TableChase Clubs

Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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1st
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+18 goal diff · 25–7
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.2
-0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:00 AM

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Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO
4th · 1.80 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1B ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.5 for, 2.0 against · 2.14 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans Pre- MitchellSOLAR PRE- NWEGBO
Position1st4th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-03-0-2
Points per game3.001.80
Goals for / game5.03.0
Goals against / game1.41.8
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W W WW W W L L
Biggest win8–2 vs SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED6–1 at Alpha Forms Pre
Worst loss—2–3 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.02+0.69
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.50-0.12

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber — we 4–2; they 2–3. SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED — we 8–2; they 1–2. Alpha Forms Pre — we 4–2; they 6–1.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 66% / draw 15% / loss 19%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell – SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.50 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

77% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.2 average finish
  1. 1st 77%
  2. 2nd 22%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

18 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell to SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
1 even
5 favour them
+1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–2 1–6 4–2 3–2 8–2 2–1 4–0 3–2 5–1 1–1 0–1 1–3 1–6 3–3 4–2 2–3 3–3 2–3 1–0 Dallas Texans Pre- … 1st Alpha Forms Pre 9th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 2nd SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUE… 5th Kernow Storm FC Pre… 6th Sting Pre- Ikpa 7th Albion SC Dallas Pre 3rd TAG Soccer Pre Guer… 8th SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.21 · 4th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM
SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.14 2.86 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
02:30 PM
TAG Soccer Pre Guerra
8th · 0-1-4 · GD -5
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
4–1 2.41 2.79 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
Albion SC Dallas Pre
3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +6
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
3–2 1.95 2.69 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell 5500 257+18 153.00 WWWWW -0.50 +0.21 100% 1.2
2 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber 5401 239+14 122.40 WLWWW +0.11 -0.73 100% 1.8
3 Albion SC Dallas Pre 5311 159+6 102.00 WWWLD -0.75 +1.22 64% 4.0
4 SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO 5302 159+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.12 +0.00 88% 3.6
5 SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED 6312 1516-1 101.67 WLDLW +0.04 -0.03 46% 4.4
6 Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford 6132 1024-14 61.00 DLDWD +0.21 +0.04 1% 6.7
7 Sting Pre- Ikpa 5113 510-5 40.80 LDLWL +0.03 +0.33 1% 6.8
8 TAG Soccer Pre Guerra 5014 1015-5 10.20 DLLLL +0.19 -0.03 0% 7.5
9 Alpha Forms Pre 6015 726-19 10.17 DLLLL +0.17 +0.60 0% 8.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.