SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Solar SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:00 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1B ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 2.0 for, 3.5 against · 0.72 expected points)
| Season so far | SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO | Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-2 | 5-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 5.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 6–1 at Alpha Forms Pre | 8–2 vs SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.69 | +2.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | -0.50 |
Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber — we 2–3; they 4–2. SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED — we 1–2; they 8–2. Alpha Forms Pre — we 6–1; they 4–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.5.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 19%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell have won 5 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Albion SC Dallas Pre sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.A win moves us above Albion SC Dallas Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO – Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we fall to at least 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 47%
- 4th 37%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 3%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell | 3.00 (+1.20) | 1st (2.69) | 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | 2.40 (+0.60) | 2nd (2.40) | 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Albion SC Dallas Pre | 2.00 (+0.20) | 4th (1.64) | Win next game |
How the results connect
18 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO to Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 10:00 AM |
Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +18 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.72 | 1.62 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 02:30 PM |
Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford 6th · 1-3-2 · GD -14 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.26 | 1.71 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
Sting Pre- Ikpa 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 1.77 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.50 | +0.21 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO · Sun Nov 1 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra · Sun Nov 8 at Albion SC Dallas Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | +0.11 | -0.73 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Ikpa · Sun Nov 8 at Alpha Forms Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Albion SC Dallas Pre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | WWWLD | -0.75 | +1.22 | 66% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber · Thu Nov 5 at SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | -0.12 | +0.00 | 86% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell · Sun Nov 1 at Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Pre- Ikpa See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDLW | +0.04 | -0.03 | 47% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Nov 5 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre · Sun Nov 8 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 6 | 1.00 | DLDWD | +0.21 | +0.04 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Ikpa · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sting Pre- Ikpa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLWL | +0.03 | +0.33 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | TAG Soccer Pre Guerra | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 1 | 0.20 | DLLLL | +0.19 | -0.03 | 0% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Alpha Forms Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Alpha Forms Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLLL | +0.17 | +0.60 | 0% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.