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Brentwood SC Pre- White

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Northeast - North BU12 · 11 teams · Brentwood SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 47 minutes ago. Next available update in 12:08.
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10th
0-1-1 record · 2 played
0.50 points per game
-2 goal diff · 5–7
LDlast 2
4% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.8
-0.69 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:00 PM

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Brentwood SC Pre- White
10th · 0.50 PPG
vs
Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
7th · 1.00 PPG

Brentwood State Park, field 10 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.9 against · 1.53 expected points)

Season so farBrentwood SC Pre- WhiteFox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
Position10th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-11-1-2
Points per game0.501.00
Goals for / game2.52.3
Goals against / game3.53.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D LW D L L
Biggest win—5–4 at Long Island Slammers Pre
Worst loss2–4 vs WNY Flash Binghamton Pre1–4 vs PSA North Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.57-0.38
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.69+0.18

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 46% / draw 17% / loss 38%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    WNY Flash Binghamton Pre sit 9th on 0.57 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above WNY Flash Binghamton Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Brentwood SC Pre- White – Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.33 PPG		 5th▲ up 5 6th▲ up 4 7th▲ up 3
Win
1.33 PPG		 5th▲ up 5 6th▲ up 4 7th▲ up 3
Draw
0.67 PPG		 9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.33 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
4% top 4
96% below the top 4
7.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 6%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 18%
  8. 8th 19%
  9. 9th 28%
  10. 10th 13%
  11. 11th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.74 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Western United Pioneers FC Pre 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.89) 56 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Brentwood SC Pre 2.40 (+1.90) 2nd (2.02) 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3 PSA North Pre 1.83 (+1.33) 3rd (1.80) 34 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 Quickstrike FC Pre 1.50 (+1.00) 5th (1.52) 28 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
5 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 1.25 (+0.75) 4th (1.66) A point next game
6 Long Island Slammers Pre 1.00 (+0.50) 6th (1.24) A point next game
7 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 1.00 (+0.50) 8th (1.23) A point next game
8 STA MOSC Pre 1.00 (+0.50) 7th (1.24) A point next game
9 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 0.57 (+0.07) 10th (0.78) Already ahead

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Brentwood SC Pre- White to Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 even
7 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–3 3–2 4–5 2–2 1–1 2–5 3–2 2–4 1–4 4–1 0–3 3–3 4–4 4–1 0–5 1–8 Brentwood SC Pre- W… 10th Quickstrike FC Pre 4th WNY Flash Binghamto… 9th Long Island Slammer… 6th STA MOSC Pre 8th Brentwood SC Pre 2nd PSA North Pre 3rd Fox Soccer Academy … 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 11th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 3rd hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 12
TBD
no score posted		 Quickstrike FC Pre
4th · 2-3-1 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 2–3 0.95 0.65 Upside
Sat Sep 26
TBD
no score posted		 Western United Pioneers FC Pre
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +48		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–7 0.07 0.51 Upside
Sat Oct 17
TBD
no score posted		 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre
5th · 1-2-1 · GD +9		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
18%		 2–4 0.67 0.54 Upside
Sun Oct 25
02:00 PM		 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre
7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Home
Brentwood State Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 3–2 1.53 0.70 Swing game
Wed Oct 28
06:30 PM		 Brentwood SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9		 Home
Brentwood State Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 2–3 0.86 0.73 Upside
Sun Nov 1
TBD		 Western United Pioneers FC Pre
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +48		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–8 0.03 0.64 Upside
Sun Nov 8
TBD		 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre
9th · 1-1-5 · GD -18		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 3–2 1.72 0.76 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
TBD		 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre
5th · 1-2-1 · GD +9		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 2–3 0.98 0.78 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 PSA North Pre
3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 2–2 1.03 0.80 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Long Island Slammers Pre
6th · 1-2-2 · GD +0		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–3 1.45 0.86 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 STA MOSC Pre
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -10		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%		 3–3 1.27 0.89 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Eastern FC Pre
11th · 0-0-2 · GD -39		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 8–2 2.81 1.03 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD		 STA MOSC Pre
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -10		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 3–3 1.65 1.07 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD		 Long Island Slammers Pre
6th · 1-2-2 · GD +0		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–3 1.07 1.07 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Eastern FC Pre
11th · 0-0-2 · GD -39		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
86%		 7–3 2.64 1.16 Bank it
Sun May 23
TBD		 PSA North Pre
3rd · 3-2-1 · GD +5		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.75 1.14 Upside
Sat Jun 5
TBD		 Brentwood SC Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +9		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.58 1.11 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Western United Pioneers FC Pre 4400 502+48 123.00 WWWW -1.82 -0.43 100% 1.0
2 Brentwood SC Pre 5401 178+9 122.40 LWWWW -0.13 -0.20 97% 2.5
3 PSA North Pre 6321 1510+5 111.83 DWWDW +0.43 -0.46 83% 3.5
4 Quickstrike FC Pre 6231 1716+1 91.50 WDDLD +0.25 -0.24 32% 5.2
5 FC Dutchmen Surf Pre 4121 178+9 51.25 WDDL -1.01 +0.08 65% 4.2
6 Long Island Slammers Pre 5122 1717+0 51.00 LDWDL -0.51 +0.10 6% 7.1
7 Fox Soccer Academy Premier Pre 4112 912-3 41.00 LLDW +0.18 -0.08 6% 7.1
8 STA MOSC Pre 5122 1323-10 51.00 LWDDL +2.09 -0.71 7% 7.0
9 WNY Flash Binghamton Pre 7115 1331-18 40.57 WDLLL +0.14 +0.07 0% 9.6
10 Brentwood SC Pre- White 2011 57-2 10.50 LD -0.69 +0.08 4% 7.8
11 Eastern FC Pre 2002 241-39 00.00 LL +3.68 +0.22 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.