long Island Slammers Pre | Quickstrike FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-2-2 | 2-3-1 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W D L | D L D D W |
| Biggest win | 5–3 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 4–1 vs Brentwood SC Pre |
| Worst loss | 2–3 at Quickstrike FC Pre | 2–5 at Brentwood SC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.20 | +0.13 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.51 | +0.25 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 2–3 at Quickstrike FC Pre (L)
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 43% / draw 16% / loss 40%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
What a win does
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre sit 5th on 1.25 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above FC Dutchmen Surf Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Quickstrike FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Long Island Slammers Pre – Quickstrike FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 3 |
| Win 1.33 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.83 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 | 11th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–3 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 19%
- 7th 23%
- 8th 22%
- 9th 17%
- 10th 3%
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.89) | 55 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Brentwood SC Pre | 2.40 (+1.40) | 2nd (2.02) | 43 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 3 | PSA North Pre | 1.83 (+0.83) | 3rd (1.80) | 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 1.50 (+0.50) | 5th (1.52) | 25 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 1.25 (+0.25) | 4th (1.66) | A point next game |
How the results connect
20 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Long Island Slammers Pre to Quickstrike FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.10 · 2nd hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:10 PM |
Quickstrike FC Pre 4th · 2-3-1 · GD +1 |
Home Moriches Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
3–3 | 1.46 | 1.08 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 11:40 AM |
Western United Pioneers FC Pre 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +48 |
Home Moriches Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
2–7 | 0.10 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 04:00 PM |
Western United Pioneers FC Pre 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +48 |
Away far trip
Lusitano Stadium · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–8 | 0.05 | 0.83 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 04:50 PM |
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 5th · 1-2-1 · GD +9 |
Home Moriches Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–3 | 1.12 | 0.86 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 09:00 AM |
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
3–3 | 1.33 | 0.91 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Eastern FC Pre 11th · 0-0-2 · GD -39 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
9–2 | 2.86 | 1.08 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre- White 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
3–3 | 1.40 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
2–3 | 0.69 | 1.08 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
PSA North Pre 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–3 | 0.86 | 1.06 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
STA MOSC Pre 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -10 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.82 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
PSA North Pre 3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.17 | 1.12 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–3 | 0.99 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Brentwood SC Pre- White 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
3–2 | 1.78 | 1.15 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Eastern FC Pre 11th · 0-0-2 · GD -39 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
8–3 | 2.73 | 1.23 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
STA MOSC Pre 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
3–3 | 1.43 | 1.24 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Western United Pioneers FC Pre | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | +48 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.82 | -0.43 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Brentwood SC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.13 | -0.20 | 98% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Wed Oct 28 at Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PSA North Pre | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | DWWDW | +0.43 | -0.46 | 83% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Quickstrike FC Pre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 | WDDLD | +0.25 | -0.24 | 35% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Sep 20 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Dutchmen Surf Pre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 5 | 1.25 | WDDL | -1.01 | +0.08 | 63% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sat Oct 17 vs Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Long Island Slammers Pre | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +0 | 5 | 1.00 | LDWDL | -0.51 | +0.10 | 6% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | +0.18 | -0.08 | 6% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | STA MOSC Pre | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 5 | 1.00 | LWDDL | +2.09 | -0.71 | 6% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | WNY Flash Binghamton Pre | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 4 | 0.57 | WDLLL | +0.14 | +0.07 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC Pre- White See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Brentwood SC Pre- White | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | LD | -0.69 | +0.08 | 4% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Quickstrike FC Pre · Sat Sep 26 vs Western United Pioneers FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Eastern FC Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 41 | -39 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +3.68 | +0.22 | 0% | 11.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Quickstrike FC Pre · Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.