TableChase Clubs

Eastern FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU12 · 11 teams · Eastern FC (all teams)

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11th
0-0-2 record · 2 played
0.00 points per game
-39 goal diff · 2–41
LLlast 2
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.0
+3.68 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 PM

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Eastern FC Pre
11th · 0.00 PPG
vs
FC Dutchmen Surf Pre
5th · 1.25 PPG

Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N, field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–8 (expected goals 2.3 for, 8.8 against · 0.09 expected points)

Season so farEastern FC PreFC Dutchmen Surf Pre
Position11th5th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-21-2-1
Points per game0.001.25
Goals for / game1.04.3
Goals against / game20.52.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L LL D D W
Biggest win—14–2 vs Eastern FC Pre
Worst loss0–27 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre0–3 vs Brentwood SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-6.30+0.89
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+3.68-1.01

Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 2–14 at FC Dutchmen Surf Pre (L)

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–27 at Western United Pioneers FC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Brentwood SC Pre- White sit 10th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Brentwood SC Pre- White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dutchmen Surf Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastern FC Pre – FC Dutchmen Surf Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG		 9th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1
Draw
0.33 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–8 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 99%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.70 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Western United Pioneers FC Pre 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.89) 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Brentwood SC Pre 2.40 (+2.40) 2nd (2.02) 48 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 PSA North Pre 1.83 (+1.83) 3rd (1.80) 37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 Quickstrike FC Pre 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.52) 30 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
5 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 1.25 (+1.25) 4th (1.66) 25 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 Long Island Slammers Pre 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.24) Win next game
7 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 1.00 (+1.00) 8th (1.23) Win next game
8 STA MOSC Pre 1.00 (+1.00) 7th (1.24) Win next game
9 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 0.57 (+0.57) 10th (0.78) A point next game
10 Brentwood SC Pre- White 0.50 (+0.50) 9th (1.11) A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 4 teams

Paths of results that link Eastern FC Pre to FC Dutchmen Surf Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
2 favour them
-17.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–14 0–27 4–0 1–1 Eastern FC Pre 11th Western United Pion… 1st PSA North Pre 3rd FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 11th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.22 · 1st hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
05:00 PM
no score posted		 Quickstrike FC Pre
4th · 2-3-1 · GD +1		 Home
Saxon Woods Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 2–7 0.18 0.06 Upside
Sun Sep 27
12:15 PM
no score posted		 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Home
Tibbetts Brook Park #1		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 2–7 0.27 0.11 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 PM		 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre
5th · 1-2-1 · GD +9		 Home
Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 2–8 0.09 0.11 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 Quickstrike FC Pre
4th · 2-3-1 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Pace University · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 2–8 0.09 0.10 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:30 AM		 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 2–8 0.14 0.11 Upside
Sat Nov 14
05:15 PM		 Western United Pioneers FC Pre
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +48		 Home
Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 1–9 0.00 0.10 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM		 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -18		 Home
Tibbetts Brook Park #2		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 3–6 0.61 0.15 Upside
Sun Nov 15
TBD		 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -18		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
17%		 3–6 0.61 0.20 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 STA MOSC Pre
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -10		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 2–8 0.16 0.20 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Long Island Slammers Pre
6th · 1-2-2 · GD +0		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 2–9 0.11 0.19 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 PSA North Pre
3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–8 0.06 0.18 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Brentwood SC Pre- White
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 2–8 0.15 0.18 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Brentwood SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–9 0.03 0.17 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 PSA North Pre
3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–7 0.12 0.16 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 Long Island Slammers Pre
6th · 1-2-2 · GD +0		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
6%		 3–8 0.22 0.17 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Brentwood SC Pre- White
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 3–7 0.29 0.17 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Brentwood SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 2–8 0.07 0.17 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD		 STA MOSC Pre
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -10		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 3–7 0.31 0.18 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Western United Pioneers FC Pre 4400 502+48 123.00 WWWW -1.82 -0.43 100% 1.0
2 Brentwood SC Pre 5401 178+9 122.40 LWWWW -0.13 -0.20 97% 2.5
3 PSA North Pre 6321 1510+5 111.83 DWWDW +0.43 -0.46 82% 3.5
4 Quickstrike FC Pre 6231 1716+1 91.50 WDDLD +0.25 -0.24 34% 5.1
5 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4121 178+9 51.25 WDDL -1.01 +0.08 63% 4.2
6 Long Island Slammers Pre 5122 1717+0 51.00 LDWDL -0.51 +0.10 6% 7.1
7 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 4112 912-3 41.00 LLDW +0.18 -0.08 6% 7.1
8 STA MOSC Pre 5122 1323-10 51.00 LWDDL +2.09 -0.71 7% 7.0
9 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 7115 1331-18 40.57 WDLLL +0.14 +0.07 0% 9.6
10 Brentwood SC Pre- White 2011 57-2 10.50 LD -0.69 +0.08 3% 7.9
11 Eastern FC Pre 2002 241-39 00.00 LL +3.68 +0.22 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.